(Bloomberg) - Cov nyiaj Indian tau kwv yees tias yuav nce li ntawm 80% rau cov ntaub ntawv xyoo no, raws li cov tub lag luam kos cov khoom muag hauv cov tsev khaws khoom los ntawm London mus rau Hong Kong tom qab ob xyoos Covid-riddled.
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Cov neeg Isdias Asmesliskas tau yuav cov nyiaj qis hauv keeb kwm xyoo 2020 thiab 2021 vim tias cov khoom siv sib txuas thiab kev thov raug cuam tshuam los ntawm tus kab mob. Thaum cov neeg siv khoom maj nrawm mus rau cov khw muag nyiaj hniav nyiaj hniav kub los yuav kub hauv lub quarter kawg ntawm xyoo tas los thaum kev txwv tsis pub muaj kev sib kis tau yooj yim, thawb kev muag khoom mus rau txhua lub sijhawm siab, cov nyiaj xav tau nce tsawg dua 25%.
Xyoo no, cov nyiaj muag khoom tau rov qab los. Kev yuav khoom hauv zos tuaj yeem tshaj 8,000 tons hauv 2022 los ntawm kwv yees li 4,500 tons xyoo tas los, hais tias Chirag Sheth, tus kws pab tswv yim tseem ceeb ntawm Metals Focus Ltd. Qhov ntawd yog los ntawm kev kwv yees lub Plaub Hlis ntawm 5,900 tons.
Sheth tau hais tias "Peb tab tom pom kev dhia hauv kev yuav khoom ntawm cov neeg muag khoom muag, zoo ib yam li qhov peb tau pom hauv kub xyoo tas los, vim tias muaj kev xav tau ntau," Sheth hais.
Ntshuam thaum Lub Ib Hlis Ntuj txog Lub Yim Hli yog 6,370 tons piv rau tsuas yog 153.4 tons hauv lub xyoo dhau los, raws li cov ntaub ntawv tshiab los ntawm lub teb chaws txoj kev lag luam. Rau 2021, lub teb chaws xa khoom tsuas yog 2,803.4 tons.
Is Nrias teb tuaj txog ib nrab ntawm nws cov nyiaj los ntawm UK, Tuam Tshoj av loj thiab Hong Kong. Kev yuav khoom feem ntau yog los ntawm London Bullion Market Association-kev lees paub warehouses, nrog cov khoom muag hauv cov vaults tam sim no poob, raws li Sheth.
Sheth hais tias "Thaum kub tau coj mus rau hauv lub tebchaws los ntawm huab cua, nyiaj feem ntau yog los ntawm hiav txwv," Sheth hais. "Tab sis tam sim no vim qhov kev thov loj heev, txhua yam yog los ntawm huab cua." Tos sij hawm los nrhiav cov hlau kuj tau nce mus, nrog rau cov neeg muag khoom siv li 20 hnub los xa daim ntawv xaj, nws hais.
Nyiaj tuav hauv London vaults poob rau 27,101 tons thaum kawg ntawm lub Cuaj Hli, qhov qis tshaj txij li cov ntaub ntawv pib xyoo 2016, raws li LBMA. Cov nqi hauv Is Nrias teb tau poob txog 6% xyoo no, thaum kub tau nce li ntawm 5%. Yav tom ntej ntawm cov hlau dawb ntawm kev sib pauv hauv zos tau ua lag luam ntawm 58,869 rupees ib kilogram, tseem zoo hauv qab cov ntaub ntawv ntawm 77,949 rupees kov hauv 2020.
Cov hniav nyiaj hniav kub xav tau muaj ntau tshaj li ib feem peb ntawm tag nrho cov khoom siv hauv Is Nrias teb, thaum ze li ntawm ib lub hlis twg mus rau kev lag luam thiab tus so yog siv hauv cov nyiaj thiab lwm yam kev siv. Cov hlau yog nrov nyob rau hauv cov cheeb tsam nyob deb nroog uas nws tau saib raws li "tus txiv neej pluag kub," vim hais tias nws yog ntau zaus pheej yig dua nws cov phooj ywg zoo hlau.
"Nyiaj tau tus nqi pheej yig dua piv rau kub, yog li tej zaum yog ib qho ntawm cov laj thawj vim li cas cov tub ua lag luam tau yuav" cov hlau, suav nrog hauv Asmeskas thiab Europe, Perth Mint Treasurer Sawan Tanna tau hais. "Hais txog kev thov nyiaj hauv tuam txhab, peb pom tias hauv Is Nrias teb muaj qhov xav tau loj heev hauv daim ntawv ntawm cov nyiaj loj, tsuas yog vim tias cov nqi ntawm cov nyiaj tau qis dua keeb kwm."
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Kev thov nyiaj hauv Is Nrias teb tuaj yeem muaj zog rau peb mus rau plaub lub hlis tom ntej ua ntej kev ruaj khov, Sheth tau hais. Kev noj haus hauv 2023 yuav tsis muaj zog li xyoo no, nws hais.
- Nrog kev pab los ntawm Eddie Spence.
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