Kev nce nqi tau sib tham heev hauv Asmeskas thoob plaws xyoo 2022, nrog cov xov xwm thiab cov nyiaj tau los hu xov tooj qhia txog nws qhov cuam tshuam rau cov neeg siv khoom siv. Thaum peb mus txog 2023, peb nug peb tus kheej, Cov neeg siv khoom Asmeskas tau siv ntau npaum li cas vim tias tus nqi nce hauv 2022? Peb qhov kev ntsuam xyuas qhia tau tias:
Hauv xyoo 2022, Asmeskas cov neeg siv khoom siv nyiaj ntxiv $ 1 trillion vim yog tus nqi nce ntxiv.
Peb ua li cas thiaj paub qhov no? Peb tau txheeb xyuas cov kev siv nyiaj ntawm tus kheej (PCE) cov ntaub ntawv muab los ntawm US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). BEA muab cov ntaub ntawv nominal PCE thiab PCE tiag.
Ib qho kev nce qib hauv npe PCE piv rau xyoo dhau los yog vim muaj kev hloov pauv ntawm tus nqi thiab qhov ntim ntawm cov khoom lossis kev pabcuam. Kev nce hauv PCE tiag piv rau xyoo dhau los yog vim muaj kev hloov pauv hauv ntim nkaus xwb. Hauv daim duab hauv qab no, "Qhov cuam tshuam ntawm kev nce nqi hauv Asmeskas," peb pom tias:
- Hauv 2022, kev siv nyiaj PCE nominal tau nce mus rau $ 17.4 trillion, nce los ntawm $ 15.9 trillion hauv 2021. Kev siv PCE tiag tiag tau nce mus txog $ 14.1 trillion, nce ntawm $ 13.7 trillion hauv 2021.
- Raws li xws li, nominal PCE kev siv nyiaj tau nce los ntawm $ 1.5 trillion hauv 2022 (dua, xav txog ob qho tib si tus nqi thiab ntim) thaum siv PCE tiag tiag nce los ntawm tsuas yog $ 0.4 trillion (xav txog ntim nkaus xwb).
- Qhov sib txawv ntawm ob - $ 1.1 trillion - yog dab tsi Asmeskas cov neeg siv khoom tau them nyiaj ntxiv vim yog nce nqi ib leeg. Daim duab no yog tshaj li tsib npaug ntawm qhov nruab nrab uas cov neeg siv khoom tau them ntau dua vim muaj tus nqi nce ntxiv hauv xyoo ua ntej-COVID.
Cov neeg siv khoom Asmeskas tau siv nyiaj li cas?
Saib ntawm BEA PCE cov ntaub ntawv siv nyiaj los ntawm qeb hauv 2022, Asmeskas cov neeg siv khoom siv ze li ib feem peb ntawm tag nrho PCE siv ntawm $ 17.4 trillion rau cov khoom thiab ob feem peb ntawm cov kev pabcuam. Kev siv khoom nce ntawm $ 5.5 trillion hauv 2021 txog $ 5.9 trillion hauv 2022, thaum kev siv nyiaj nce ntawm $ 10.4 trillion hauv 2021 txog $ 11.4 trillion hauv 2022.
BEA rhuav tshem cov khoom mus rau hauv cov khoom ruaj khov thiab cov khoom tsis zoo. Cov khoom ruaj khov muaj lub neej txee ntawm peb xyoos lossis ntau dua. Xyoo 2022, Asmeskas cov neeg siv khoom siv ze li ib feem peb ntawm tag nrho cov khoom siv siv rau cov khoom siv ruaj khov thiab cov khoom siv tsis tu ncua.
Nov yog qhov cuam tshuam ntawm kev nce nqi thoob plaws ntau pawg PCE:
- Cov khoom thiab cov kev pabcuam. Ntawm $ 1.1 trillion uas cov neeg siv khoom Asmeskas tau siv nyiaj ntxiv vim yog tus nqi nce hauv 2022, Asmeskas cov neeg siv khoom tau them $ 468 billion ntxiv vim tias nce nqi ntawm cov khoom thiab $ 636 billion ntxiv vim cov nqi ntawm cov kev pabcuam nce ntxiv.
- Cov khoom lag luam ruaj khov thiab cov khoom tsis zoo. Hauv xyoo 2022, cov khoom tsis zoo tag nrho tau nce nqi ntau dua li cov khoom siv ruaj khov. Cov neeg siv khoom hauv Asmeskas tau siv $ 335 nphom ntau ntxiv vim qhov nce nqi ntawm cov khoom tsis zoo thiab $ 133 billion ntxiv rau cov khoom siv ruaj khov.
- Cov khoom tsis ruaj khov. Qhov cuam tshuam ntawm kev nce nqi tau pom tseeb heev hauv cov khoom siv roj av, khoom noj, thiab dej haus. Cov neeg siv khoom hauv Asmeskas tau them $ 121 nphom ntau ntxiv vim qhov nce nqi ntawm cov roj av thiab lwm yam khoom siv hluav taws xob hauv xyoo 2022. Ntxiv rau, cov neeg siv khoom hauv Asmeskas tau them nyiaj ze li qub nyiaj ntxiv vim yog nce nqi ntawm cov khoom noj thiab dej haus (thov saib "Qhov cuam tshuam ntawm kev nce nqi los ntawm qeb hauv Asmeskas hauv 2022" daim duab hauv qab no).
- Cov khoom ruaj khov. Cov tsheb thiab cov khoom siv nrog rau cov rooj tog zaum thiab cov cuab yeej siv hauv tsev tau pom qhov loj tshaj plaws ntawm tus nqi, nrog rau cov neeg siv khoom hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas them $ 72 billion thiab $ 46 billion ntxiv, feem, rau ob pawg no ib leeg. Cov khoom ua si thiab tsheb tau pom deflation. Tus nqi ntawm TVs, lwm yam khoom siv yees duab, thiab cov khoom siv ua cov ntaub ntawv tau poob qis es tsis txhob nce ntxiv. Kev siv nyiaj loj hlob hauv cov pawg no yog qhov ntim-tsav, tsis yog kev nce nqi-tsav.
- Kev Pabcuam. Hauv cov kev pabcuam, cov neeg siv khoom Asmeskas tau siv $ 636 billion ntau dua vim cov nqi nce ntxiv, nrog rau vaj tse thiab kev siv hluav taws xob, kev pabcuam zaub mov thiab kev pabcuam, kev saib xyuas kev noj qab haus huv, kev pabcuam tsheb thauj mus los, thiab kev pabcuam kev ua si uas pom qhov cuam tshuam loj tshaj plaws.
Cov ntawv tshaj tawm no tau sau los ntawm Senior Forecast Analyst Jitender Miglani thiab nws tau tshwm sim thawj zaug no.
Source: https://www.forbes.com/sites/forrester/2023/03/10/in-2022-us-consumers-spent-an-extra-1-trillion-due-to-increased-prices/