Tojsiab
Lub International Monetary Fund rau hnub Tuesday tau txo qis nws qhov kev kwv yees rau kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb rau xyoo tom ntej thiab ceeb toom tias kev nce nqi yuav loj dua li qhov kev xav tau yav dhau los vim muaj kev cuam tshuam tsis tu ncua los ntawm kev ua tsov rog ntawm Ukraine - qhia txog cov teeb meem ntsib los ntawm cov tuam txhab nyiaj hauv nruab nrab thoob ntiaj teb thaum lawv sim. kom txias xyoo caum-tus nqi siab nce yam tsis muaj kev txhawb nqa kev lag luam.
International Monetary Fund Tus Thawj Coj Kristalina Georgieva hais lus thaum lub sijhawm muaj kev tshwm sim ntawm … [+]
AFP ntawm Getty Dluab
Cov Lus Tseem Ceeb
Hauv nws daim ntawv tshaj tawm biannual World Economic Outlook luam tawm Hnub Tuesday, IMF tau hais tias kev loj hlob thoob ntiaj teb xav tias yuav poob ntawm 6% hauv 2021 mus rau 3.2% xyoo no thiab 2.7% hauv 2023-0.2 feem pua cov ntsiab lus qis dua li qhov kev kwv yees peb lub hlis dhau los.
Lub koom haum tau liam tias qhov kev cia siab ntawm kev loj hlob tsis txaus ntseeg ntawm Lavxias kev tawm tsam ntawm Ukraine, tsis tu ncua thiab nthuav dav kev nce nyiaj txiag thiab kev poob qis hauv Suav teb ua rau hnyav dua los ntawm kev ntsuas nruj Covid-19.
Fueling qhov poob tag nrho, IMF tau txo qis nws cov kev lag luam hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas kev loj hlob kwv yees mus rau 1% raws li qhov tshwm sim ntawm Fed cov paj laum tsis tu ncua, tab sis sau tseg tias qhov kev poob qis tuaj yeem yog "feem ntau tshaj tawm" hauv Tebchaws Europe, qhov twg muaj kev kub ntxhov los ntawm kev ua tsov rog ntawm Ukraine. yuav txuas ntxiv "hnyav" rau xyoo tom ntej.
"Hauv luv luv, qhov phem tshaj tseem tsis tau los," IMF's Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas tau hais txog cov ntaub ntawv, sau tseg tias ib feem peb ntawm kev lag luam hauv ntiaj teb yuav zoo li cog lus rau xyoo no lossis xyoo tom ntej thiab "rau ntau tus neeg, 2023 yuav xav tias zoo li kev lag luam. kev txom nyem."
Lub koom haum tau hais tias nws cia siab tias kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb yuav nce siab tshaj 9.5% tom qab xyoo no ua ntej poob mus rau 4.1% los ntawm 2024-tseem ntau dua li 3.4% xyoo tas los-tab sis nws kuj tseem hais txog qhov pheej hmoo ntawm cov tuam txhab nyiaj hauv nruab nrab nce nqi ntau dhau thiab thawb lub ntiaj teb kev lag luam. mus rau "kev lag luam loj heev uas tsis tsim nyog."
Zuag qhia tag nrho, muaj ib qho ntawm plaub lub caij nyoog uas kev loj hlob thoob ntiaj teb tuaj yeem poob qis hauv keeb kwm qis ntawm 2%, IMF kwv yees, tab sis txoj hauv kev ntawm kev loj hlob poob rau zero-los yog phem dua- xyoo tom ntej tseem ceeb, ntawm txog 10 % mus rau 15%.
Tus Keeb Kwm Tseem Ceeb
Kev nce nqi nce siab tau yuam cov tuam txhab nyiaj hauv nruab nrab thoob plaws ntiaj teb kom thim rov qab txoj cai tswjfwm thoob ntiaj teb kev ntsuas txhais tau tias txhawb kev lag luam - tab sis cov nqi tseem tsis tau tso tseg, thiab cov kws lag luam ntau tau txhawj xeeb cov tub ceev xwm yuav ua rau muaj kev lag luam poob qis thaum sim ua kom kev lag luam txias. Lub caij ntuj sov no, Bank of America economists ceeb toom Cov neeg siv khoom uas ua rau kev nce nyiaj nce ntxiv thiab qhov txiaj ntsig tau nce siab tau ua rau "kev txhawj xeeb tsis zoo" hauv kev lag luam, thiab tshwj xeeb hauv kev lag luam vaj tsev nyob ib zaug. "Fed tau cog lus ntau dua los siv nws cov cuab yeej los pab kho tus nqi ruaj khov, nrog kev txaus siab lees txais tsawg kawg qee qhov mob hauv cov txheej txheem," lawv hais.
Tsis meej
Fed txoj cai nruj heev twb tau ntim cov vaj tsev thiab cov khw muag khoom. Kev muag khoom hauv tsev tshiab tau poob qis rau rau xyoo qis rau lub caij ntuj sov no, thiab cov khw lag luam tau poob txog 25% ntawm nws cov nqi xyoo no - thim rov qab ze li ob xyoos ntawm kev nce. Cov kws tshuaj ntsuam ceeb toom qhov kev poob qis tsuas yog tau txais zuj zus yog lub teb chaws poob rau hauv kev txom nyem.
ntxiv nyeem ntawv
Tau qhov twg los: https://www.forbes.com/sites/jonathanponciano/2022/10/11/worst-is-yet-to-come-imf-cuts-economic-outlook-and-warns-global-inflation-still- tsis tau peaked/