Kuv xav tias kuv tsis tau hnov ​​tib lo lus Powell uas lwm tus tub luam tau ua

Kuv tsis paub meej tias yuav hais li cas txog hnub Wednesday qhov kev tawm tsam tshwj tsis yog, "WOW!" Peb tuaj yeem pom zoo tias Todd Campbell tau pom thaum nws tawm tswv yim tias cov tub lag luam muaj peev xwm leaning tsis zoo ua ntej Fed Thawj Tswj Hwm Jerome Powell's Brookings Institution hais lus.

Hais lus ntawm Thawj Tswj Hwm Powell thiab cov khoom lag luam zoo kawg tau txais txiaj ntsig, nws tau hais dab tsi uas tau lav 4.5% dhia ntawm Nasdaq thiab nce siab dua 3% ntawm S&P 500? Koj puas paub? Vim kuv paub tseeb tias tsis!

cov Wall Street Journal tus Nick Timiraos (tom qab lub paywall) tau khiav ib daim rau hnub Wednesday yav tav su hais tias, "Jerome Powell Signals Fed Npaj kom qeeb tus nqi nce siab nyob rau lub Kaum Ob Hlis." OK, qhov zoo. Tab sis xav tias peb tig mus rau qhov CME FedWatch Tool. Nyob rau hauv tas li ntawd, thaum lub lag luam yog pricing nyob rau hauv ib tug 75.8% qhov tshwm sim ntawm ib tug 50-basic-point tus nqi nce nyob rau hauv nruab nrab Lub Kaum Ob Hlis, lub khw twb tau pricing nyob rau hauv lub caij nyoog npaum li cas ib lub lim tiam dhau los, nyob rau lub Kaum Ib Hlis 23.

Cov bulls tuaj yeem taw qhia tias qhov tsis sib xws ntawm 75-pab-taw tes nce mus rau lub Kaum Ob Hlis poob los ntawm 33.7% rau hnub Tuesday mus rau 24.2% rau hnub Wednesday. Los yog qhov kev ncaj ncees rau kev sib sau ua ke yuav yog qhov txawv ntawm 25-pab-taw tes mus taug kev thaum Lub Ob Hlis 1 tau nce ob peb feem pua ​​​​ntawm cov ntsiab lus thaum qhov txawv ntawm 50-qhov taw qhia-taw qhia kev nce siab tsis kam.

Kuv txawm hnov ​​​​dab tsi ntawm cov neeg sau ntawv nag hmo cov lus hais los ntawm Powell qhia meej tias Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve tau npaj los pivot. Thiab qhov ntawd ua rau kuv xav - dab tsi yog qhov Fed pivot?

Yog tias koj google "Dab tsi yog Fed pivot, "thawj yam uas tshwm sim yog Fed pivot txhais, saib zoo ntawm Investopedia. Thiab raws li Investopedia lub vev xaib, "A Fed pivot yog thaum Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve thim rov qab nws txoj cai tswjfwm nyiaj txiag uas twb muaj lawm. Fed pivot tshwm sim thaum lub hauv paus kev lag luam tau hloov mus rau qhov zoo li no uas Fed tsis tuaj yeem tswj hwm nws txoj cai nyiaj txiag uas twb muaj lawm. "

Pom tau tias kuv tau mloog cov lus tsis raug nag hmo vim kuv tsis hnov ​​Powell hais tias nws tab tom tig lub zog thiab npaj kom qis dua.

Yog li, vim li cas cov tub lag luam tau hla lawv tus kheej mus yuav cov khoom lag luam nag hmo?

Rev Shark ntsia nws hauv nws kaw lus: "Qhov laj thawj tseem ceeb yog qhov kev cia siab tau qis. Nws tau cia siab tias nws yuav ua suab tsis zoo thiab hawkish, tab sis lub suab ntawm nws cov lus yog me ntsis upbeat thiab optimistic. Nws tau qhia tias Fed xav tias nws muaj lub tswv yim zoo nyob rau hauv qhov chaw thiab ntseeg nws thaum kawg nws yuav ua haujlwm. "

Raws li cov khoom lag luam muaj kev txhawj xeeb, peb paub tias tho txawv ole industrials thiab cov khoom muaj nqis tau nyob hauv vogue. Nws yog qhov zoo kom pom ETF xws li Vanguard Value ETF (VTV) ntawm ib tug mere 3% los ntawm nws txhua lub sij hawm siab los yog SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Nruab Nrab ETF (DIA) tsuas yog 5.3% ntawm nws lub Ib Hlis thaum ntxov. Tab sis kev yuav lossis ntxiv rau ETF ntawm qib tam sim no qhia koj tias kev lag luam bull tshiab nyob hauv qhov chaw. Thiab kuv, rau ib qho, kuv tseem tsis tau muaj. Yog tias muaj dab tsi, kuv xav muag cov ETFs ntawm thawj lub cim ntawm kev qaug zog hauv qab 10-hnub exponential txav nruab nrab (EMA).

Raws li iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM), SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SIV) thiab Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) muaj kev txhawj xeeb, tsis muaj ib qho ntawm cov ETFs no tau ncav cuag li DIA. Rau scalping thiab viav vias trading lub hom phiaj, Kuv txaus siab los ua tus tswv ntawm peb ETFs nrog rau qhov caveat tias kuv yog ib tug neeg muag khoom nyob rau hauv thawj hint ntawm ib tug kaw nyob rau hauv 21-hnub EMA.