Yuav ua li cas cov tub rog Ukrainian tuaj yeem tau tom qab tus dej Dnipro thiab dov ntau txhiab tus tub rog Lavxias

Tus dej Dnipro yog qhov loj tshaj plaws kev cuam tshuam nyob rau hauv tag nrho cov ntawm Ukraine. Khiav sab qaum teb mus rau sab qab teb los ntawm cov nroog loj suav nrog lub nroog Kyiv, tus dej - uas nyob rau ntawm cov ntsiab lus dav li 10 mais-kov txoj cai nyob rau yav qab teb Ukraine, ntws dhau ntawm qhov chaw nres nkoj Kherson ua ntej ntws mus rau hauv Hiav Txwv Dub.

Tus dej yog lub sijhawm rau cov neeg Lavxias thiab cov Ukrainians. Tab sis muaj cov lus qhia muaj zog Ukrainians nyob rau hauv txoj haujlwm zoo tshaj plaws los siv nws.

Cov tub rog Ukrainian rov qab los rau lub Tsib Hlis tau siv lawv cov foob pob hluav taws tshiab, Asmeskas tsim thiab European-ua howitzers los tsom rau Dnipro txuas hniav nyob ze Kherson. Tso cov choj txiav tawm cov khoom siv rau cov tub rog Lavxias uas nyob sab qaum teb ib nrab ntawm Kherson Oblast.

Thaum lub zog ntawm Russia tshaib plab thaum kawg thim rov qab los ntawm sab qaum teb Kherson lub lim tiam dhau los, lawv tau hla Dnipro ntawm cov kav dej pontoon thiab khawb rau ntawm tus dej sab laug ntug dej. Qhov twg ib zaug Dnipro yog ib qho teeb meem rau cov Russians, tam sim no nws yog ib qho cuab tam - ib qho kev tiv thaiv ntuj.

Yuav ua li cas thiab zoo npaum li cas cov neeg Ukrainians hla Dnipro tuaj yeem txiav txim thaum twg, thiab yuav ua li cas, cov tub rog Ukrainian txuas ntxiv nws qhov kev tawm tsam zoo heev, uas tau ncaws tawm thaum lub Yim Hli thiab lub Cuaj Hli. Cov counteroffensives tau liberated tag nrho cov ntawm Kharkiv Oblast nyob rau sab hnub tuaj thiab feem ntau ntawm Kherson Oblast nyob rau sab qab teb.

Cov Ukrainians 's yav qab teb thawb feem ntau tau nres ntawm Dnipro txoj cai bank, txawm hais tias muaj cov cim qhia tias Ukrainian kev ua haujlwm tshwj xeeb rog tau siv cov nkoj me me hla lub qhov ncauj ntawm Dnipro thiab Reconnoiter Kinburn Spit, ib tug xuab zeb strip jutting rau hauv hiav txwv cia li sab qab teb ntawm tus dej qhov ncauj.

Yog lawm, cov tub rog Lavxias teb sab hauv Ukraine tau raug ntaus, nkees thiab tshaib plab - thiab los ntshav tawm tsam lub zog los ntawm ib hnub. cov uas tsis tau kawm thiab tsis zoo siab rau daim ntawv trudge mus rau pem hauv ntej kab nyob rau hauv kev txiav txim ib feem los hloov lub 100,000 zoo Lavxias teb sab pab tub rog uas tau raug tua los yog raug mob nyob rau hauv cuaj lub hlis ntawm tsov rog.

Tab sis cov Russians tseem nyob rau hauv kev sib ntaus sib tua. Kaum tawm txhiab tus tub rog thiab ntau pua lub tsheb armored uas yog 8th thiab 49th Combined Army nyob rau ntawm Dnipro lub txhab nyiaj sab laug. Cov tub rog Lavxias tseem muaj ntau dua thiab zoo dua tua nyoob hoom qav taub thiab dav hlau dav hlau ntau dua li cov tub rog Ukrainian.

Yog tias cov Ukrainians sim yuam lawv txoj kev hla tus dej tawm tsam cov kev tiv thaiv no, lawv tuaj yeem raug mob hnyav - thiab yuav ua tsis tiav. Xav txog seb nws siv sijhawm ntev npaum li cas, thiab nws raug nqi npaum li cas rau cov neeg thiab cov cuab yeej siv, rau Ukrainian tub rog lub caij ntuj sov no kom hla tus dej Inhulets nqaim dua uas hla mus rau sab qaum teb Kherson.

Yog vim li cas Mike Martin, tus khub ntawm Lub Tsev Haujlwm Saib Xyuas Kev Ua Tsov Rog ntawm King's College hauv London, xav tias lawv yuav tsis txawm sim. Hloov chaw, Ukrainian rog tuaj yeem tsim tawm qhov kev tawm tsam tshiab los ntawm thaj chaw uas lawv twb tau hla Dnipro. Ntawd yog, los ntawm Zaporizhzhia Oblast, sab hnub tuaj ntawm Kherson Oblast. "Lawv tuaj yeem tsav lub axis sab qab teb thiab sim txiav cov tub rog Lavxias hauv ob," nws tweeted.

Ntau ntawm Zaporizhzhia Oblast sab hnub tuaj yog nyob rau hauv Lavxias teb sab txoj haujlwm, tab sis tsis yog sab qaum teb - thiab tsis yog lub nroog Zaporizhzhia, uas nyob rau sab hnub poob ntawm Dnipro River 150 mais qaum teb sab hnub tuaj ntawm Kherson nroog. Ukrainian rog nyob ib ncig ntawm Zaporizhzhia tuaj yeem tawm tsam mus rau sab qab teb thiab, xav tias lawv tuaj yeem ua txhaum Lavxias kev tiv thaiv hauv cheeb tsam, tig mus rau sab hnub tuaj thiab yob raws Dnipro sab laug ntug dej mus rau tus dej lub qhov ncauj.

Ib qho kev vam meej sab laug nuv, mus qiv boxing terminology, yuav yuam cov Russians tawm ntawm tag nrho cov yav qab teb Ukraine tshwj tsis yog lub tswv yim Crimean Peninsula, uas Russia nyob rau hauv 2014. Nws tsis muaj exaggeration hais tias ib tug laug nuv yuav position cov Ukrainians mus yuam lawv txoj kev mus rau hauv Crimea. thiab pib thim rov qab yim xyoo ntawm Lavxias teb sab expansion. Martin piav qhia tias "Crimea yog lawv lub hom phiaj tseem ceeb ntawm no,"

Martin posited Zaporizhzhia sab laug nuv vim nws yog ib qho pom tseeb txav. Tab sis nws yog qhov pom tseeb tias cov thawj coj Lavxias tau xav txog nws ... txoj kev rov qab rau lub Yim Hli. Eyeing Ukrainian buildups nyob ib ncig ntawm Kharkiv nyob rau hauv sab hnub tuaj thiab Kherson nyob rau hauv sab qab teb, Lavxias teb sab commanders pib txhawb lub kaum os los yog ntau battalions uas yog 58th Combined Arms Army sab qab teb ntawm Zaporizhzhia.

Qhov teeb meem, rau cov Russians, yog qhov kev txhawb zog tsis zoo. Lawv suav nrog ntau pua xyoo 1980s-vintage-los yog laus dua-T-62 tso tsheb hlau luam Kremlin rub tawm ntawm lub sijhawm ntev cia kom ua tau zoo qee qhov kev poob hauv Ukraine. Lub T-62s tau ua pov thawj tsawg dua qhov tsis muaj txiaj ntsig: cov Ukrainians tau ntes lawv los ntawm lub kaum os.

Tab sis nws tsis paub meej tias Ukrainian rog muaj cov neeg ua haujlwm thiab lub zog hluav taws xob uas lawv xav tau rub tawm sab laug nuv. Qhov zoo tshaj plaws thiab muaj kev paub txog Ukrainian formations suav nrog 92nd thiab 93rd Mechanized Brigades thiab 128th Mountain Brigade yog cov thawj coj ntawm sab hnub tuaj thiab sab qab teb counteroffensive, feem.

Yog tias Kyiv muaj qhov xav tsis thoob hauv khw rau Zaporizhzhia pem hauv ntej, nws yuav tuaj nyob rau hauv daim ntawv ntawm ob Ukrainian tank brigades uas muaj nyob rau hauv daim ntawv tab sis tseem tsis tau tshwm sim nyob rau hauv pem hauv ntej kab. Lub 5th thiab 14th Tank Brigades tej zaum yuav nyob rau hauv qhov chaw nyob ib ncig ntawm Zaporizhzhia. Ces dua, lawv tej zaum tsis yuav.

Yog tias cov Ukrainians muaj rau lawv ob lub tank tub rog ua ke nrog ob peb puas T-72 tso tsheb hlau luam, lawv tsuas yog yuav muaj qhov loj uas lawv xav tau rau kev ua tiav sab laug. "Kuv xav tias qhov no yuav tshwm sim thaum lub caij ntuj no," Martin mused.

Tau qhov twg los: https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2022/11/15/the-zaporizhzhia-left-hook-how-the-ukrainian-army-could-get-behind-the-dnipro-river- thiab-roll-up-thousand-of-russian-troops/