Yuav ua li cas hluav taws xob cua tsheb tavxij tuaj yeem cuam tshuam kev lag luam dav hlau

Lub ntiaj teb nrog cov tsheb ya, zoo li 1960s sitcom Lub Jetsons, yuav nyob ze dua li qhov koj xav.

Cov tuam txhab thoob plaws Asmeskas, suav nrog ntau lub lag luam pib, tab tom tsim hluav taws xob cua tsheb tavxij uas tsom mus nqa tsheb tawm ntawm txoj kev thiab tso cov neeg saum ntuj.

Cov tuam txhab lag luam lag luam, tshwj xeeb, tau nqis peev hauv hom thev naus laus zis no ua rau kev mus ncig thiab los ntawm tshav dav hlau luv thiab sai dua rau cov neeg siv khoom.

Thaum lub Kaum Hlis, Delta Cua Kab koom nrog cov npe ntawm airlines txhawb EV technology startups, nrog rau $ 60 lab peev hauv Joby Aviation, lub tuam txhab tsim hluav taws xob ntsug nqa tawm thiab tsaws dav hlau (eVTOLs), npaj los ua haujlwm ua kev pabcuam huab cua.

Hauv 2021, thaum Joby tshaj tawm nws txoj kev npaj yuav pib nws Uber zoo li huab cua taxis los ntawm 2024, nws tsim kev thuam los ntawm cov kws tshuaj ntsuam kev lag luam ntawm lub peev xwm los tso tawm los ntawm hnub ntawd. Tab sis Delta kev nqis peev hauv Joby yog kev koom tes tsib xyoos los ua haujlwm eVTOLs tshwj xeeb hauv Delta lub network.

United Airlines tseem koom tes nrog Swedish-based startup, Heart Aerospace, kom muaj hluav taws xob aircraft ya regional routes los ntawm 2030, ntxiv rau ob qho ntxiv eVTOL kev nqis peev los ntawm lub dav hlau. Ib qho yog rau $ 15 lab nrog Eve Air Mobility rau 200 lub dav hlau, thiab lwm qhov rau $ 10 lab nrog Archer Aviation rau 100 eVTOLs.

American Airlines nqis peev $ 25 lab hauv Vertical Aerospace, lub tuam txhab UK-based, nrog rau kev txiav txim rau 50 lub dav hlau.

Thaum cov dav hlau loj nkag mus rau kev pom zoo nrog kev pib ua lag luam thoob ntiaj teb, nws yog ib qho tseem ceeb kom nco ntsoov cov no yog cov xwm txheej. Nws nyob ntawm daim ntawv pov thawj ntawm cov dav hlau no thiab cov tuam txhab lag luam tuaj yeem tsim tau sai npaum li cas, hais tias Savanthi Syth, tus thawj coj ntawm kev tshawb fawb txog kev ncaj ncees, suav nrog cov dav hlau thoob ntiaj teb thiab kev txav mus los ntawm Raymond James.

Thaum cov dav hlau no tau txais ntawv pov thawj thiab pib nce ntau lawm, Syth tau hais tias qhov kev lag luam muaj peev xwm loj nyob ntawm seb cov tuam txhab nyob ze tuaj yeem tau txais eVTOLs mus rau qhov twg cov neeg siv khoom.

"Thaum pib, eVTOLs yuav tsum hloov koj lub tsheb tus kheej," Syth hais. "Tab sis nws yuav txawv rau tib neeg, raws li qhov twg eVTOLs yuav mus."

Cov tuam txhab xav txog eVTOLs siv cov txheej txheem uas twb muaj lawm los ua haujlwm, xws li tsim "vertistops," qhov chaw dav hlau tsaws saum cov tsev nyob hauv nroog kom them nqi ntawm qhov luv luv, lossis "vertiports," uas siv cov tshav dav hlau hauv cheeb tsam kom them nqi ntawm qhov ntev, kwv yees li ntawm 100. mais.

Yog tias cov tuam txhab tuaj yeem tso cov vertistops thiab vertiports ze rau cov neeg siv khoom hauv thaj chaw nyob, ces qhov kev lag luam loj tuaj yeem loj, Syth tau hais.

"Peb xav tias koj yuav pom cov haujlwm me me ntawm [eVTOL] pib hauv 2025 lub sijhawm, nrog cov ntawv pov thawj vam tias yuav tshwm sim hauv 2024," Syth tau hais. "Tab sis rau koj pom ntau lub dav hlau ya saum taub hau, tej zaum nws yuav muaj feem ntau dua rau xyoo 2030."

Thaum airlines fim cov nqi thiab muaj cov nyom Beau Roy, tus thawj coj loj ntawm FTI Consulting, uas tshwj xeeb hauv kev lag luam aviation tau hais tias hauv kev ua kom muaj kev ruaj khov dua, kev nqis peev hauv eVTOLs yog ib qho kev siv zog uas cov tuam txhab lag luam tuaj yeem sim tawm tsam cov pa roj carbon monoxide.

“Cov tuam txhab lag luam tsis muaj ntau txoj kev xaiv [sustainable]. Qhov kev xaiv loj tshaj plaws yog cov roj aviation ruaj khov, tab sis xyoo tas los, tej zaum ib qho ntawm txhua 1,000 nkas loos roj dav hlau tuaj yeem pom raws li SAF, "Roy hais. "Cov tuam txhab lag luam tau nruj nrog qhov chaw uas lawv tuaj yeem nqis peev."

Thaum eVTOLs pib muab cov dav hlau ntxiv rau lawv cov ntaub ntawv ESG, lawv kuj muab lawv lub peev xwm los ua kom muaj peev xwm hloov tsheb ntev nrog kev xaiv dav hlau rau cov neeg siv khoom.

Roy hais tias "Ib qho kev nthuav dav siv [ntawm eVTOLs] yog xav txog kev coj tib neeg tawm ntawm lub tsheb rau 100-, 200-, lossis 300-mais mus ncig uas peb mus," Roy hais. "Zoo rau 200 lab mus ncig hauv ib xyoos yog nyob rau hauv tsheb rau 100- txog 500-mais deb."

Roy tau hais tias cov dav hlau tsis yog tsuas yog nqa tsheb tawm ntawm txoj kev rau qhov txiaj ntsig ntawm ib puag ncig, tab sis lawv tab tom qhib lub qhov rooj rau cov neeg siv khoom kom them nyiaj sai dua thiab muaj txiaj ntsig zoo dua rau cov tsheb.

"Lub dav hlau tab tom saib, 'Yuav ua li cas peb thiaj li tau txais tus nqi thiab kev siv yooj yim dua rau tib neeg?'" Roy hais. "Yog tias nws pheej yig txaus thiab lub sijhawm txuag tseem ceeb txaus, tib neeg yuav hloov lawv tus cwj pwm thiab tawm ntawm lub tsheb."

Kev ya tawm ntawm tshav dav hlau hauv cheeb tsam los ntawm cov nroog me tsis pom ntau thoob plaws lub tebchaws lawm, Roy tau hais. Cov tsheb feem ntau tshwm sim ntawm cov tshav dav hlau loj, yog li cov dav hlau tuaj yeem ua kom zoo dua ntawm cov thev naus laus zis tshiab xws li eVTOLs thiab cov tshav dav hlau hauv cheeb tsam uas twb muaj lawm rau kev lag luam loj hlob.

Delta thiab Joby tab tom npaj rau eVTOLs txhawm rau ntaus lub nroog loj, xws li New York City thiab Los Angeles, rau qhov pib pib.

Ranjan Goswami, tus lwm thawj ntawm cov neeg siv khoom tsim kev paub dhau los ntawm Delta, tau hais tias lub tuam txhab tau teeb tsa nws qhov kev pom ntawm NYC thiab LA vim tias muaj kev sib tw loj heev thiab kev tsheb khiav hauv cov nroog loj, thiab vim li cas Delta tseem ceeb nyob hauv cov khw no.

Goswami tau hais tias "Lub nroog loj yog qhov uas koj muaj cov neeg siv tau zoo tshaj plaws thiab cov neeg siv ntau tshaj plaws los siv [eVTOL] kev pabcuam," Goswami tau hais. "Nws tseem yog qhov uas koj muaj kev lag luam ntawm qhov ntsuas rau, thaum kawg, pab coj tus nqi mus txog rau ntau tus neeg."

Goswami tau hais tias tau mus thiab los ntawm tshav dav hlau yog qee qhov kev ntxhov siab tshaj plaws ntawm kev mus ncig, thiab eVTOLs yuav txo qhov kev paub dhau los.

Goswami tau hais tias "Peb yuav tsis tham nrog lub khw tam sim no txog cov ntsiab lus ntawm tus nqi, tab sis peb ntseeg tias nws yuav tsum yog tus nqi nkag tau," Goswami tau hais. "Tsis zoo li lub nyoob hoom qav taub, uas kim heev, lub hom phiaj yog ua kom [eVTOLs] ncav cuag thiab pheej yig rau cov pej xeem mus ncig."

Thaum Roy hais tias nws muaj kev cia siab txog kev pom eVTOLs nyob rau hauv kaum xyoo tom ntej, cov tsheb tavxij huab cua no yuav tsis tawm sai li sai tau raws li kev pib lag luam thiab cov dav hlau yuav cia siab.

Ntxiv rau qhov tau txais cov dav hlau no tsim thiab tom qab ntawv lees paub, Roy tau hais tias kev siv cov txheej txheem uas twb muaj lawm kom haum rau eVTOLs kuj yog ib qho teeb meem.

Yog tias eVTOLs tsaws ntawm lub ru tsev, Roy tau hais tias, muaj ntau qhov kev tsim kho thiab cov txheej txheem tshiab uas nkag mus rau hauv kev hloov lub ru tsev mus rau hauv qhov chaw. Nrog eVTOLs ua haujlwm ntawm cov roj teeb hluav taws xob, cov tsev no yuav tsum tsim kom muaj zog thiab hluav taws xob ntau rau cov chaw them nqi.

Roy hais tias "Cov dav hlau no yuav mus ua haujlwm, thiab FAA [Tsoomfwv Tsav Xwm Saib Xyuas Kev Nyab Xeeb] yuav ua lawv txoj haujlwm kom paub tseeb tias lawv ua haujlwm," Roy hais. "Nws tsuas yog yuav siv sijhawm ib ntus kom tau los ntawm qhov chaw peb nyob niaj hnub no mus rau qhov chaw uas peb yuav tsum nyob."