Kev lag luam vaj tsev nyob qis qis ntawm txhais tes ntawm kev nce nqi paj thiab cov neeg siv khoom lag luam tsis txaus ntseeg tsuas yog pib xwb, raws li Goldman Sachs Chief Economist Jan Hatzius.
"Lub tsev kuv xav tias tseem muaj qhov tsis muaj zog ua ntej," Hatzius hais rau Yahoo Finance Live ntawm lub Goldman Sachs Communacopia + Technology Conference. "Cov ntsuas muaj tau txuas ntxiv los ntawm sab tsis muaj zog. Yog li thaum cov neeg siv khoom yuav ua tau zoo dua me ntsis vim tias kev nce nqi qis, kuv xav tias vaj tse yuav muag muag zoo nkauj. "
Cov cim qhia ntawm qhov loj ntawm vaj tse qeeb qeeb tau khaws nyob rau hauv lub hlis tsis ntev los no raws li qhov 30-xyoo tsev qiv nyiaj tau nce mus txog ze li 6% mus rau theem tsis pom txij li xyoo 2008.
Kev muag khoom hauv tsev uas twb muaj lawm tau poob rau lub hlis thib rau hauv lub Xya Hli, raws li National Association of Realtors. Kev muag khoom poob 5.9% los ntawm Lub Rau Hli thiab 20.2% los ntawm ib xyoos dhau los. Tus nqi nruab nrab uas twb muaj lawm muag hauv tsev tau nce 10.8% xyoo dhau los rau $ 403,800 tab sis tau qis me ntsis los ntawm cov ntaub ntawv siab nyob rau lub Rau Hli.
Lub sijhawm no, Department of Commerce, qhia tias kev muag khoom tshiab hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas tsev neeg ib leeg tau nce 12.6% thaum Lub Xya Hli. Ntawm 511,000 units hauv lub hlis, kev muag tsev tshiab nyob rau theem qis tshaj txij li Lub Ib Hlis 2016.
Cov khoom lag luam tethered rau qhov kev pom rau vaj tse kuj tau hammered.
Homebuilder stocks Hu rau Cov Kwv Tij thiab KB Tsev tau nqis los ntawm 13% thiab 25% hauv rau lub hlis dhau los, ua tsis tau zoo S&P 500's 4% poob. Lub Tsev Depot cov khoom lag luam tawm los ntawm ib puag ncig 9% hauv rau lub hlis dhau los, thaum tus neeg sib tw Lowe muaj ntau dua 10%.
Hatzius txoj haujlwm qhia tias kev ntxhov siab ntawm cov nqi vaj tsev nyob hauv kev lag luam tseem ceeb yuav ua kom nrawm dua.
"Yog li peb tsis muaj lub teb chaws nominal lub tsev nqi poob rau hauv peb qhov kev kwv yees," Hatzius ntxiv. "Tab sis peb xav tias nws yuav yog qhov chaw muaj kev sib kis loj tshaj plaws uas pom kev poob qis, thiab tej zaum twb pom kev poob qis lawm. Tab sis qhov ntawd yog qhov cuam tshuam los ntawm ntau qhov sib txawv ntawm lub tebchaws uas tsis pom muaj ntau qhov kev sib kis loj uas peb tseem yuav pom tus nqi nce ntxiv. Tab sis kuv xav tias qhov kev pheej hmoo yog nce tilted rau lub teb chaws tus nqi poob. "
Brian Sozzi yog ib qho editor-at-large thiab thauj tog rau nkoj ntawm Yahoo FinanceCov. Ua raws li Sozzi ntawm Twitter @BrianSozzi thiab nyob rau LinkedIn.
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Tau qhov twg los: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/housing-market-goldman-sachs-forecast-143907322.html