Lub Tsev Lag Luam Kev Lag Luam Boom 'Tshaj Tawm' Raws li Kev Muag Khoom Hauv Tsev Tshiab - Ntawm no yog Dab Tsi Los Ntawm Cov Nqi Xyoo No

Tojsiab

Kev muag tsev tshiab tau poob qis ntau dua li cov kws lag luam xav tau - thiab rau plaub lub hlis sib law liag - hauv lub Plaub Hlis, raws li cov ntaub ntawv tshaj tawm hnub Tuesday, ntxiv rau cov cim qhia tias kev lag luam vaj tsev loj hlob tuaj yeem yog vim muaj kev hloov pauv loj heev.

Cov Lus Tseem Ceeb

Txog 591,000 lub tsev tshiab ib leeg-tsev neeg tau muag lub hli dhau los ntawm kev hloov kho raws caij nyoog ib xyoos ib zaug, poob 16.6% qis dua lub Peb Hlis tus nqi ntawm 709,000 thiab poob qis qis dua qhov kev kwv yees kwv yees ntawm 750,000, Lub Tsev Haujlwm Saib Xyuas Kev Suav Pej Xeem qhia rau hnub Tuesday.

"Hauv luv luv, tog tau dhau lawm," Pantheon Macro tus kws tshawb fawb nyiaj txiag Ian Shepherdson tau hais hauv email tom qab tsab ntawv ceeb toom, taw qhia tias kev poob qis hauv kev muag khoom ua raws li "tus qauv qis qis hauv daim ntawv thov qiv nyiaj" raws li cov nqi tsev qiv nyiaj pib nce siab ntawm heels. Federal Reserve paj tus nqi hikes hauv lub Peb Hlis Ntuj.

]Cov nyiaj them txhua hli yuav tsum tau yuav tsev tau nce li ntawm 50% txij lub Cuaj Hli, nrog txog li ob feem peb ntawm qhov nce vim qhov nce ntawm tus nqi, Shepherdson hais; tus nruab nrab 30-xyoo-laus tus nqi qiv nyiaj tau nce mus rau 5.25% lub hlis no, los ntawm 3% tsuas yog ib xyoos dhau los.

Txawm hais tias muaj kev sib tsoo hauv kev muag khoom, tus nqi nruab nrab tau nce mus rau qhov siab tshiab txhua lub sijhawm ntawm ntau dua $ 450,000-xav txog tus nqi siab uas ua rau muaj kev xav tau vaj tsev nyob, LPL Tus Thawj Saib Xyuas Nyiaj Txiag Jeffrey Roach tau hais hauv tsab ntawv ceeb toom hnub Tuesday, ceeb toom rau kev ua lag luam muag vaj tsev yuav luag. tag nrho kev lag luam loj hlob nyob rau lub quarter no.

Cov ntaub ntawv tuaj tsawg dua ib lub lim tiam tom qab Lub Tsev Haujlwm Saib Xyuas Kev Lag Luam qhia Tus naj npawb ntawm cov ntawv tso cai nyob hauv ib xyoos tau poob mus rau tsib lub hlis qis ntawm 1.8 lab hauv lub Plaub Hlis, thaum lub tsev nyob pib nyob rau ntawm qhov phem tshaj qhov kev cia siab ntawm 1.7 lab - ua piv txwv qhov kev poob qis hauv lub hlis tom ntej, hais tias Shepherdson.

Ib qho chaw uas muaj peev xwm ci ntsa iab: Cov nqi yuav tsum pib txias raws li qhov kev thov pheej poob qis, hais tias Comerica Bank's Bill Adams, kwv yees kwv yees li 20% tus nqi nce lig yuav tsum poob rau tus lej qis thaum kawg ntawm xyoo tom ntej.

Tus Keeb Kwm Tseem Ceeb

Txawm hais tias tsis ntev los no cov cim qhia ntawm kev poob qis, keeb kwm kev txuag nyiaj siab thiab tsis tau pom dua los ntawm tsoomfwv cov kev txhawb nqa tau pab cuam tshuam rau kev yuav khoom hauv tsev thaum muaj kev sib kis. Kev muag khoom hauv tsev nruab nrab nqi yog $346,900 xyoo tas los, nce 17% rau qib siab tshaj plaws ntawm cov ntaub ntawv, raws li National Association of Realtors. Ntxiv rau qhov kev lag luam poob nyiaj nrog cov nyiaj ntsuab, "kev kub ntxhov" cov saw hlau tseem tau ua rau muaj kev tsis txaus ntseeg hauv vaj tse thiab cov nqi nce, raws li Bank of America. "Cov neeg tsim vaj tsev tau poob qis," hais tias Bank of America's Alexander Lin, taw qhia cov tsev nyob hauv kev tsim kho xyoo tas los tshaj li cov tsev tsim thawj zaug hauv keeb kwm, thaum cov tsev tso cai tab sis tsis tau pib mus txog qhov siab.

Tsis meej

Fed tau pib ua nws feem ntau Txhoj puab heev paj laum-nqi hiking voj voog nyob rau hauv ob xyoo caum raws li nws cia siab tias yuav yooj yim xyoo caum-siab inflation thaum inevitably ua ib tug slew ntawm cov nuj nqis muab - nrog rau yav tom ntej mortgages - kim dua. "Kev lag luam tsis hloov pauv thiab qhov tsis paub tseeb ntawm kev ua tsov ua rog ua rau muaj kev cuam tshuam rau kev nce nqi tsev," hais tias Bankrate Tus Thawj Saib Xyuas Nyiaj Txiag Greg McBride, ceeb toom tias cov kab qiv nyiaj hauv tsev yuav luag ib txwm nqa cov nqi sib txawv uas pom yuav luag tam sim ntawd nce, thaum cov nqi ruaj khov yuav pib nce. rau kev qiv nyiaj tshiab.

ntxiv nyeem ntawv

Kev Yuav Tsev Tau Los Ua 'Tsis Muaj Peev Xwm Rau Neeg Asmeskas Feem Ntau': Ntawm no yog Cov Kws Paub Txog Kev Ua Lag Luam Hauv Tsev Hauv 2022 (Forbes)

Tau qhov twg los: https://www.forbes.com/sites/jonathanponciano/2022/05/24/housing-market-boom-is-over-as-new-home-sales-implodeheres-what-to-expect-from- nqi-no-xyoo/