Kev xav hauv tsev hauv lub Ib Hlis tau nce thawj zaug hauv ib xyoos

Cov tsev nyob hauv kev tsim kho hauv Tucson, Arizona, Asmeskas, hnub Tuesday, Lub Ob Hlis 22, 2022. Kev muag khoom ntawm cov tsev tshiab hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas tau thim rov qab rau lub Ib Hlis tom qab muaj kev kub ntxhov ntawm kev yuav khoom thaum kawg ntawm 2021, qhia tias kev nce nqi ntawm cov nqi tsev yuav pib txwv qhov kev thov. .

Rebecca Noble | Bloomberg | Cov duab Getty

Cov neeg tsim kev xav hauv kev ua lag luam ib leeg tsev neeg tau tshaj tawm qhov kev xav tau nce hauv lub Ib Hlis, nce thawj zaug hauv 12 lub hlis ncaj. Economists tau kwv yees qhov kev poob qis me ntsis.

Kev xav tau nce plaub lub ntsiab lus rau 35 ntawm National Association of Home Builders / Wells Fargo Housing Market Index. Txhua yam hauv qab 50 tseem suav tias yog kev xav tsis zoo. Qhov ntsuas tau sawv ntawm 83 thaum Lub Ib Hlis 2022.

Jerry Konter, tus thawj coj ntawm NAHB thiab tus tsim tsev los ntawm Savannah hais tias "Nws zoo nkaus li qhov tsis tshua muaj siab rau cov neeg tsim kev xav hauv lub voj voog no tau sau npe rau lub Kaum Ob Hlis, txawm tias muaj ntau tus neeg tsim khoom txuas ntxiv siv ntau yam kev txhawb siab, suav nrog kev txo nqi, txhawb kev muag khoom," Georgia. "Kev nce siab hauv cov neeg tsim kev xav kuj txhais tau hais tias lub voj voog qis rau kev tso cai thiab pib yuav nyob ze, thiab kev rov qab los rau lub tsev yuav ua tiav tom qab xyoo 2023."

Tag nrho peb ntawm qhov ntsuas qhov ntsuas tau tshaj tawm tau nce hauv Lub Ib Hlis: cov kev muag khoom tam sim no tau nce plaub lub ntsiab lus rau 40, qhov kev cia siab ntawm kev muag khoom hauv rau lub hlis tom ntej tau nce ob lub ntsiab lus rau 37, thiab cov neeg yuav khoom tau nce peb lub ntsiab lus rau 23.

Ob tus neeg tsim khoom thiab cov neeg siv khoom zoo li yuav teb rau qhov kev poob qis hauv cov nqi tsev tsis ntev los no. Qhov nruab nrab daim ntawv cog lus tus paj laum ntawm 30-xyoo kev qiv nyiaj tas li tau nce siab kawg ntawm 7.37% thaum kawg ntawm Lub Kaum Hli, raws li Mortgage News Daily. Nws tom qab ntawd poob thoob plaws lub Kaum Ob Hlis thiab sawv ntawm 6.17% raws li hnub Tuesday.

"Thaum NAHB tau kwv yees qhov poob qis rau tsev neeg ib leeg pib xyoo no piv rau 2022, nws zoo li qhov hloov pauv rau vaj tsev nyob tom ntej," Robert Dietz, NAHB tus kws tshaj lij nyiaj txiag tau hais. "Nyob rau lub quarter tom ntej, ib tsev neeg lub tsev yuav nce tawm ntawm lub voj voog qis vim tias cov nqi qiv nyiaj yuav tsum tau qis dua thiab txhawb nqa vaj tsev pheej yig."

Dietz tau sau tseg tias lub tebchaws tseem muaj kev tsim vaj tsev nyob tsis txaus ntawm 1.5 lab units thiab hais tias kev txhim kho kev pheej hmoo yuav tsum nce kev thov.

Ib qho kev ntsuas ntawm daim ntawv thov qiv nyiaj los yuav tsev tau nce siab heev lub lim tiam dhau los, raws li Lub Tsev Haujlwm Saib Xyuas Nyiaj Txiag. Hmoov tsis zoo, tus naj npawb ntawm cov npe tshiab ntawm kev ua lag luam poob qis los ntawm ib xyoos dhau los.

Tau qhov twg los: https://www.cnbc.com/2023/01/18/homebuilder-sentiment-in-january-rises-for-the-first-time-in-a-year.html