Homebuilder kev xav poob dua, tab sis hauv qab yuav nyob ze

Cov neeg tsim vaj tsev tsis ntseeg siab txog lawv txoj kev lag luam thaum Lub Kaum Ob Hlis, tab sis lawv tab tom pib pom muaj peev xwm tua ntsuab.

Tus tsim kev xav nyob rau hauv ib tsev neeg lub tsev lag luam poob 2 ntsiab lus rau 31 lub Kaum Ob Hlis ntawm National Association of Home Builders / Wells Fargo Housing Market Index. Txhua yam hauv qab 50 yog suav tias yog qhov tsis zoo.

Qhov no yog 12th ncaj lub hlis ntawm kev poob qis thiab kev nyeem qis tshaj plaws txij li nruab nrab-2012, tshwj tsis yog qhov luv luv luv thaum pib ntawm tus kab mob Covid. Qhov ntsuas tau sawv ntawm 84 nyob rau lub Kaum Ob Hlis xyoo tas los.

"Cov nyiaj hauv kab hauv daim ntawv tshaj tawm HMI no yog tias nws yog qhov poob qis tshaj plaws hauv qhov Performance index hauv rau lub hlis dhau los, qhia tias peb tab tom yuav ze rau hauv qab ntawm lub voj voog rau kev tsim kev xav," NAHB tus thawj coj nyiaj txiag, Robert Dietz tau hais. "Cov nqi tsev qiv nyiaj tau nqis los ntawm siab dua 7% hauv lub lis piam tsis ntev los no mus txog 6.3% hnub no, thiab thawj zaug txij li lub Plaub Hlis, cov neeg tsim khoom tau sau npe nce kev muag khoom yav tom ntej. "

Ntawm qhov ntsuas peb lub ntsiab lus, kev muag khoom tam sim no poob 3 ntsiab lus rau 36, cov neeg siv khoom lag luam tsis hloov pauv ntawm 20, tab sis kev cia siab muag hauv rau lub hlis tom ntej tau nce 4 ntsiab lus rau 35.

Hauv cheeb tsam, kev xav tau muaj zog tshaj plaws hauv Northeast thiab tsis muaj zog nyob rau sab hnub poob, qhov twg tus nqi siab tshaj.

NAHB tseem pheej liam rau cov nqi qiv nyiaj siab, uas txawm hais tias tsis ntev los no tau poob qis tseem yog ob zaug qhov lawv tau nyob hauv ib xyoos dhau los. Qhov ntawd tau ua rau muaj peev xwm poob qis.

"Nyob rau hauv qhov kev nce nqi siab no, ib puag ncig tus nqi qiv nyiaj siab, cov neeg tsim khoom tau tawm tsam kom muaj vaj tsev pheej yig rau cov neeg yuav khoom hauv tsev," said NAHB Thawj Tswj Hwm Jerry Konter, tus tsim thiab tsim tawm los ntawm Savannah, Georgia. "Peb qhov kev tshawb fawb zaum kawg qhia tau hais tias 62% ntawm cov neeg tsim khoom siv cov kev txhawb siab los txhawb kev muag khoom, suav nrog kev muab cov nqi tsev qiv nyiaj, them cov ntsiab lus rau cov neeg yuav khoom thiab muab khoom plig. tus nqi txo. "

Tab sis Konter tau sau tseg tias nrog kev tsim kho tus nqi ntau dua 30% txij li thaum pib ntawm lub xyoo no, cov neeg tsim khoom tseem muaj kev nyuaj rau txiav nqi. Kwv yees li 35% ntawm cov neeg tsim khoom txo nqi tsev nyob rau lub Kaum Ob Hlis, nqis los ntawm 36% thaum lub Kaum Ib Hlis. Qhov nruab nrab tus nqi txo yog 8%, nce los ntawm 5% mus rau 6% ua ntej lub xyoo.

"NAHB tab tom cia siab tias yuav tsis muaj vaj tsev nyob tsis muaj zog nyob rau xyoo 2023, thiab peb kwv yees tias yuav rov qab los rau xyoo 2024, muab cov tsev nyob thoob tebchaws uas twb muaj lawm ntawm 1.5 lab units thiab yav tom ntej, cov nqi tsev qiv nyiaj qis dua xav tau nrog Fed txo txoj cai nyiaj txiag hauv 2024," said Dietz. .