Cov Nqi Tsev Teev kom poob rau thawj zaug hauv ib xyoo caum

Tojsiab

Kev poob qis hauv kev muag hauv tsev tau txhawb nqa los ntawm kev nce cov paj laum yuav txuas ntxiv mus rau xyoo tom ntej thiab ua rau lub tsev lag luam tus nqi qis dua ib xyoos ib zaug hauv kaum xyoo, tus tswv lag luam vaj tse Redfin tau tshaj tawm hnub Tuesday, thiab txawm tias qhov kev poob qis yuav tsis sib tw rau qhov kev txhawb nqa los ntawm Great. Kev lag luam poob qis, lwm cov kws tshaj lij kev kwv yees tau hu rau qhov kev poob qis li 20%.

Cov Lus Tseem Ceeb

Hauv tsab ntawv tshaj tawm hnub Tuesday, Redfin tus kws lag luam nyiaj txiag Taylor Marr kwv yees kev muag khoom hauv tsev uas twb muaj lawm yuav poob 16% ntawm ib xyoos ib zaug rau xyoo tom ntej mus txog 4.3 lab - lawv qhov qis tshaj plaws txij li tom qab Kev Txom Nyem Loj hauv xyoo 2011 - raws li cov nqi tsev qiv nyiaj siab, nyiaj txiag tsis tu ncua thiab ib puag ncig. muaj peev xwm poob qis txuas ntxiv mus cuam tshuam cov neeg yuav khoom.

Txawm hais tias nws xav tias yuav rov qab qeeb qeeb hauv ib nrab xyoo, Marr kwv yees qhov kev poob qis hauv tsev muag khoom yuav pab thawb tus nqi nruab nrab rau cov tsev uas twb muaj lawm los ntawm $ 379,100 hauv Lub Kaum Hli 4% mus rau kwv yees li $ 368,000 xyoo tom ntej - cim thawj xyoo poob txij li xyoo 2012. .

"Tus nqi yuav poob ntau dua yog tias tsis yog qhov tsis muaj tsev muag khoom," nws piav qhia, sau tseg tias tag nrho cov khoom muag yuav tsum nyob ze ntawm cov keeb kwm qis - yog li tiv thaiv tus nqi los ntawm "plummeting" - raws li qhov kev xav tsis zoo. xab npum muaj peev xwm muag ntau dua los ntawm kev teev npe lawv lub tsev rau kev muag khoom.

Comerica Bank tus kws tshaj lij nyiaj txiag Bill Adams hais tias kev lag luam yuav muaj kev cuam tshuam ntau dua rau qhov kev kho vaj tsev no ntau dua li thaum xyoo 2000s vaj tse tawg tau tawg ua tsaug rau kev qiv nyiaj qiv nyiaj qis dua tom qab Kev Txom Nyem Loj thiab feem ntau cov tswv tsev nyob hauv feem ntau zoo dua nyiaj txiag.

Txawm li cas los xij, Adams tau hais tias nws tseem cia siab tias cov nqi tsev nruab nrab yuav poob los ntawm "nruab nrab ib leeg" feem pua ​​​​ntawm cov ntsiab lus hauv nruab nrab xyoo tom ntej, nrog kev poob qis dua hauv cov cheeb tsam tech-centric thiab cov cheeb tsam uas muaj peev xwm pheej yig tshaj plaws ua ntej kev kho, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog nyob rau hauv cov cheeb tsam. West ntug dej hiav txwv, qhov twg kev lag luam thev naus laus zis kho tau muaj qhov cuam tshuam "outsize".

Hauv email hnub Tuesday, Tejas Joshi, tus thawj coj ntawm lub tuam txhab peev Yieldstreet, tau hais tias kev lag luam zoo li Phoenix, Las Vegas, Boise thiab Dallas, uas pom 30% mus rau 40% nce nqi hauv tsev tom qab Covid thiab muaj ntau lub tsev tshiab yog. tsim, feem ntau yuav pom cov nqi poob qis 20% lossis yog li ntawd, txawm tias ntau lub khw yuav ntsib kev poob qis dua.

Dab Tsi Los Saib

Marr hais tias, "Tus nqi yuav pib poob qis hauv thawj peb lub hlis twg," hais tias Marr, kwv yees tus nqi qis 2% poob thaum ntxov xyoo, ua raws li kev poob qis dua 5% hauv lub quarter thib ob thiab thib peb ua ntej qhov kev rov qab los tom qab xyoo. .

Txaus Ntshai Qhov Tseeb

Nyob nruab nrab ntawm cov vaj tsev nyob hauv nruab nrab xyoo 2000s, tus nqi muag khoom nruab nrab rau lub tsev tau nce siab ntawm $ 257,400 thaum ntxov 2007 - tsuas yog poob 19% nyob rau ob xyoos tom ntej raws li kev muag khoom cratered.

Tus Keeb Kwm Tseem Ceeb

Kev lag luam vaj tsev tau raug kev txom nyem los ntawm kev xav tau qis dua vim tias Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve cov paj laum nce siab nce nqi tsev - thiab tus nqi ntawm kev yuav tsev. Raws li National Association of Realtors, uas twb muaj lawm-tsev muag khoom nyob rau lub Kaum Hlis poob rau cuaj lub hlis sib law liag rau ib xyoos twg ntawm 4.4 lab. Ushering nyob rau hauv lub declines, lub nruab nrab tus nqi ntawm cov npe nrov 30-xyoo ruaj khov tau ntau dua ob npaug rau xyoo dhau los rau 6.49%, raws li Freddie Mac. Joshi hais tias "Fed txo qis lawv cov nqi nce siab yuav xa cov teeb liab uas peb nyob ze rau hauv qab," Joshi hais. "Xav tias yuav tshwm sim los ntawm lub caij ntuj sov 2023."

ntxiv nyeem ntawv

Tsis yog Lub Tsev Lag Luam Hauv Tsev: Kev lag luam poob qis 'tsis tau muaj dua' Kev tsim khoom lag luam qeeb qeeb mus rau xyoo tom ntej (Forbes)

Tau qhov twg los: https://www.forbes.com/sites/jonathanponciano/2022/12/06/housing-market-predictions-for-2023-home-prices-set-to-fall-for-the-first-time- hauv-ib-xyoos /