Tojsiab
Cov neeg tsim vaj tsev cog qoob loo poob qis txhua lub hlis xyoo no vim tias cov paj laum ntau dua ua rau tsis muaj zog xav tau hauv kev lag luam vaj tsev qub uas tau loj hlob tuaj, National Association of Home Builders tau tshaj tawm hnub Monday, tab sis nrog Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve thaum kawg pib qeeb ntawm nws cov paj laum nce siab, cov kws lag luam xav. qhov kawg ntawm lub cev qhuav dej tuaj yeem pom - txawm tias qhov kev rov ua kom puv puv tsis yog.
Kev lag luam vaj tsev nyob yuav xaus sai sai no, tab sis ib tus kws tshawb fawb txog nyiaj txiag sau tseg tias "kev rov qab muaj txiaj ntsig tseem yog qhov tseem ceeb. … [+]
© 2022 Bloomberg nyiaj txiag LP
Cov Lus Tseem Ceeb
Cov neeg tsim kev ntseeg siab hauv kev ua lag luam rau cov tsev tshiab tau tshaj tawm nws qhov 12th-txoj kev poob qis txhua hli thaum lub Kaum Ob Hlis, poob 2 cov ntsiab lus mus rau 31 - nqis los ntawm 84 cov ntsiab lus ib xyoos dhau los thiab ntaus qis qis tshaj plaws txij li xyoo 2012, tsis suav nrog cov keeb kwm poob qis thaum pib muaj kev sib kis. , raws li NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index tso tawm Hnub Monday.
Lub koom haum hu ua qhov kev sib tsoo tsis tu ncua yog cov txiaj ntsig ntawm kev nce nqi siab thiab cov nqi qiv nyiaj siab, uas tau ua rau tsev tsis tshua muaj nqi thiab cuam tshuam kev thov los ntawm cov neeg yuav khoom hauv tsev - yuam qee 62% ntawm cov neeg tsim khoom siv. incentives (xws li kev txo nqi thiab nqi tsev nqi yuav-downs) los txhawb kev muag khoom.
Daim ntawv tshaj tawm tsis zoo tshaj qhov kev cia siab kuj tau pom 35% ntawm cov neeg tsim khoom txo tus nqi los ntawm qhov nruab nrab ntawm 8% thaum Lub Kaum Ob Hlis, nce los ntawm 5% ua ntej xyoo.
Hauv tsab ntawv tshaj tawm, NAHB tus kws tshaj lij nyiaj txiag Robert Dietz tau hais tias nws cia siab tias yuav tsis muaj vaj tsev nyob tsis muaj zog nyob rau xyoo tom ntej ua ntej kev rov qab los hauv 2024, vim tias Fed thim rov qab nws txoj cai tswjfwm nyiaj txiag ntawm xyoo no; Txawm li cas los xij, nws kuj tau hais txog "nyiaj hauv kab" hauv tsab ntawv ceeb toom.
Dietz sau tseg lub hlis no qhov kev poob qis hauv qhov ntsuas ntsuas qhov qis tshaj plaws hauv rau lub hlis dhau los - lub cim tsim kev xav tuaj yeem pib poob sai sai - thiab thawj zaug txij li lub Plaub Hlis, cov neeg tsim khoom tam sim no cia siab tias yav tom ntej kev muag khoom yuav nce ntxiv, ua tsaug rau ib feem ntawm kev qiv nyiaj. cov nqi poob mus rau 6.3% los ntawm qhov siab tshaj 7% hauv lub lis piam tsis ntev los no.
Hauv cov lus xa email, Pantheon Macro tus kws tshaj lij nyiaj txiag laus Kieran Clancy tau pom zoo tias qhov kev nce siab hauv kev xav tau qhia tias kev muag khoom hauv tsev yuav sai sai no yuav tsum tsis txhob poob, sai npaum li thawj peb lub hlis twg, tab sis nws tau ceeb toom tias "kev rov qab muaj txiaj ntsig tseem nyob deb," ceeb toom cov nqi tsev. muaj "ntau ntxiv kom poob" raws li cov paj laum siab dua nyob rau hauv peb lub hlis tom ntej.
Tus Keeb Kwm Tseem Ceeb
Kev lag luam vaj tsev tau raug kev txom nyem los ntawm kev xav tau qis dua vim tias Fed cov paj laum nce siab nce nqi tsev - thiab tus nqi ntawm kev yuav tsev. Raws li National Association of Realtors, uas twb muaj lawm-tsev muag khoom nyob rau lub Kaum Hlis poob rau cuaj lub hlis sib law liag rau ib xyoos twg ntawm 4.4 lab. Ushering nyob rau hauv lub declines, lub nruab nrab tus nqi ntawm qhov nrov 30-xyoo kev qiv nyiaj tau txais ntau dua ob npaug rau xyoo dhau los, raws li Freddie Mac.
Kev Nkag Siab Hais
Tejas Joshi, tus thawj coj ntawm tuam txhab peev Yieldstreet hais tias "Fed txo qis lawv cov nqi nce siab yuav xa cov teeb liab uas peb nyob ze rau hauv qab," hais tias "Xav tias yuav tshwm sim los ntawm lub caij ntuj sov 2023."
Dab Tsi Los Saib
Tus neeg tsim tsev tso tawm ncaws tawm lub lim tiam tsis khoom rau cov ntaub ntawv tshiab ntawm lub tsev lag luam. Hnub Tuesday, Lub Tsev Haujlwm Saib Xyuas Kev Suav Pej Xeem tau teem sijhawm los tshaj tawm nws cov ntawv tshaj tawm txhua hli ntawm kev pib vaj tsev, thiab National Association of Realtors hnub Wednesday yuav tshaj tawm kev muag khoom hauv tsev rau lub hli tas los.
Tsis meej
Kev muag khoom nruab nrab nqi ntawm cov tsev muag hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas tau ntaus cov ntaub ntawv $ 454,900 hauv peb lub hlis twg, nce los ntawm $ 411,200 ib xyoos ua ntej, raws li Census Bureau.
ntxiv nyeem ntawv
Tau qhov twg los: https://www.forbes.com/sites/jonathanponciano/2022/12/19/housing-market-recession-home-builder-sentiment-tanked-every-month-this-year-but-theres-finally- ib-silver-lining/