Lub Tsev Tsim Kho Kev Ntseeg Siab Tshaj Plaws Thawj zaug hauv 12 Lub Hlis - Raws li Lub Tsev Lag Luam 'Tig Point' Tej zaum yuav nyob ntawm no

Tojsiab

Kev xav ntawm tus neeg tsim tsev tau nce siab nyob rau lub Ib Hlis thawj zaug txij li lub Kaum Ob Hlis 2021, raws li National Association of Home Builders, zoo siab txais tos qhov chaw zoo siab rau kev lag luam vaj tsev tsis zoo uas tau tawg los ntawm kev nce nqi qiv nyiaj thiab muaj peev xwm poob qis.

Cov Lus Tseem Ceeb

NAHB / Wells Fargo Housing Market Index tau tshaj tawm hnub Wednesday pom qhov kev ntsuas qhov sib ze tau nce mus rau 35 lub hlis no, nrog rau qhov ntsuas ntsuas qhov ntsuas tau los ntawm cov neeg tsim khoom hais txog tam sim no thiab npaj ib tsev neeg muag khoom thiab cov neeg yuav khoom ntawm qhov ntsuas ntawm 0 txog 100.

Qhov ntawd yog plaub lub ntsiab lus nce txij lub Kaum Ob Hlis, tab sis tseem ceeb heev los ntawm 83 nyeem lub Ib Hlis Ntuj dhau los vim kev lag luam vaj tsev tsis zoo nyob rau xyoo 2022.

"Lub ntsiab lus hloov pauv rau vaj tse nyob tom ntej," NAHB tus kws tshaj lij nyiaj txiag Robert Dietz tau hais hauv nqe lus, kwv yees tsev nyob pib, lossis tus naj npawb ntawm cov tsev tshiab pib tsim, yuav sai sai no tawm ntawm lawv qhov qis qis ob xyoos raws li qhov kev thov rov qab los tom qab cov nqi tsev qiv nyiaj tau poob qis.

Cov ntaub ntawv tsis nyob hauv tsev kuj tau tshaj tawm hnub Wednesday yuav sau cov xov xwm zoo rau cov nqi qiv nyiaj, uas tau nce mus rau ob-xyoos siab vim tias Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve tsis tu ncua hked tsoom fwv cov nyiaj npaum li cas los tiv thaiv kev nce nqi.

Tus nqi tsim khoom poob 0.5% txij lub Kaum Ib Hlis txog Lub Kaum Ob Hlis thaum qhov muag poob qis 1.1% nyob rau lub sijhawm ntawd, ob qho tib si poob nrawm dua li kev kwv yees kwv yees, raws li tsoomfwv cov ntaub ntawv, qhia txog Fed kev sib ntaus kom txo qis nyiaj txiag thiab txias kev lag luam txuas ntxiv rau cov txiv hmab txiv ntoo, ua rau muaj kev cia siab txog qhov pivot yav tom ntej los ntawm lub hauv paus tsev txhab nyiaj.

Tus Keeb Kwm Tseem Ceeb

Kev lag luam vaj tsev muaj kev sib kis loj heev hauv 2020 thiab 2021 tau poob rau hauv ntiaj teb xyoo tas los, nrog rau kev muag khoom hauv tsev plam heev nyob rau hauv 2022. Qhov nruab nrab 30-xyoo tsev qiv nyiaj tau nce los ntawm 3.1% nyob rau lub Kaum Ob Hlis 2021 mus rau 7.1% nyob rau lub Kaum Hlis, raws li FreddieMac, nrog cov nqi dipping me ntsis mus rau ib tug tseem-nce 6.3% raws li lub lim tiam dhau los. Redfin huab cua Lub hli tas los uas cov nqi tsev nruab nrab yuav poob qis hauv 2023 thawj zaug ntawm ib xyoos txij li xyoo 2012.

Txaus Ntshai Qhov Tseeb

Txawm hais tias cov khoom lag luam feem ntau poob rau hnub Wednesday, kev lag luam daim ntawv cog lus tau ua ib qho kev sib tw loj, nrog cov txiaj ntsig 10-xyoo US Treasury sau ntawv dhia 12 lub hauv paus ntsiab lus rau 3.42%, nws qib qis tshaj txij li lub Cuaj Hli TK. Kev poob qis yuav qhia tau tias yuav txo qis hauv cov nqi tsev qiv nyiaj uas xav txog keeb kwm hom kev sib raug zoo nruab nrab ntawm ob. Cov paib nkhaus tseem muaj kev hloov pauv siab heev, nrog rau ib xyoos thiab peb lub xyoo Nyiaj Txiag cov txiaj ntsig ntawm 4.66% thiab 3.75%, feem.

ntxiv nyeem ntawv

Kev Lag Luam Kev Lag Luam Hauv Tsev: Lub Tsev Tsim Kev Xav Tau Tanked Txhua Lub Hlis Xyoo no-Tab sis thaum kawg muaj 'Silver Lineing' (Forbes)

Kev Ua Lag Luam Hauv Tsev Hauv Tsev Rau 2023: Cov Nqi Hauv Tsev Teeb Tsa Ua Thawj zaug hauv ib xyoo caum (Forbes)

Tau qhov twg los: https://www.forbes.com/sites/dereksaul/2023/01/18/home-builder-confidence-jumps-for-first-time-in-12-months-as-housing-market-turning- point-may-be-no/