Tojsiab
Georgia tus Democratic Sen. Raphael Warnock tau qhib 12 lub ntsiab lus tawm tsam nws tus neeg sib tw Republican Herschel Walker, raws li SurveyUSA pov npav Tshaj tawm hnub Wednesday, thaum muaj kev sib cav tsis txaus ntseeg tau liam tias Walker, tus neeg sib tw tiv thaiv kev rho menyuam tawm, them nyiaj rau nws tus hluas nkauj rho menyuam hauv 2009 thiab tsis muab rau nws plaub tus menyuam.
Kev Tshawb Fawb Tebchaws USA pom Herschel Walker nqis 12 ntsiab lus rau Sen. Raphael Warnock (D-Ga.).
Getty Dluab
Cov Lus Tseem Ceeb
Lub SurveyUSA kev xaiv tsa tau muab Warnock, Georgia thawj lub sijhawm Senator thiab ib tug xibhwb ua kevcai raus dej, ua ntej ntawm Walker, yav dhau los University of Georgia khiav rov qab, 50% mus rau 38% ntawm ntau tshaj 1,000 tus neeg xaiv tsa, hauv kev xaiv tsa tshiab, ua thaum Lub Cuaj Hli 30. thiab Kaum Hli 4.
Qhov thib ob-tus lej lead tuaj ntawm cov kev tsis sib haum xeeb, suav nrog a Txhua hnub Beast tshaj tawm rau hnub Tuesday thov tias xyoo 2009 Walker tau them rau nws tus hluas nkauj thaum ntawd kom rho menyuam vim nws tsis xav tau menyuam yaus, txawm tias xyoo dhau los, Walker tau thov kom rho menyuam tawm thoob tebchaws yam tsis muaj kev zam rau rape, incest, lossis hem rau niam lub neej—Walker tsis pom zoo qhov liam.
Ua raws li tsab ntawv ceeb toom, Walker tus tub thiab cov neeg saib xyuas kev sib raug zoo hnub qub Christian Walker tau tshaj tawm ob peb cov yeeb yaj kiab hauv social media accusing Walker ntawm kev ua phem "kev phem" tawm tsam nws niam thiab "kev sib deev nrog lwm tus poj niam" es tsis txhob tsa nws cov menyuam.
Hauv kev tshawb fawb, uas tau pib ua ntej qhov tseeb Walker scandal tab sis xaus rau ib hnub tom qab, Warnock tuav tus thawj coj loj dua ntawm cov poj niam cov neeg xaiv tsa hauv Georgia, uas nyiam nws 57% mus rau 28%, thaum cov txiv neej sib cais ntawm 44%, raws li cov tshiab. xaiv tsa.
Qee tus 51% ntawm cov neeg teb muaj qhov "tsis zoo" kev xav ntawm Walker, piv rau 28% uas pom nws "zoo", thaum 40% hais tias Warnock tsis zoo, thiab 43% hais tias nws zoo.
Tsawg tshaj li ib feem peb ntawm cov neeg ywj pheej hais tias lawv yuav pov npav rau Warnock, nrog rau 21% uas tau txheeb xyuas tias yog tus neeg nruab nrab, 75% ntawm Republicans thiab 69% ntawm cov neeg teb uas txheeb xyuas tias yog cov neeg saib xyuas.
Tus Keeb Kwm Tseem Ceeb
Walker tau poob ntau heev los ntawm kev xaiv tsa thaum Lub Rau Hli, thaum nws raug kaw ntawm 47% khi nrog Warnock, raws li ib qho East Carolina University kev xaiv tsa. Tus neeg sib tw pom zoo Trump tau yeej lub xeev Republican thawj zaug hauv ib lub hlis dhau los, yeej 68.2% ntawm cov pov npav. Tus yeej Heisman Trophy yav dhau los tau raug cuam tshuam hauv kev tsis sib haum xeeb thoob plaws nws qhov kev xaiv tsa, txawm li cas los xij, suav nrog kev iab liam ntawm nrhiav thiab kev hem lub cev, nrog rau hauv tsev kev ua phem tawm tsam ntau tus poj niam, suav nrog nws tus qub poj niam. Walker hais Axios Lub Kaum Ob Hlis tas los nws yog "lub luag haujlwm" rau nws keeb kwm ntawm kev ua phem, thuam qhov xwm txheej ntawm cov teeb meem kev puas siab puas ntsws. Raws li Cov Tsiaj Txhaum Txhua Hnub tau tshaj tawm lub lim tiam no, Walker - ib tus txiv neej piav qhia nws tus kheej - them nws tus hluas nkauj qub $ 700 los them tus nqi rho menyuam thiab muab daim npav zoo rau nws.
Contra
Tag nrho cov ntaub ntawv pov npav los ntawm FiveThirtyEight muaj Warnock tsuas yog ob lub ntsiab lus ua ntej Walker hauv kev pov npav nrov, ua rau 50.2% rau 48.2% -lwm qhov kev xaiv tsa tsis ntev los no hauv FiveThirtyEight qhov taw qhia peg Warnock nrog rau kev nqaim, thaum lub tsev kawm ntawv qib siab Georgia pom Walker ob lub ntsiab lus ua ntej.
Thawj Cov Neeg thuam
Txawm hais tias muaj kev thuam ntau ntxiv rau Walker, uas tau piav qhia nws tus kheej ntawm txoj kev sib tw ua ib tsev neeg, Republicans lub lim tiam no tau nce ob npaug rau lawv. kev pab txhawb nqa, nrog National Republican Senate Committee lub rooj zaum Rick Scott hais tias Republicans yuav "sawv nrog" Walker thiab "Georgians yuav sawv nrog nws, ib yam nkaus."
Tsis meej
Republican cov neeg tsim cai lij choj tab tom nrhiav rau kev xaiv tsa nruab nrab lub sijhawm los hloov lub Senate, uas tam sim no tau faib 50-50 ntawm Republicans thiab Democrats, nrog Tus Lwm Thawj Coj Kamala Harris ua tus pov npav sib tw. Cov Democrats, txawm li cas los xij, suav nrog ntau haiv neeg, suav nrog hauv Georgia, kom tswj hwm lub chamber. Lwm qhov kev sib tw ze ze suav nrog Pennsylvania Senate haiv neeg, qhov twg Republican tus neeg sib tw thiab yav dhau los TV tus cwj pwm Mehmet Zoj tab tom tom qab hauv kev xaiv tsa, Wisconsin, qhov chaw uas yog Sen. Ron Johnson (R) tuav ib tug nqaim nqaim, thiab Ohio, qhov twg Republican nominee JD Vance tab tom taug kev hauv kev sib tw rau lub rooj qhib.
ntxiv nyeem ntawv
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Tau qhov twg los: https://www.forbes.com/sites/brianbushard/2022/10/05/herschel-walker-tumbles-in-georgia-senate-poll-as-scandals-mount/