Ua raws li cov tsev tsim khoom stocks poob rau Lub Rau Hli 16, qhov kev thov muag muag zoo li yuav thawb lub tsev lag luam mus rau hauv kev poob qis. Lub caij no, Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve (Fed) tab tom tawm tsam kev nce nqi nce siab los ntawm cov nqi nce siab, tsim kev ntshai ntawm kev lag luam nyiaj txiag.
Nrog rau qhov teeb meem zoo li no, cov nyiaj tau los ntawm cov nyiaj tau los tau nce ntxiv nrog rau cov nqi qiv nyiaj rau cov neeg siv khoom kawg yog li tsim lub voj voog tsis zoo rau kev lag luam vaj tsev, uas zoo li mus rau hmo ntuj.
Lub sijhawm no, CEO ntawm Redfin Corp (NASDAQ: RDFN) Glenn Kelman, hais nrog CNBC's "Squawk ntawm txoj kev", weighed nyob rau hauv nyob rau hauv lub xeev ntawm lub tsev lag luam thiab tshaj tawm layoffs ntawm 8% ntawm cov neeg ua hauj lwm nyob rau hauv nws lub tuam txhab.
"Kuv xav tias lub luag haujlwm tob rau qhov tseeb tias peb muaj coob tus neeg tuaj rau lub caij yuav tsev no. Peb tau ntiav tus nqi berserk hauv 2020 thiab 2021 tsuas yog ua kom nrawm nrog kev lag luam vaj tsev, thiab tom qab ntawd txhua yam tau muag sai heev, thiab peb pom peb tus kheej tsis ua haujlwm hauv ntau lub tuam tsev, yog li peb nyob ntawm qhov loj tam sim no. "
Tej zaum vaj tse xav tau qis
Ib yam tseem ceeb, lub cov ntaub ntawv vaj tsev rau lub Tsib Hlis tuaj nyob rau hauv qis dua qhov xav tau, poob los ntawm 14.4%, thiab nrog kev nce ntawm cov paj laum, nws tsis zoo li qhov kev thov yuav rov qab sai li sai tau. Ntawm qhov tod tes, Kelman ntseeg tias qhov kev hloov pauv tsis tau ua rau muaj kev puas tsuaj thiab qhov kev thov tuaj yeem rov qab sai sai.
"Muaj qhov hloov pauv loj thaum koj mus los ntawm 20 qhov kev pabcuam ntawm ib lub tsev rau 5 qhov kev pabcuam rau 1 qhov kev pabcuam. Txhua yam koj xav tau yog 1. Thiab qhov peb tab tom pom yog tias 1 ntawm 4 lub tsev tam sim no tau luv nqi, thiab qhov ntawd qhia tau tias qee lub tsev tsis tau txais ib qho kev thov ib yam nkaus. Yog li txawm hais tias qhov kev thov poob qis 15%, peb qhov kev lees paub yeej tau nce siab, vim tias yuav luag txhua qhov kev thov peb sau xaus rau kev yeej. "
Nws kuj hais ntxiv tias:
"Kev them nyiaj nruab nrab rau lub tsev nruab nrab tau nce 50%, vim tias qhov ntawd yog cov khoom lag luam ntawm cov paj laum thiab cov nqi tsev nce, thiab ob qho tib si tau tua los ntawm lub ru tsev. Yog li nws tsuas yog ib lo lus nug ntawm ntau npaum li cas cov hmoov qhuav cov neeg siv khoom muaj, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog tom qab lawv 401k tau waxed. "
Nqi nce ntxiv
Tus nqi nruab nrab hauv tsev tau nce ntau dua 44% hauv ob xyoos xwb, nce siab tshaj $ 400,000 cim.
Piv txwv li, kev muag khoom hauv tsev tau poob qis mus txog xyoo 2020, poob ntau dua 9% xyoo dhau los (YoY).
Zuag qhia tag nrho, nws zoo li yog tias kev lag luam vaj tsev yuav nyob ntawm seb cov neeg siv khoom puas tuaj yeem tshem tawm cov kev cuam tshuam nyiaj txiag, nce cov paj laum, thiab kev txhawj xeeb txog kev lag luam macroeconomic yuav pib rov yuav tsev dua.
Raws li cov tswv yim no, cov tub ua lag luam tuaj yeem xav tias muaj kev hloov pauv ntau dua hauv kev ua lag luam vaj tsev thiab nrog cov khoom lag luam hauv tsev.
Disclaimer: Cov ntsiab lus ntawm lub xaib no yuav tsum tsis txhob suav hais tias yog cov lus qhia txog kev nqis peev. Kev nqis peev yog speculative. Thaum kev nqis peev, koj cov peev nyiaj muaj kev pheej hmoo.
Tau qhov twg los: https://finbold.com/heres-why-the-us-housing-crisis-could-be-around-the-corner/