Ntawm no yog vim li cas cov khoom lag luam sib tw txawm tias muaj teeb meem GDP Daim Ntawv Qhia - Keeb Kwm Qhia Nws tsis txawv txav thiab lawv tuaj yeem nce ntxiv

Tojsiab

Cov khoom lag luam tau sib sau ua ke rau hnub Thursday txawm tias tom qab Asmeskas kev lag luam tau tshaj tawm nws lub quarter thib ob ntawm kev loj hlob tsis zoo uas txhais tau hais tias kev lag luam poob qis - cov ntaub ntawv keeb kwm qhia tau hais tias kev lag luam zoo li yuav txuas ntxiv mus rau lub sijhawm luv luv nrog kev nkag siab tias cov tub ua lag luam twb tau them nqi rau qhov tsis zoo. xov xwm.

Cov Lus Tseem Ceeb

Cov khoom lag luam pib poob qis tom qab tso tawm ntawm peb lub hlis twg US GDP tus lej, uas qhia tias Asmeskas kev lag luam poob qis ntawm tus nqi txhua xyoo ntawm 0.9% tom qab 1.6% poob hauv thawj peb lub hlis twg.

Kev lag luam tau rov qab los tom qab hnub Thursday, txawm li cas los xij, nrog cov kws tshaj lij tseem tshuav ntseeg tsis tau tias kev lag luam yog nyob rau hauv qhov kev poob qis tiag tiag ntawm theem no, hais txog kev loj hlob ntawm txoj haujlwm muaj zog thiab kev siv nyiaj tau zoo.

Cov ntaub ntawv keeb kwm qhia tau hais tias kev lag luam feem ntau yuav txav siab dua nyob rau lub lis piam tam sim tom qab kev nyeem ntawv thib ob ntawm GDP kev loj hlob tsis zoo; Qhov ntawd yog vim tias feem ntau cov tub ua lag luam ntseeg tias qhov phem tshaj yog dhau rau cov khoom lag luam ua ntej nws dhau mus rau lwm qhov kev lag luam.

Txij li thaum Tsov Rog Ntiaj Teb Zaum II, thaum twg tus lej GDP tsoo lub quarter thib ob ntawm kev poob qis, S&P 500 tau nce qhov nruab nrab ntawm 1.3% nyob rau lub lim tiam tom ntej, nce ntau dua 80% ntawm lub sijhawm, raws li cov ntaub ntawv los ntawm CFRA Kev Tshawb Fawb.

Cov khoom lag luam tau nce nruab nrab ntawm 0.8% ob lub lis piam tawm, thaum nce 60% ntawm lub sijhawm thaum lub sijhawm ntawd nrog rau lub hli tom ntej, CFRA cov ntaub ntawv qhia.

Cov qauv no yog qhov tshwm sim los ntawm cov tub ua lag luam xav txog thiab tus nqi hauv cov xov xwm tsis zoo ua ntej nws tshwm sim: "Wall Street tsis nyiam qhov tsis paub tseeb" thiab thaum nws raug tshem tawm, cov tub ua lag luam muaj kev ntseeg siab dua - txawm tias nyob rau hauv lub ntsej muag ntawm cov ntaub ntawv tsis zoo nyob hauv txoj kev, piav qhia Sam Stovall , tus thawj tswj hwm kev nqis peev rau CFRA Kev Tshawb Fawb.

Tseem Ceeb:

"Ob lub quarter txuas ntxiv ntawm GDP poob qis tsis tas yuav tuag rau kev ua lag luam vim tias ntau qhov kev xav tau raug nqi ua ntej," hais Stovall. Cov neeg ua lag luam "feem ntau ntshai" nyob rau lub sijhawm ua rau cov xov xwm loj nyiaj txiag lossis Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve txiav txim siab tus paj laum, nws hais ntxiv, tab sis tom qab ntawv xov xwm tawm, cov tub ua lag luam muaj feem yuav rov qab shares.

Qhov tseeb ceeb:

Ib qho xwm txheej zoo sib xws tau tshwm sim nrog Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve tus nqi nce kev txiav txim siab txog tam sim no xyoo no. Ntawm tag nrho plaub lub sijhawm thaum lub tuam txhab nyiaj hauv nruab nrab tshaj tawm nce hauv 2022, cov khoom lag luam nce siab dua, nce ntau dua 7% nyob rau hnub thaum Fed tshaj tawm lawv cov kev txiav txim siab paj laum, raws li cov ntaub ntawv tsis ntev los no los ntawm Bespoke Investment Group.

Cov Ntsiab Tseem Ceeb:

Txawm hais tias ntau tus kws tshuaj ntsuam tseem ntseeg tias Asmeskas kev lag luam tseem tsis tau poob rau hauv kev lag luam poob qis, feem ntau pom zoo tias pawg neeg txiav txim siab tseem tawm ntawm seb qhov kev poob qis tuaj yeem zam tau tom qab xyoo no thiab xyoo 2023 thaum muaj "dicier"kev xav. Muaj 13 qhov kev poob qis hauv lub sijhawm tom qab Tsov Rog Ntiaj Teb Zaum 21, nrog peb lub xyoo pua 2001st (2008, 2020 thiab 13), raws li National Bureau of Economic Research. Hauv ib nrab ntawm 1945 xyoo nrog kev poob qis txij li xyoo 500, txawm li cas los xij, S&P XNUMX tau tshaj tawm zoo rov qab los, txij li thaum kev lag luam zoo li qis qis ua ntej qhov kawg ntawm kev lag luam poob qis, thiab tom qab ntawd rov ua kom muaj zog.

Nyeem ntxiv:

Kev Ua Lag Luam Ua Li Cas Thaum Muaj Kev Lag Luam Kev Lag Luam? Tej zaum koj yuav xav tsis thoob (Forbes)

Dow dhia 300 Cov ntsiab lus txawm hais tias US GDP poob rau ib lub quarter thib ob hauv ib kab-Tab sis cov kws tshaj lij hais tias tsis muaj kev poob qis (Forbes)

Dow dhia 400 Cov Ntsiab Lus Tom Qab Fed Hikes Tus Nqi Los Ntawm 75 Cov Ntsiab Lus Tseem Ceeb (Forbes)