Tom qab S&P 500 tau tshaj tawm nws qhov kev ua haujlwm tsis zoo tshaj plaws hauv ib nrab txij li xyoo 1970, ntau tus neeg ua lag luam xav tsis thoob tias qhov kev poob qis yuav txuas mus ntxiv rau xyoo tas los.
Tab sis raws li CNBC's Jim Cramer, peb tuaj yeem hloov pauv. “Kuv tau hais rau [David Faber] tias Lub Xya Hli 13th yuav nyob hauv qab. Kuv hais tias thaum Lub Ob Hlis, ”nws ceeb toom cov neeg saib.
Cramer kuj tseem siv kev tshuaj xyuas los ntawm cov kws tshaj lij kev lag luam Larry Williams los qhia tias kev ua lag luam tuaj yeem npaj tau rov qab los rau yav tom ntej uas tsis nyob deb.
"Lub sijhawm kawg peb tau hais rau nws txog qhov dav dav dav hauv lub Tsib Hlis lig, nws tau kwv yees tias tom qab qee qhov kev lag luam tsis zoo, lub khw yuav muaj kev sib tw muaj zog mus txog lub Yim Hli. Tam sim no, qhov nws tau pom hauv [kev lag luam yav tom ntej] lees paub qhov kev tshawb fawb no. "
Cia peb saib ze dua ntawm kev hu.
Tsis nco
Peb hom kev lag luam koom nrog
Cramer taw qhia tias Cov Khoom Muag Yav Tom Ntej Trading Commission tshaj tawm cov ntaub ntawv ntawm kev tuav pov hwm ntawm peb hom kev lag luam koom nrog txhua lub lim tiam: cov pej xeem, cov tub lag luam loj thiab cov tswj hwm nyiaj txiag, thiab cov lag luam hedgers.
Nws piav qhia tias kev lag luam hedgers yog "cov tuam txhab lag luam uas tau koom nrog hauv kev lag luam, txhais tau tias yuav lub neej yav tom ntej vim nws yog ib feem ntawm lawv cov qauv kev lag luam."
Thiab pab pawg ntawd qhov kev ua tau tsim nyog rau cov neeg ua lag luam saib xyuas.
"Thaum nws los txog rau peb pawg no, Williams tau hais rau peb tias nws xav tias pab pawg tom qab - kev lag luam hedgers - nyiam muaj kev nkag siab zoo tshaj plaws ntawm cov haujlwm tshwj xeeb vim lawv tsuas yog cov koom nrog uas ua ntau dua li kev twv txiaj," Cramer hais tias.
Nws mus piav qhia tias kev lag luam hedgers hauv Tshuag yav tom ntej feem ntau muaj cov tsev txhab nyiaj, cov nyiaj sib koom, thiab tsoomfwv.
"Thaum cov txiv neej no tau txais txiaj ntsig zoo hauv lawv txoj haujlwm, txawm tias cov kab kos yuav zoo li tsis zoo, feem ntau nws yog lub sijhawm yuav khoom zoo."
lub cib fim
Interestingly, kev lag luam hedgers thiab cov thawj tswj nyiaj loj tsis tas yuav txav mus rau tib qho kev taw qhia.
"Tshwj xeeb ntawm cov hauv qab tseem ceeb, Williams tau taw qhia tias kev lag luam hedgers zoo li yuav bullish, thaum lub sij hawm loj speculators zoo li cov tswj nyiaj txiag, thiab tau kawg cov pej xeem, zoo li yuav poob qis," Cramer hais.
Saib ntawm cov ntaub ntawv ntawm Dow Jones Industrial Nruab Nrab yav tom ntej los ntawm lig 2009 txog 2014, Cramer sau tseg tias kev lag luam hedgers feem ntau nce lawv qhov kev yuav khoom ntawm qhov tseem ceeb. Thiab nws yog ib zaj dab neeg zoo sib xws los ntawm 2015 txog 2019.
Cramer taw qhia tias tus qauv tau tshwm sim dua: kev lag luam hedgers tab tom nce lawv qhov kev yuav khoom thaum tus tswj nyiaj muag.
Qhov twg cov tub ua lag luam yuav tsum coj?
"[H] keeb kwm, thaum kev lag luam thiab cov nyiaj tiv thaiv tau mus rau qhov tsis sib xws, koj tau zoo dua ntawm kev twv nrog, yog, kev lag luam," nws hais.
“Larry yog lawm. Kev lag luam hauv qab thaum cov nyiaj txiag pov tseg pov rau hauv daim phuam thiab cov pej xeem pov rau hauv daim phuam. Thiab raws li keeb kwm, nws xav tias qhov ntawd yog qhov tshwm sim tam sim no. "
Williams puas yuav rov hais dua?
Cramer nyiam Williams cov txheej txheem vim nws cov ntaub ntawv zoo heev "tshwj xeeb tshaj yog thaum nws los txog rau hauv qab ntawm lub sijhawm uas txhua tus neeg tau tso tseg."
Ib qho piv txwv yog Williams' lub tswv yim thaum muaj kev sib kis thoob ntiaj teb kev lag luam poob thaum ntxov 2020.
"Nco ntsoov lub Plaub Hlis 2020 thaum txhua tus neeg ntshai tias COVID yuav rhuav tshem kev lag luam thiab peb yuav raug coj mus rau Kev Nyuaj Siab Loj thib ob? Williams hais tias yuav, ”Cramer nco qab.
"Nws hais tias kev lag luam yuav pib rov qab los thiab tsis pub dhau lub lis piam thiab kev lag luam yuav rov qab nrog nws thiab qhov ntawd yog ib qho kev hu xov tooj zoo tshaj plaws."
Yuav nyeem dab tsi tom ntej
Zwm npe rau peb tsab ntawv xov xwm MoneyWise kom tau txais kev ntws tsis tu ncua cov tswv yim ua tau los ntawm Wall Street cov tuam txhab saum toj kawg nkaus.
Teb Chaws Asmeskas tsuas yog ob peb hnub deb ntawm qhov 'tawg tawg tag' ntawm kev nce nqi - ntawm no 3 shockproof sectors los pab tiv thaiv koj cov ntaub ntawv
'Muaj ib lub khw muag nyuj nyob qhov twg': Jim Cramer cov lus nto moo qhia koj tuaj yeem khwv tau nyiaj txawm tias muaj dab tsi. Nov yog 2 lub zog tailwinds coj kom zoo dua hnub no
Kab lus no muab cov ntaub ntawv nkaus xwb thiab yuav tsum tsis txhob muab txhais ua cov lus qhia. Nws tau muab yam tsis muaj kev lees paub ntawm txhua yam.
Tau qhov twg los: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/july-13th-bottom-why-jim-151800689.html