Tojsiab
Tebchaws Asmeskas kev lag luam loj hlob ntau dua li qhov xav tau hauv lub quarter thib plaub txawm hais tias qhov kev ntsuas tseem ceeb ntawm kev ua haujlwm - suav nrog kev siv nyiaj thiab kev lag luam kev lag luam - poob qis thaum muaj kev ua haujlwm tsis zoo thiab qhov kev xav tsis zoo tag nrho, ua rau cov kws tshaj lij ceeb toom kev lag luam tuaj yeem pib qis dua sai li sai tau thaum lub quarter no. .
Daim ntawv tshaj tawm GDP zoo tshaj qhov kev cia siab muaj "cov cim qhia" Fed tus paj laum nce siab, uas … [+]
Copyright 2021 The Associated Press. Tag nrho cov cai
Cov Lus Tseem Ceeb
Teb Chaws Asmeskas cov khoom lag luam thoob ntiaj teb tau nce ntawm kwv yees li ib xyoos ib zaug ntawm 2.9% hauv lub quarter thib plaub - tom qab 3.2% kev loj hlob hauv peb lub hlis twg - ntau dua li 2.6% cov kws lag luam xav tau, Bureau of Economic Analysis qhia Hnub Thursday.
Txawm hais tias muaj zog tag nrho, Glenmede Tus Lwm Thawj Coj ntawm Kev Lag Luam Kev Lag Luam Michael Reynolds hais tias tsab ntawv ceeb toom muaj "cov cim qhia" uas Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve cov paj laum nce siab, uas ua rau cov khoom lag luam thiab cov vaj tsev nyob hauv xyoo tas los, "pib cascade los ntawm kev lag luam," nrog. kev lag luam kev nqis peev, piv txwv li, decelerating "meaningfully" nyob rau hauv ib tug yuav tshwm sim rau tus nqi siab dua.
Txawm hais tias kev siv nyiaj ntawm cov neeg siv khoom tseem zoo li "zoo li zoo," Reynolds sau tseg tias kev siv nyiaj hauv tsev loj hlob "pib poob qis," nrog kev siv nyiaj nce 2.1% lub quarter dhau los piv rau 2.3% hauv peb lub hlis twg thiab 3.1% ib xyoos dhau los.
Cov ntaub ntawv yog "zoo dua li qhov xav tau ntawm cov ncauj lus tseem ceeb, tab sis tsis muaj zog nyob rau hauv lub hood," hais tias Kroll lub koom haum tus kws lag luam nyiaj txiag Megan Greene, uas tau taw qhia tias kev loj hlob tau txhawb nqa los ntawm qhov loj tshaj plaws hauv cov khoom muag hauv ib xyoos, uas tsis yog "kev ruaj ntseg. tus neeg tsav tsheb rau kev loj hlob "vim tias lawv muaj kev cuam tshuam rau kev hloov pauv ntawm tus nqi.
Hauv email rau hnub Thursday, Pantheon Macro tus thawj coj nyiaj txiag Ian Shepherdson tau pom zoo, hais tias cov khoom lag luam yuav zoo li poob rau lub quarter no - ua rau kev lag luam muaj kev pheej hmoo siab ntawm kev poob qis hauv GDP thawj peb lub hlis twg.
"Txawm hais tias qhov no thaum kawg tau tshaj tawm tias kev lag luam poob qis yuav nyob ntawm qhov tshwm sim rau kev ua haujlwm thiab cov nyiaj tau los," Shepherdson hais, ceeb toom tias lawv ob leeg yuav "mob me ntsis," nrog rau qhov tsis ntev los no ntawm cov nyiaj tau los. layoff tshaj tawm taw tes "tsis paub meej" rau kev poob haujlwm ntau dua nyob rau lub hlis tom ntej.
Tus Keeb Kwm Tseem Ceeb
Fed cov paj laum nce siab - thiab lub tuam txhab nyiaj hauv nruab nrab kom nruj thoob ntiaj teb - tau ua rau muaj kev poob qis hauv cov vaj tsev thiab cov khw muag khoom, thiab ntau tus kws tshaj lij txhawj xeeb tias qhov kev kub ntxhov tuaj yeem ua rau muaj kev lag luam loj thoob ntiaj teb. Raws li British peev tuam txhab Schroders, tus nqi nce siab tuaj yeem siv sijhawm ntev txog ob xyoos txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau thoob plaws kev lag luam, thiab cov cim qhia tias muaj kev kub ntxhov tuaj yeem kis mus rau hauv kev ua lag luam tau nce zuj zus nyob rau lub asthiv tsis ntev los no, nrog cov tuam txhab thev naus laus zis, Amazon thiab Microsoft ntawm cov tuam txhab lag luam. tshaj tawm dav dav layoffs. Oanda tus kws tshuaj ntsuam Edward Moya cia siab tias lub ntsiab lus layoff yuav kis mus rau lwm qhov chaw thoob plaws hauv lub xyoo.
Dab Tsi Los Saib
Fed tsab ntawv tshaj tawm cov paj laum tom ntej yog teem rau Lub Ob Hlis 1. Cov kws lag luam nyiaj txiag ntawm Goldman Sachs cia siab tias lub tuam txhab nyiaj hauv nruab nrab yuav xa lub quarter-point hikes ntawm lawv peb lub rooj sib tham tom ntej thiab tuav cov paj laum saum toj kawg nkaus ntawm 5.25%, qib siab tshaj plaws txij li xyoo 2007, rau lwm tus. xyoo. Txawm li cas los xij, ib qho cim qhia tias kev lag luam txias heev - lossis tsis txias txaus - tuaj yeem hloov cov kev kwv yees.
ntxiv nyeem ntawv
2023 Layoffs: Vacasa Tso Tawm 1,300 Cov Neeg Ua Haujlwm (Forbes)
Spotify, Cov tsiaj ntawv thiab Meta Lead Tech Tshuag Tshaj Tawm Tom Qab Kev Tshaj Tawm Loj heev (Forbes)
Tau qhov twg los: https://www.forbes.com/sites/jonathanponciano/2023/01/26/heres-why-experts-predict-a-return-to-negative-economic-growth-and-potential-recession-despite- zog-gdp/