Ntawm no yog qhov twg Txoj Cai rho menyuam yuav nyob rau ntawm daim ntawv xaiv tsa nruab nrab Lub Kaum Ib Hlis

Tojsiab

Txoj cai rho menyuam tawm tuaj yeem dhau los ua qhov teeb meem tseem ceeb hauv kev xaiv tsa lub Kaum Ib Hlis ib nrab yog tias Lub Tsev Hais Plaub Siab Tshaj Plaws Roe v. Wade lub caij ntuj sov no-raws li nws yuav tau npaj ua, raws li tsab ntawv xav tau los ntawm Politico- nrog rau kev cuam tshuam dav rau kev sib tw gubernatorial hauv cov xeev sib ntaus sib tua, tog tswj hwm ntawm lub xeev cov cai lij choj thiab Congress, thiab ntau dua.

Cov Lus Tseem Ceeb

Kev tswj hwm ntawm Congress: cov neeg pov npav xaiv tsa thiab cov kws tshaj lij ntseeg tias Republicans muaj txoj hauv kev zoo los yeej feem ntau hauv Tsev thiab Senate, thiab Washington Post qhia lawv zoo li yuav sim hla txoj kev rho menyuam tawm thoob tebchaws uas yuav txwv txoj haujlwm sai li XNUMX lub lis piam mus rau hauv cev xeeb tub yog tias lawv ua.

Kev tswj hwm lub xeev cov cai lij choj: Lub xeev cov cai lij choj yuav yog qhov tseem ceeb rau kev txiav txim siab seb txoj cai rho menyuam yuav siv li cas thaum tsis muaj Roe; Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee tau hais hauv a memo nws qhov tseem ceeb tshaj plaws yog tswj hwm kev tswj hwm hauv Colorado, Maine, Nevada, New Mexico thiab Minnesota, hloov lub xeev cov neeg tsim cai lij choj hauv Michigan, New Hampshire thiab Minnesota, thiab ua inroads hauv GOP-tswj Arizona, Pennsylvania thiab Georgia.

Cov haiv neeg Gubernatorial: Cov haiv neeg hauv Kansas, Michigan, Pennsylvania thiab Wisconsin yuav yog qhov tseem ceeb tshwj xeeb - raws li cov thawj coj ywj pheej tawm tsam kom tswj hwm lawv thiaj li muaj peev xwm veto ib qho kev txwv rho menyuam tawm los ntawm GOP cov neeg tsim cai lij choj - thiab Florida, Georgia thiab Ohio yog cov xeev sib ntaus sib tua nrog kev xaiv tsa nom tswv nyob qhov twg Republicans tam sim no yuav txwv los yog hnyav heev txwv kev rho menyuam yog Roe ntog.

Tus kws lij choj hauv xeev: Hauv Michigan thiab Wisconsin, AGs tau tawm tsam rau kev xaiv tsa uas tau cog lus tias yuav tsis txwv kev rho menyuam tawm ua ntej Roe yog qhov kev txiav txim raug thim rov qab thiab lawv rov qab los siv, thiab AG haiv neeg kuj tseem muaj nyob hauv cov xeev sib ntaus sib tua. ntawm Arizona, Florida, Georgia thiab Ohio.

Kev ntsuas pov npav: Vermont Cov neeg pov npav yuav raug nug rau lub caij nplooj zeeg no kom pom zoo kev hloov kho kev cai lij choj tiv thaiv kev rho menyuam, thaum Kentucky muaj ib qho kev ntsuas uas yuav hais tias tsis muaj cai rho menyuam hauv lub xeev txoj cai lij choj thiab a Montana Kev pib xaiv tsa tuaj yeem nthuav tawm cov cai ntawm tib neeg rau fetuses.v

Xeev lub tsev hais plaub loj tshaj plaws: Rau lub xeev supreme lub rooj zaum yog nyob rau hauv daim ntawv xaiv tsa hauv Kansas thiab tsib hauv Florida, uas yog qhov tseem ceeb vim hais tias lub xeev cov tsev hais plaub muaj yav dhau los tau hais tias cov kev cai lij choj hauv lub xeev tiv thaiv txoj cai rho menyuam, thiab cov kev txiav txim siab tam sim no yuav muaj kev sib tw (Alaska, Iowa, Minnesota thiab Montana muaj lub xeev lub tsev hais plaub zoo sib xws. ua ntej uas yuav muaj kev pheej hmoo, tab sis tsawg dua lub tsev hais plaub loj tshaj plaws ntawm daim ntawv xaiv tsa).

Dab Tsi Los Saib

Kansas Cov neeg pov npav yuav pov npav rho menyuam sai dua, vim tias lub xeev muaj kev pov npav rau nws lub Yim Hli 2 thawj zaug uas yuav txiav txim siab seb lub xeev txoj cai lij choj yuav tsum raug kho kom tsis txhob tiv thaiv kev rho menyuam ntxiv lawm. Yog tias qhov kev ntsuas ua tiav, qhov ntawd yuav ua rau nws yooj yim dua rau lub xeev txwv tsis pub rho menyuam los ntawm kev thim lub xeev lub tsev hais plaub ua ntej. Nws kuj tseem muaj peev xwm cuam tshuam txog kev rho menyuam tawm tuaj yeem tshwm sim hauv daim ntawv xaiv tsa Colorado, Michigan thiab Oklahoma, tab sis cov hnub kawg rau cov uas yuav tsum tau ua tiav tseem tuaj tom qab xyoo no.

Dab Tsi Peb Tsis Paub

Democratic strategists yog vam txoov Roe raug thim rov qab yuav yog ib qho kev txhawb nqa los txhawb cov neeg tawm mus thiab tau txais cov neeg pov npav ywj pheej rau kev xaiv tsa thaum lub Kaum Ib Hlis. Morning Consult/Politico pov npav tau ua hnub Tuesday, tom qab qhov kev xav tau tawm mus, pom 58% ntawm cov neeg teb ntseeg tias nws yog qhov tsawg kawg yog qhov tseem ceeb rau pov npav rau tus neeg sib tw uas txhawb nqa kev rho menyuam, suav nrog 79% ntawm Democrats, thaum tsuas yog 44% mob siab rau kev pov npav rau ib tus neeg uas tawm tsam nws ( 60% ntawm Republicans). Hais tias, yav dhau los pov tau qhia tias Republicans muaj kev txaus siab rau kev pov npav xyoo no dua li Democrats, thiab nws tsis paub meej tias Roe txoj kev txiav txim siab puas yuav txaus los thim qhov kev hloov no.

Tus Keeb Kwm Tseem Ceeb

Txoj cai rho menyuam tawm tuaj rau pem hauv ntej lub lim tiam no tom qab Politico luam tawm ib tsab ntawv pom zoo uas feem ntau ntawm Tsev Hais Plaub Siab Ncaj Ncees tau pom zoo rov roe, uas tau tso cai rau kev rho menyuam tawm hauv xyoo 1973. Cov qauv, uas yog los ntawm Lub Ob Hlis, yog nyob rau hauv rooj plaub hais txog Mississippi txoj cai rho menyuam tawm 15 lub lis piam, thiab qhia tias lub tsev hais plaub yuav thim txoj cai rho menyuam tag nrho thiab tawm qhov teeb meem mus rau lub xeev lossis Congress. , nrog Kev Ncaj Ncees Samuel Alito hu Roe "tsis ncaj ncees lawm." Tus Thawj Saib Xyuas Kev Ncaj Ncees John Roberts muaj paub tseeb tsab ntawv qhov tseeb tab sis ceeb toom nws yuav tsum tsis txhob coj raws li lub tsev hais plaub qhov kev txiav txim zaum kawg, uas yuav raug tso tawm rau lub Rau Hli. Cov xeev twb tau txav mus los txwv lossis tiv thaiv txoj cai rho menyuam tawm txawm tias ua ntej tsab ntawv pom zoo raug tso tawm, nrog rau cov xeev xws li Texas thiab Oklahoma hla kev rho menyuam tawm thaum lub xeev Democratic-coj xws li New Jersey thiab Connecticut tau nqis tes ua txoj cai rho menyuam tawm.

ntxiv nyeem ntawv

Nov yog qhov yuav tshwm sim yog tias Lub Tsev Hais Plaub Siab Tshaj Plaws Roe V. Wade (Forbes)

Cov neeg Amelikas xav li cas txog kev rho menyuam: Qee lub sij hawm xav tsis thoob qhov kev ntsuam xyuas raws li Lub Tsev Hais Plaub Siab Tshaj Tawm Tshaj Tawm Txog Roe V. Wade (Forbes)

Republicans yuav sim txwv kev rho menyuam thoob tebchaws yog tias Tsev Hais Plaub Siab Tshaj Plaws Roe V. Wade, Tshaj Tawm Tshaj Tawm (Forbes)

Democrats Lub Hom Phiaj Siv Txoj Cai rho menyuam rau Jolt Lub Xeev Cov Cai Lij Choj (New York Times)

Hauv kev sib ntaus sib tua nruab nrab, ob tog sim ua riam phom rho menyuam (NBC News)

Tau qhov twg los: https://www.forbes.com/sites/alisondurkee/2022/05/06/heres-where-abortion-rights-will-be-on-the-midterm-ballot-in-november/