Nov yog dab tsi yuav tshwm sim yog tias Putin xaj kom muaj kev tawm tsam Nuclear hauv Ukraine

Tojsiab

Lavxias Thawj Tswj Hwm Vladimir Putin tab tom npaj los koom nrog thaj chaw nyob hauv Ukrainian thiab tau cog lus tias yuav tiv thaiv thaj chaw Lavxias los ntawm txhua txoj kev tsim nyog rau hnub Wednesday, suav nrog kev siv riam phom nuclear, kev nce siab heev thiab tsis tau muaj dua li uas tau txhawj xeeb cov kws tshaj lij thiab ua rau muaj kev ntshai ntawm kev ua tsov rog nuclear thoob ntiaj teb.

Cov Lus Tseem Ceeb

Thaum nws nyuaj rau kwv yees cov ntsiab lus tshwj xeeb ntawm Lavxias teb sab kev tawm tsam nuclear hauv Ukraine, cov kws tshaj lij tau hais Forbes tias Moscow feem ntau yuav xa mus tactical nuclear riam phom- cov khoom siv luv luv tsim los siv rau hauv kev sib ntaus sib tua- tawm tsam cov tub rog lossis ua kom puas lub chaw logistics.

Tactical nuclear riam phom me me dua li cov phiaj xwm ntev-ntev warheads tsim los rhuav tshem cov nroog, tab sis lub zog yog cov txheeb ze - cov riam phom loj tshaj plaws tuaj yeem loj li 100 kilotons (1 kiloton sib npaug 1,000 tons ntawm TNT) - lub foob pob US poob rau Hiroshima yog 15 kilotons—thiab Dr. Rod Thornton, tus kws paub txog kev ruaj ntseg ntawm King's College London, hais rau Forbes lawv tseem tuaj yeem tsim kev puas tsuaj.

Putin yuav tsis zoo li yuav tsom mus rau lub nroog Ukrainian thawj zaug tawm tsam thiab tejzaum nws yuav zam kev raug mob tag nrho, Thornton tau hais tias, piav qhia tias kev tawm tsam nuclear feem ntau yog lub cim "cim cim" rau Moscow kom pom tias nws hnyav thiab txaus siab tiv thaiv. nws tus kheej.

Kev kwv yees ua tau lub hom phiaj yog qhov nyuaj, Thornton tau hais, txawm tias nws ntab Snake Island, Lub Hiav Txwv Dub tau coj los ntawm Russia thaum ntxov hauv kev ua tsov ua rog uas txij li tau rov qab los thiab dhau los ua lub cim ntawm Ukrainian kev tawm tsam, raws li ib tus Putin tuaj yeem xav hauv siab.

Qhov cuam tshuam ntawm kev tawm tsam nuclear nyob ntawm ntau yam ntawm hom riam phom siv, yuav siv li cas thiab qhov twg thiab cov xwm txheej thaum lub sijhawm, tab sis txawm tias lub foob pob hluav taws xob tsawg tuaj yeem muaj qhov tshwm sim deb, nrog rau hluav taws xob los ntawm lub foob pob ua rau. Cov teeb meem kev noj qab haus huv mus sij hawm ntev rau cov neeg muaj txoj sia nyob thiab cov hluav taws xob hluav taws xob uas cuam tshuam rau ib puag ncig thiab tej zaum yuav dhau mus thoob plaws Europe thiab Asia.

Radioactive fallout yog ib txoj hauv kev tsis zoo los ua cov lus hais tias Russia xav ua thiab tuaj yeem ua rau rov qab los ntawm kev hla tebchaws Russia lossis koom ua ke tib neeg lossis haiv neeg tawm tsam lawv, Thornton tau hais, ntxiv tias Moscow tej zaum yuav siv riam phom tsim los txo qis kev poob qis.

Kev Nkag Siab Hais

Thornton tau hais tias "Nyob rau ntau sab, Putin tab tom raug kev nyuaj siab," Forbes, taw qhia txog kev poob hauv Ukraine, kev tawm tsam hauv tsev tshaj kev txhawb nqa thiab txuas ntxiv kev tawm tsam thoob ntiaj teb. "Qhov kev xav tau ntau dua Putin dhau los, qhov ntau nws tau thawb ntawm ko taw rov qab, qhov yuav ua rau muaj riam phom nuclear siv ntau dua," nws hais ntxiv. Kev xaiv siv riam phom nuclear tuaj yeem tsim teeb meem tshiab rau Putin hauv tsev, Thornton tau hais tias, thiab tej zaum yuav ua rau muaj kev tawm tsam los ntawm cov tub rog lossis lwm tus neeg tseem ceeb uas tsis kam ua kom muaj teeb meem loj dua thiab tej zaum yuav thawb NATO los txhawb nqa Ukraine ncaj qha.

Xov Xwm Peg

Tom qab raug kev txom nyem los ntawm kev poob qis thiab kev poob hnyav hauv Ukraine, Putin tau hais kom "tshem tawm ib nrab" lub lim tiam dhau los txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau nws tus chij. Kev tshaj tawm triggered an exodus ntawm cov neeg khiav tawm mus rau cov tebchaws nyob sib ze xws li Kazakhstan thiab Finland kom dim tau txais kev ua tub rog. Putin kuj tau hais txog kev txhawb nqa rau ntau qhov kev xaiv tsa hauv plaub thaj tsam uas nyob hauv Lavxias - qhov tseeb ua ntej rau annexation thiab tsis lees paub raws li tsis raug cai los ntawm feem ntau ntawm lub ntiaj teb no - thiab hais tias Moscow yuav tiv thaiv nws cov kev txaus siab los ntawm tag nrho cov txhais tau tias, nrog rau cov riam phom nuclear. Putin, uas tau hem tias yuav siv riam phom nuclear hauv Ukraine ntau lub sij hawm ua ntej, insisted nws tsis bluffing thiab lwm haiv neeg yog kho cov lus ceeb toom tiag.

Dab Tsi Peb Tsis Paub

Dmitry Medvedev, yav dhau los tus thawj tswj hwm Lavxias thiab tam sim no tus thawj coj ntawm pawg tswj hwm kev ruaj ntseg hauv tebchaws, muaj hais tias Teb Chaws Asmeskas thiab nws cov NATO cov phooj ywg ntshai ntawm "nuclear apocalypse" los cuam tshuam ncaj qha rau hauv Ukraine, txawm tias Moscow siv riam phom nuclear. Nws tsis paub meej tias lwm lub ntiaj teb yuav teb li cas. Putin cov lus tau ua rau Is Nrias teb thiab Tuam Tshoj rhuav tshem lawv qhov ntsiag to ntev ntawm kev ua tsov rog hauv Ukraine thiab suab txhawj. NATO tus tuav ntaub ntawv General Jens Stoltenberg ceeb toom ntawm "qhov tshwm sim hnyav" rau Russia yog tias nws siv riam phom nuclear hauv Ukraine, echoing private ceeb toom ntawm "kev puas tsuaj loj" los ntawm Washington. Kev tawm tsam nuclear yog kev tawm tsam tau tab sis yuav cim qhov kev nce zuj zus thiab txaus ntshai. Feem ntau yuav yog "kev puas tsuaj loj" NATO cov lus teb siv cov riam phom zoo ib yam, hais tias Zbigniew Rau, Poland's Foreign Minister.

Dab Tsi Los Saib

Ib tug Lavxias teb sab nuclear tawm tsam yuav tsis zoo li yuav ua rau sab hnub poob kiag li surprise, Thornton hais Forbes Tej zaum yuav muaj ntau "suab nrov tom qab" thiab "sib tham sib tham" ntawm ntau lub tseem fwv thiab cov koom haum tiv thaiv uas yuav raug khaws los ntawm Western mloog chaw nres tsheb yog tias Russia tau npaj mus rau nuclear, nws tau piav qhia. Yog tias sab hnub poob tau khaws cov cim taw qhia txog kev tawm tsam nuclear, Thornton tau hais tias yuav muaj "kev nce siab loj hauv kev tswj hwm kev tswj hwm rau Russia" los hloov txoj kev. Nws kuj tseem yuav muaj kev cuam tshuam tseem ceeb rau cov teb chaws xws li Tuam Tshoj thiab Is Nrias teb kom muaj zog tiv thaiv Russia, nws hais ntxiv, uas tuaj yeem muaj kev cuam tshuam ntau dua rau Moscow qhov kev cia siab rau lawv. zog exports.

Tus lej Loj

5,977 ib. Qhov ntawd yog pes tsawg nuclear warheads Russia muaj, raws li ib tug kwv yees los ntawm Federation of American Scientists (FAS). Nyob ib ncig ntawm 1,500 tau so haujlwm thiab vim raug tshem tawm, lub koom haum hais tias. Feem ntau ntawm cov tub rog tseem tshuav yog cov tswv yim - cov riam phom loj dua uas tuaj yeem siv tau ntev ntev - thiab cov seem yog cov riam phom me me. Russia tau ntseeg tias muaj riam phom nuclear ntau dua li lwm lub tebchaws. Nws tau ua raws li Asmeskas, uas muaj kwv yees li 5,428 lub taub hau, raws li FAS, thiab ob qho tib si muaj kwv yees li 90% ntawm tag nrho cov riam phom nuclear. Xya lwm lub tebchaws tau paub lossis ntseeg tias muaj riam phom nuclear: Tuam Tshoj (350), Fabkis (290), UK (225), Pakistan (165), Is Nrias teb (160), Israel (90) thiab North Kauslim (20).

ntxiv nyeem ntawv

Raws li Russia khawb hauv, Dab tsi yog qhov txaus ntshai ntawm Nuclear Tsov Rog? 'Nws Tsis Yog Zero.' (NYT)

Yuav ua li cas yog Russia siv Nuclear Riam phom hauv Ukraine? (Lub Atlantic)