Qhov no tsab xov xwm no tau muab luam tawm rau Bankrate.com.
Txawm hais tias kev lag luam poob qis hauv 2022, cov tub ua lag luam tab tom saib ua ntej, thiab coob leej pom ib qho kev nyab xeeb zoo nkauj heev yog tias cov tub ua lag luam tuaj yeem xav txog lub sijhawm ntev es tsis txhob raug ntes nyob rau lub sijhawm. Cov hnab ris ntawm tus kheej tuaj yeem ua tau zoo txawm tias muaj kev lag luam loj dua thiab tuaj yeem teeb tsa cov tub ua lag luam, tsis zoo li cov tub lag luam luv luv, rau xyoo tom ntej.
Tab sis kom txog thaum Fed tso siab rau kev nce nqi paj, nws tuaj yeem yog ntau dua ntawm qhov ua rau 2022 lub khw.
"Lub xyoo no pom cov khoom lag luam loj hlob, cov khoom lag luam thev naus laus zis, thiab cryptocurrencies ua rau muaj kev sib tw," said Sawhney. Nws cia siab tias 2023 yuav "txog txoj hauv kev zoo sib xws kom txog thaum rov pib dua."
Nws yog ib qho tseem ceeb kom tsis txhob cia cov xov xwm nyiaj txiag thiab cov xov xwm luv luv cuam tshuam koj los ntawm lub sijhawm ntev, hais tias Josh Answers, tus tswv cuab ntawm Trading Fraternity channel hauv YouTube. "Saib cov hauv paus ntsiab lus thiab ua raws li qhov koj paub thiab tau tshawb fawb," nws hais. "Cov xov xwm tshaj tawm ib txwm lig rau tog, yog li ua koj cov ntawv ua tom tsev thiab cia siab tias yuav tsiv mus nyob hauv khw."
Thiab nrog kev lag luam tsis muaj zog, nws tuaj yeem yog lub sijhawm zoo kom nyob deb ntawm cov khw muag khoom thiab chaw so, uas muaj kev cuam tshuam rau kev lag luam kev lag luam, hais tias Mina Tadrus, CEO ntawm Tadrus Capital, lub siab-frequency-trading hedge fund. "Kev kis thoob qhov txhia chaw twb muaj kev cuam tshuam loj heev rau cov haujlwm no, thiab kev lag luam muaj peev xwm tuaj yeem ua rau lawv qhov kev ua tau zoo ntxiv," nws hais.
Yam khoom lag luam twg tuaj yeem ua tau zoo dua hauv 2023?
Nov yog ob peb thaj chaw uas cov tub ua lag luam tuaj yeem pom cov hauv kev hauv xyoo tom ntej.
Cov tuam txhab zoo
"Tej zaum lub khw yuav poob ntxiv thiab tej zaum nws tsis yog, tab sis kev muag khoom ntev ntawm cov cuab tam zoo yog qhov tsis tuaj yeem tiv taus," McBride hais.
Thiab qhov tseem ceeb ntawm no yog rau cov tuam txhab zoo, cov uas yuav tsis yog tsuas yog muaj txoj sia nyob ntawm kev lag luam tab sis ua tau zoo, los ntawm kev nthuav tawm lawv cov txiaj ntsig kev sib tw. Hauv qhov sib piv, cov tuam txhab tsis muaj zog lossis cov nuj nqis hnyav tuaj yeem poob qis vim kev lag luam tsis zoo.
Gerry Frigon, tus thawj tswj hwm thiab CFO, Taylor Frigon Capital Management hais tias "Nyob twj ywm rau cov tswv yim mus sij hawm ntev uas nrhiav kev nqis peev rau cov lag luam tshiab thiab loj hlob uas pab txhawb kev hloov pauv digital ntawm txhua lub lag luam," hais tias Gerry Frigon, tus thawj tswj hwm thiab CFO, Taylor Frigon Capital Management.
Tus nqi khoom lag luam
Cov khoom lag luam muaj txiaj ntsig yog lwm qhov chaw tseem ceeb uas yuav tsum ua tau zoo dua, raws li lawv muaj thaum lub sij hawm nce nqi lossis thaum lub lag luam poob. "Cov neeg ua lag luam tau siv rau kev loj hlob cov khoom lag luam uas ua tau zoo dua tus nqi, tab sis 2022 tau muab cov lus qhia muaj zog uas cov khoom lag luam thiab cov lag luam zoo li yuav vam meej hauv qhov nce paj paj," hais Keller.
Nws cia siab tias daim ntawv cog lus yuav nce ntxiv los ntawm qhov no, txhais tau tias cov khoom lag luam muaj txiaj ntsig tuaj yeem ua tau zoo dua.
Keller hais tias "Peb tsis xav tias 10-xyoo Treasury yield tau pom nws qhov siab tshaj plaws rau lub voj voog, thiab qhov ntawd yuav tsum ua rau lub zog tsis tu ncua ntawm cov nqi ntawm cov khoom lag luam loj hlob," Keller hais. "Cov tub lag luam tsis tau pom qhov chaw zoo li no tau ntau xyoo lawm."
Cov khoom lag luam muag khoom
Cov khoom lag luam thev naus laus zis tau qee qhov nyuaj tshaj plaws hauv kev ua lag luam, nrog rau txawm tias bellwethers xws li Amazon poob ntau dua 50% los ntawm nws qhov siab txhua lub sijhawm. Cov tech-heavy Nasdaq poob ntau dua 30% los ntawm nws 52-lub lim tiam siab, thiab nws cov khoom tseem ceeb tshaj plaws xws li Kua thiab Microsoft tau poob zoo hauv qab lawv cov watermarks siab txhua xyoo. Tab sis cov kev poob qis no muab txoj hauv kev mus tom ntej.
Frigon hais tias "Software zoo li yuav ua tau zoo thaum tus nqi nce siab tau txo qis thiab qhov kev cia siab ntev 'kev lag luam' yuav tshwm sim los yog tsis," Frigon hais. "Ib qho nyuaj nyuaj los nrhiav qhov chaw uas muaj kev loj hlob zoo dua tam sim no, lossis yav tom ntej dua hauv qhov chaw ntawd."
Keller pom zoo: "Yog tias thiab thaum lub lag luam hauv qab tshwm sim hauv thawj ib nrab ntawm 2023, peb yuav tau saib mus rau thev naus laus zis ua lub sijhawm ntev zoo, muab qhov kev poob qis txij li xyoo 2021."
Tadrus tseem xav tias cov khoom lag luam thev naus laus zis tuaj yeem ua tau zoo hauv 2023, tom qab tau ua tus yeej mus ntev hauv kaum xyoo dhau los. Nws kuj xav tias kev saib xyuas kev noj qab haus huv thiab kev siv hluav taws xob tuaj yeem ua tau zoo, vim tias lawv "yuav ua kom ruaj khov thiab tsis tshua muaj kev cuam tshuam rau kev lag luam poob qis."
Me-cap cov nyiaj
Cov khoom me me feem ntau yog qee qhov ntawm thawj cov khoom lag luam yuav raug ntaus thaum cov tub ua lag luam ntes ib qho kev poob nyiaj txiag. Lawv me me thiab qis nyiaj txiag wherewithal ua rau lawv muaj kev pheej hmoo siab dua, piv rau cov kaus mom loj. Tab sis nws yog ib qho tseem ceeb uas yuav tau saib cov cib fim ntawm no ua tib zoo vim tias cov khoom me me muaj peev xwm loj hlob ntawm tus nqi siab dua thiab xa rov qab zoo dua rau cov tub ua lag luam.
Frigon hais tias "Feem ntau cov tub ua lag luam tau cia qhov kev xav tsis zoo ntawm lub sijhawm tam sim no tau txais txiaj ntsig zoo uas muaj nyob hauv ntau lub tuam txhab me me mus rau nruab nrab," hais Frigon.
Kev xaiv ob peb lub kaus mom me me zoo tuaj yeem ua rau muaj txiaj ntsig zoo dua rau xyoo tom ntej.
Yuav ua li cas cov tub ua lag luam yuav tsum taug txoj kev muaj peev xwm muaj pob zeb 2023?
Ntau tus tub ua lag luam pom thawj XNUMX lossis cuaj lub hlis ntawm lub xyoo - thiab kev lag luam sib txuas - raws li lub sijhawm qeeb uas teeb tsa cov tub ua lag luam kom rov qab zoo dua tom qab xyoo.
Keller hais tias "Peb xav tias yuav mus rau lub caij nplooj zeeg, theem yuav raug teeb tsa rau kev rov zoo los ntawm 2022-2023 cyclical dais lag luam," Keller hais.
Tab sis txawm tias cov khoom lag luam rov qab mus rau xyoo 2024, kev lag luam qis tsuas yog muab sijhawm ntau rau cov tub ua lag luam mus sij hawm ntev los ua lawv cov peev txheej ntawm tus nqi qis. "Feem ntau cov neeg ua lag luam uas paub txog nrhiav txoj hauv kev los tsim kev nplua nuj rau lub sijhawm ntev hauv kev lag luam dais," Raju hais.
Nov yog li cas cov kws tshaj lij hais kom taug qab kev lag luam hauv 2023.
Xav txog lub sij hawm ntev
Cov neeg ua lag luam yuav tsum saib yav dhau los qhov kev puas tsuaj thiab kev ntxhov siab ntawm niaj hnub no thiab paub tias cov nqi qis dua niaj hnub no yuav pom tau tias yog cov khoom lag luam zoo hauv ob peb xyoos xwb.
McBride hais tias "Lub sijhawm no yog lub sijhawm zoo rau kev nqis peev vim qhov kev ntsuas tau nqis mus rau ntau qhov tsim nyog," McBride hais.
Thaum lub lag luam tej zaum yuav muaj pob zeb nyob rau hauv lub sij hawm luv luv, txawm tias tag nrho cov chav kawm ntawm 2023, cov tub ua lag luam uas xav txog peb mus rau tsib xyoos tawm. yuav tsum tau muab nqi zog ntau dhau sijhawm.
Mus qeeb thiab khov kho
"Txoj hauv kev zoo tshaj los nqis peev hauv hom kev lag luam no yog nrog cov nyiaj me me," hais tias Josh Answers.
Cov hmoov zoo tau tsim nyob rau lub sijhawm, yog li cov tub ua lag luam yuav tsum nyob twj ywm. Rau ntau tus tub ua lag luam, qhov kev qhuab qhia no suav nrog kev ntxiv nyiaj rau kev ua lag luam tsis tu ncua siv cov txheej txheem hu ua tus nqi daus las them nyiaj, uas pab koj kom tsis txhob muaj kev pheej hmoo ntawm kev tso tag nrho koj cov chips rau ntawm lub rooj ntawm lub sijhawm tsis raug.
"Lub khw lag luam tau poob qis 15% -20% rau lub hlis kawg, yog li rau cov tub ua lag luam uas yog tus nqi nruab nrab, koj tab tom txuas ntxiv mus yuav cov nqi $ 1 rau 80-85 xees," McBride hais.
Los ntawm kev nqis peev tsis tu ncua, koj tuaj yeem zam kev yuav ntawm tus nqi siab tab sis koj kuj tseem ua kom koj lub siab xav ntxiv rau koj cov peev txheej thaum lawv qis dua, teeb tsa cov txiaj ntsig zoo dua rau xyoo tom ntej.
"Muaj ntau tus neeg ntshai tam sim no vim qhov tsis hloov pauv, tab sis qhov ntawd yuav tsum tsis txhob ntshai koj yog tias koj nqis peev me me thiab nquag," Josh Answers hais. "Muaj qeeb thiab nquag, ib zaug hauv ib hlis, tau ua rau peb muaj sia nyob hauv lub khw no."
Nyob twj ywm
Koj tsis tuaj yeem tau txais kev lag luam rov qab mus sij hawm ntev tshwj tsis yog tias koj tseem nqis peev, tab sis qhov ntawd yog qhov nyuaj tshaj plaws ua thaum cov khoom lag luam poob. Txawm li cas los xij, nws tseem ceeb heev kom nyob twj ywm.
"Koj xav kom nyob twj ywm tag nrho cov peev nyiaj thiab tswj hwm koj cov kev nqis peev ib txwm muaj vim tias qee lub sijhawm lub khw no yuav pib rov qab los thiab qhov ntawd yuav tshwm sim thaum cov xov xwm tseem tsis zoo nkauj," McBride hais. "Koj xav nyob hauv lub tsheb ciav hlau, thiab tsis nyob ntawm lub platform, thaum nws rub tawm ntawm qhov chaw nres tsheb."
Ib txoj hauv kev los pab koj nyob twj ywm yog mus nqa ib qho passive investing txoj kev, pab coj koj lub siab xav tawm ntawm qhov kev ua si. Teeb tsa koj tus as-qhauj los yuav cov khoom lag luam lossis cov nyiaj qiv nyiaj tsis tu ncua thiab tom qab ntawd tsis txhob saib lub khw.
James Beckett, tus kws qhia nyiaj txiag thiab tus kws sau ntawv rau lub vev xaib nyiaj txiag ntawm tus kheej lub vev xaib TinyHigh.com hais tias "Raws li tus neeg txhawb nqa ntawm kev teeb tsa-thiab-tsis nco qab cov tswv yim nqis peev, kev ntshai ntawm npuas thiab kev lag luam poob qis tsis ua rau muaj kev ceeb toom," "Kev ua lag luam-lub sij hawm tsuas yog tsis yog ib feem ntawm kev ua lag luam kev xav."
Coincidentally, qhov ntawd yog tib txoj hauv kev tawm tswv yim los ntawm cov neeg ua lag luam legendary Warren Buffett, leej twg tau qhia feem ntau cov tub ua lag luam los pab txhawb tsis tu ncua rau ib qho S&P 500 Index Fund.
cov kab hauv qab
Ntau tus neeg saib xyuas kev lag luam tau cia siab tias 2023 yuav yog lub sijhawm nyuaj, nrog ntau qhov kev hloov pauv. Tab sis txawm hais tias nws xaus li yooj yim dua los yog nyuaj dua, cov tub ua lag luam muaj qee qhov pov thawj kev nqis peev mus sij hawm ntev uas tuaj yeem pab lawv huab cua hauv kev lag luam. Thiab txawm hais tias 2023 xaus mus ua lwm xyoo nyuaj rau cov tub ua lag luam, nws yuav teeb tsa lub zog rov qab los rau xyoo tom ntej, lub ntsiab lus tam sim no yog lub sijhawm zoo tshaj plaws kom tau txais kev nqis peev ntau dua ntawm tus nqi qis hauv kev cia siab ntawm kev rov qab los.
Zaj dab neeg no yog thaum chiv keeb los Fortune.com
Ntau los ntawm Fortune:
Air Is Nrias teb slammed rau 'kev ua tsis tiav' tom qab tus txiv neej tsis muaj zog cov neeg caij nkoj ya hauv chav ua lag luam tso zis rau tus poj niam taug kev los ntawm New York
Meghan Markle qhov kev txhaum tiag tiag uas cov pej xeem Askiv tsis tuaj yeem zam txim - thiab Asmeskas tsis tuaj yeem nkag siab
'Nws tsuas yog tsis ua haujlwm.' Lub ntiaj teb lub tsev noj mov zoo tshaj plaws tau raug kaw vim nws tus tswv hu cov qauv noj mov zoo niaj hnub 'tsis muaj kev ruaj ntseg'
Bob Iger tsuas yog tso nws ko taw thiab hais kom Disney cov neeg ua haujlwm rov qab los rau hauv chaw ua haujlwm
Tau qhov twg los: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-outlook-2023-experts-141100877.html