cov dais kev ua lag luam roared thoob plaws hauv 2022.
Nyob rau hauv ib tug me ntsis siab phem twist, lub S&P 500 ntaus txhua lub sijhawm siab rau Lub Ib Hlis 4, hnub thib ob ntawm lub xyoo tshiab. Txij thaum ntawd los, nws tau ua koob tsheej rau dais.
As nce nqi tau raging thaum pib ntawm lub xyoo, lub Federal Reserve raug ntes tom qab yim lub npas thiab yuam kom koom nrog hauv kev ua phem ntawm kev nce qib hauv kev mob siab rau txwv kev nce nqi.
Nruab nrab ntawm cov paj laum thiab kev txhawj xeeb txog a lub caij txom nyem , Tshuag bulls muaj lawv cov hauj lwm txiav tawm rau lawv xyoo no. Nov yog yuav ua li cas cov txheej txheem tau teeb tsa rau 2023.
Saib ntawm S&P 500 rau 2023 Daim ntawv qhia txhua lub limtiam ntawm SPY ETF.
Daim ntawv losntawm chaw ntawm TrendSpider.com
Nyuam qhuav pib lub xyoo no, Kuv khaws qhov tseem ceeb ntawm thaj tsam $350 rau SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SIV Tau txais Daim Ntawv Qhia Dawb . Qhov ntawd yog raws li nws muaj 50-hli tsiv nruab nrab , 50% retracement cheeb tsam thiab ib cheeb tsam loj breakout hauv 2020.
Tom qab qhov kev tawm tsam muaj zog, txawm li cas los xij, SPY tab tom nrhiav kev tawm tsam ntawm qhov poob qis 50-lub lim tiam txav nruab nrab rau qhov thib ob ua ke.
Tam sim no, nrog rau SPY hovering nyob ib ncig ntawm $380, peb nyob rau nruab nrab ntawm qhov tsis ntev los no thiab teeb tsa rau ib lub lim tiam. Nrog rau ntau qhov nyiaj them poob haujlwm ua ntej ntawm nws, SPY muaj lub ntsej muag zoo.
Kev so ntawm thaj tsam $ 375 yuav qhib lub qhov rooj mus rau 200-lub lim tiam txav nruab nrab. Yog tias nws ua tsis tau raws li kev txhawb nqa, qhov ntawd qhib qhov rooj rov qab mus rau thaj tsam $ 350 thiab SPY's 52-lub lim tiam qis.
Hauv qab no thiab nws muaj peev xwm ua tau rau SPY rov kuaj nws cov kab mob ua ntej siab ze $ 339, ua raws li qhov muaj peev xwm poob mus rau 61.8% retracement ntawm $ 318. Qhov ntawd yuav txhais tau tias kev poob qis ntawm kwv yees li 33% los ntawm txhua lub sijhawm siab.
Yog li ntawd, cov bulls yuav tsum ua li cas?
Nyob rau lub sijhawm luv luv, nws yuav pab tau rau SPY kom rov qab qhov nruab nrab ntawm 10-lub lim tiam thiab 21-lub lim tiam. Tab sis kom muaj kev ruaj ntseg nce mus rau daim ntawv, nws yuav tsum tau rov qab 50-lub lim tiam txav nruab nrab thiab muab tso rau hauv qhov qis dua.
Los ntawm muaj, nws muaj peev xwm muab tso rau hauv ib qho siab dua thiab pib tsim ib qho kev nce siab tshiab.
Cov tub lag luam yuav tsum tau ua raws li qhov muaj peev xwm uas peb yuav tsis ua qhov tshiab txhua lub sijhawm hauv 2023. Nws yog qhov ua tau peb muaj ntau yam-kawg rau xyoo tom ntej thiab kev xaiv cov khoom lag luam tseem ceeb dua rau cov tub luam kom ua tiav.
Saib ntawm Nasdaq rau 2023 Daim ntawv qhia txhua lub limtiam ntawm QQQ ETF.
Daim ntawv losntawm chaw ntawm TrendSpider.com
Tech tau ua phem rau lwm qhov kev lag luam xyoo no, ua pov thawj los ntawm lub xyoo dhau los poob ntawm 33.6% rau PowerShares QQQ Trust (QQQ Tau txais Daim Ntawv Qhia Dawb .
QQQ yog ua lag luam qis dua tag nrho nws qhov loj qhov nruab nrab txhua lub lim tiam, nrog rau 50-hli mus nruab nrab.
Nws tau tuav saum toj no 61.8% retracement thiab tam sim no qis rau lub xyoo ze $ 254.
Yog tias QQQ tuaj yeem tshem tawm thaj tsam $ 292 txog $ 295, nws qhib lub qhov rooj rau kev sib tw mus txog qhov poob qis 50-lub lim tiam txav nruab nrab, ib qho kev ntsuas nws tsis tau sim ib zaug txij li lub Plaub Hlis (tsis zoo li SPY).
Ntawm qhov downside, yog QQQ tawm qhov qis thiab tsis nyob siab dua $ 250, nws muaj peev xwm peb tau txais qhov kev sim ntawm $ 237 txog $ 240 cheeb tsam, uas yog cov kab mob ua ntej siab. Hauv qhov xwm txheej ntawd, cov bulls mus sij hawm ntev yuav tsum tau saib xyuas.
Qhov ntawd yuav txhais tau tias QQQ ETF poob txog 40% los ntawm nws txhua lub sijhawm siab. Keeb kwm, qhov ntawd yog lub sijhawm yuav khoom zoo rau cov tub ua lag luam mus sij hawm ntev. Nws kuj tseem yuav txhais tau tias cov tuam txhab xws li Apple (AAPL Tau txais Daim Ntawv Qhia Dawb yog nyob ze ntawm thaj chaw tseem ceeb ntawm kab kos.
Tau qhov twg los: https://www.thestreet.com/investing/stocks/which-way-for-the-sp-500-and-nasdaq-in-2023-check-the-charts?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO&yptr=yahoo