Nov yog Yuav Ua Li Cas Russia Yuav Siv Iranian Drones Hauv Ukraine

Nrog kev xav ntau ntxiv tias Russia yuav sai sai tau "ntau pua" ntawm cov tub rog thiab tsis muaj riam phom los ntawm Iran, cov lus nug uas tsis tuaj yeem ntawm Moscow yuav siv lawv li cas hauv kev sib tsoo tsov rog hauv Ukraine tshwm sim.

Thaum Lub Tsev Dawb tau tshaj tawm qhov kev liam tias muag nyob rau nruab nrab Lub Xya Hli, Samuel Bendett, tus kws tshawb fawb tshawb fawb nrog Lub Chaw Saib Xyuas Kev Tshawb Fawb Txog Kev Tshawb Fawb, xav tias muaj txiaj ntsig zoo tias ntau tus drones no tuaj yeem yog loitering munitions, tseem hu ua tua tus kheej drones.

"Ib qho ntawm cov lus qhia loj tshaj plaws uas cov neeg Lavxias tau coj los ntawm 2020 Nagorno-Karabakh kev ua tsov ua rog yog kev siv ntau ntawm cov foob pob tawg yog qhov tseem ceeb rau kev ua tub rog," tweeted. "Yog li yog tias Iran tab tom muab 'ob peb puas' drones rau Russia, nws muaj feem ntau tias cov foob pob tawg yog ib feem ntawm kev hloov pauv."

Nyob rau lub caij nplooj zeeg xyoo 2020 ua tsov ua rog, Azerbaijan tau siv Israeli-tsim Harop loitering munitions los rhuav tshem Armenian S-300 huab cua tiv thaiv missile systems, tib yam ntawm mobile ntev-ntaus Soviet-era systems Ukraine tau zoo siv tawm tsam intruding Lavxias teb sab aircraft niaj hnub no.

Puas yog Russia vam tias yuav rov ua dua Azerbaijan txoj kev vam meej siv Iranian-ua drones? Puas yog Tehran tseem muaj drones zoo li Harop muab rau Moscow?

"Iran tau yog ib tus tub ntxhais kawm zoo ntawm drone thev naus laus zis dhau los 20 xyoo dhau los, txhim kho nws tus kheej thiab thim rov qab-tsim engineering ntes US thiab Israeli thev naus laus zis thaum nthuav tawm nrog lub sijhawm," Bendett hais rau kuv.

"Txawm hais tias lawv cov foob pob tawg yuav tsis ua raws nraim li Harop cov lus qhia, ces (lawv) yuav tau sib xws, vim tias Iran muaj ntau chav kawm ntawm cov foob pob tawg."

James Rogers, Assistant xibfwb hauv Kev Tshawb Fawb Kev Ua Tsov Rog ntawm University of Southern Denmark (SDU), tau taw qhia tias Iranian loitering munitions, xws li Ra'ad 85, "muaj ntau yam tsawg dua thiab lub sijhawm ya davhlau thaum piv rau Israeli Harops Azerbaijan siv nyob rau hauv 2020 tsov rog."

"Txawm li cas los xij, Iran cov kab ke tau tshaj tawm tias ua haujlwm nyob rau hauv ib puag ncig kev ua tsov rog hluav taws xob thiab muaj peev xwm tawm tsam loj dua thiab lub hom phiaj txawb," nws hais rau kuv. "Iran kuj tseem muaj kev sib ntaus sib tua-tawv tawv Ababil III drone, uas tau siv rau hauv lub peev xwm loitering, nrog rau qhov sib thooj fuse huab cua-tawg foob pob hluav taws tsom rau cov neeg ua tub rog siab."

Rogers ntseeg tias nws yuav nyuaj rau Russia "ua raws li kev ua tiav kev ua tiav" ntawm Azerbaijani Harops tawm tsam Armenian S-300s nrog Iranian drones.

"Lub Harops muaj kev sib txuas lus txuas ntxiv thiab loitering ntau, ob zaug ntawm Ra'ad 85 thiab Ababil III Iranian systems, thiab feem ntau pom tau tias muaj kev ntseeg siab dua," nws hais. "Txawm li cas los xij, thaum Iranian tsim cov drones loitering tau raug xa mus rau hauv kev tsis sib haum xeeb, lawv tau raug xa mus rau ntau qhov, hauv kev tsim ua kom muaj zog uas txaus siab thiab cuam tshuam cov yeeb ncuab tiv thaiv."

"Yog tias siv rau hauv lub peev xwm no, Iranian systems yuav muaj kev cuam tshuam ntau ntxiv rau hauv kev sib ntaus sib tua."

Bendett tau sau tseg tias cov neeg Lavxias tsis yog tsuas yog txhawj xeeb txog Ukrainian S-300s tab sis kuj tau muab tam sim no los ntawm US-tsim ntev-ntev-rau-surface HIMARS artillery rockets.

Nws tau hais tias "Lub sijhawm no, siv tau txhua qhov kev tawm tsam ntev ntawm Ukrainian yuav yog lub hom phiaj rau cov tub rog Lavxias uas muaj cov thev naus laus zis zoo li cov neeg siv drones (xws li lawv tus kheej lossis Iranian), "nws hais.

Thaum muaj kev tsis sib haum xeeb hauv Yemen, Houthis tau siv Qasef-1 / 2K loitering munitions, qhov tseem ceeb yog clone ntawm Iranian Ababil-2 drone, tawm tsam Saudi Arabia tiv thaiv huab cua. Siv qhib qhov chaw GPS kev tswj hwm ntawm txoj haujlwm ntawm Saudi MIM-104 Patriot roj teeb, Qasef drones yuav poob rau hauv lawv radars. Cov Houthi tom qab ntawd yuav tua cov foob pob hluav taws ntawm Saudi lub hom phiaj.

"Houthis ntaus lub hom phiaj nyob ruaj khov nrog Qasef drones, yog li txhua tus tub rog Ukrainian cov khoom muaj nqis zoo li lub roj teeb tiv thaiv huab cua lossis lub tsev khaws khoom yuav yog lub hom phiaj," Bendett tau hais.

Rogers xav kom Russia siv Iranian drones nws tau txais "zoo ib yam li lawv tau siv los ntawm cov neeg tsis yog lub xeev thoob plaws Middle East."

Nws tau hais tias "Iranian loitering munitions muaj cov ntaub ntawv teev tseg ntawm kev siv nyob rau hauv 'swarming tactic' tsim," nws hais. "Qhov no yog thaum ntau lub drones raug xa mus rau ntawm lub hom phiaj ib zaug kom dhau los tiv thaiv cov yeeb ncuab huab cua."

Cov kev tawm tsam zoo li no yuav tsis yog qhov tseem ceeb tawm ntawm qhov uas Russia tau siv nws lub zog hauv kev ua tsov rog tam sim no.

Rogers tau hais tias "Russia tau paub ua ib yam dab tsi zoo ib yam nrog nws cov tub rog, siv nws lub peev xwm airpower kom txaus siab rau Ukrainian tiv thaiv," Rogers tau hais.

"Thaum ob txoj kev xav txog huab cua lub zog sib xyaw ua ke, nws yuav zoo li pom Russia siv Iranian drones hauv kev tawm tsam tawm tsam Ukrainian lub hom phiaj."

Bendett cia siab tias Moscow siv cov tswv yim sib txawv "kom tshem tawm Ukrainian chaw nres tsheb thiab lub hom phiaj txawb, txhua yam los ntawm cov tub rog, riam phom, tshuab thiab phom loj ntawm kev txav mus rau chaw nres nkoj, warehouses thiab cov chaw tswj hwm thiab tswj hwm."

"Russia tau saib xyuas qhov kev vam meej ntawm Azerbaijani hauv Nagorno-Karabakh kev ua tsov ua rog, thiab ib zaj lus qhia uas nws tau los ntawm qhov kev tsis sib haum xeeb yog tias loitering munitions thiab drones sib ntaus sib tua yog tus yuam sij rau kev ua tsov rog niaj hnub no," nws hais.

"Yog li ib zaug / yog tias cov thev naus laus zis no raug xa mus, Russia tau txais txiaj ntsig tseem ceeb hauv huab cua uas yuav tawm tsam Ukrainian rog," nws xaus lus.