Nws ntsia peb qhov loj S&P 500 txav xyoo no. Ntawm no yog qhov twg tus kws tshaj lij pom cov khoom lag luam mus tom ntej, nrog cov npe raug ntaus los yuav.

Bierman, leej twg siv quant thiab fundamental tsom xam los txiav txim kev lag luam kev taw qhia, pom S&P 500
SPX,
-0.79%
ua tiav xyoo ntawm 4,000 thiab 4,200, tej zaum nyob ib ncig ntawm 4,135. "Lub caij nyoog plaub lub hlis twg nyiam cov nyuj tom qab lub quarter thib peb tsis muaj zog. Tsis hais txog feem ntau cov khoom lag luam raug nqi rau qhov tsis muaj kev loj hlob, "nws hais rau MarketWatch hauv kev xam phaj hnub Monday.

Thaum lub Kaum Ob Hlis 2021, nws kwv yees S&P 500 tuaj yeem pom 20% poob qis hauv rau lub hlis, mus rau 3,900 - nws ntaus 3,930 thaum lub Tsib Hlis. Lub Rau Hli, nws kwv yees qhov kev sib tw thiab rov qab mus rau 4,300 - qhov Performance index ntaus 4,315 los ntawm nruab nrab Lub Yim Hli.

Hais lus rau MarketWatch thaum Lub Yim Hli 25, Bierman pom ib qho kev rov ntsuam xyuas ntawm ib ncig ntawm 3,600 rau qhov Performance index, hais txog lub Cuaj Hlis feem ntau ntxhib rau cov khoom lag luam. Nws kaw tawm lub hli tas los ntawm tus tshiab 2022 qis ntawm 3,585.

"Kuv xav tias peb yuav xaus rau lub quarter. [Kev ua lag luam yog] muag ntau dhau thiab qee cov khoom lag luam tau ua tsis raug raws li lawv qhov kev ntsuas ntsuas, "said Bierman, uas tab tom saib squarely ntawm khw muag khoom thiab thev naus laus zis sectors.

"Qhov kev ntsuas ntawm ib nrab ntawm cov khoom lag luam nti tau ua lag luam qis dua ntau ntawm xya. Kuv yeej tsis tau pom qhov ntawd puas tau ... tab sis qhov txhais tau li cas yog thaum lub tshuab hluav taws xob semiconductor rov qab los, ntau qhov kev nthuav dav yuav zoo li lub roob hluav taws tawg mus rau sab saud, "nws hais txog cov haujlwm uas paub txog nws cov boom / bust cycles.

Piv txwv li, nws muaj Intel
INTC,
-0.79%,
uas tau poob qis tsib xyoos rau hnub Friday. Thaum kawg, lub tuam txhab uas tau nqis peev $ 20 nphom hauv Asmeskas cog tshiab yuav rov qab nrov nrov nrog cov neeg sib tw zoo li Advanced Micro
AMD,
-1.44%.
"Tib neeg yuav saib rov qab rau qhov no thiab mus 'Auj, kuv tus Vajtswv, Kuv tsis tuaj yeem ntseeg tias Intel tau khwv tau tsib zaug,' uas yog kev vwm rau cov khoom lag luam no."

Rau S&P 500 tag nrho kaum ob lub hlis tom ntej no tus nqi / nyiaj tau los yog tam sim no 16.13 npaug, yog li Intel's yuav tsawg dua ib nrab ntawm qhov dav dav, raws li FactSet

Raws li kev muag khoom, nws tau saib ntawm Urban Outfitters
URBN,
-0.51%,
Macy tus
M,
-0.84%
thiab Nordstrom
JWN,
+ 2.27%,
txhua qhov chaw uas cov xyoo txhiab tsis kav, tab sis cov chav kawm nruab nrab ua, nrog rau tag nrho cov hnub caiv tseem ceeb mus yuav khoom tom ntej.

"Muaj 100,000 tus neeg raug ntiav los ua haujlwm ib nrab sijhawm ntawm cov tuam txhab no, thiab lawv cov paj laum tsis poob qis," nws hais tias tsis muaj qhov cim tseg thiab muag muag, ceeb toom cov tuam txhab tau raug nqi ntau ntawm 5 npaug ntawm cov nyiaj tau los tom ntej. .

"Nws txhais tau hais tias koj tsis xav tias Macy's tuaj yeem muab tso ua ke rau lub quarter Christmas ib lub quarter piv, xyoo dhau los ntawm ntau dua 5%? Yog tias koj tsis ua, tsis txhob yuav nws, tab sis kuv ua, "Bierman hais. “Vim li no kuv thiaj kam muab kuv lub caj dab tawm thiab yuav cov khoom no. Kuv yuav Abercrombie & Fitch
ANF,
-5.26%
ntawm 10 lub sij hawm khwv tau ... Kuv tsis tau pom nws qis li ntawd. "

Rau cov neeg uas tsis nyiam khaws cov khoom lag luam, nws hais tias lawv tseem tuaj yeem tau txais kev cuam tshuam los ntawm kev pauv pauv nyiaj, xws li SPDR S&P Retail
XRT,
-1.74%
los yog Technology Xaiv Sector SPDR ETF
Xlk,
-0.44%.

Bierman ntxiv tias cov tub ua lag luam yuav tsum tau ceev faj kom tsis txhob muaj ntau dhau ntawm cov khoom lag luam saum toj kawg nkaus, muab "10 cov khoom lag luam suav nrog 45% ntawm Nasdaq thiab qhov tseeb tias 25% ntawm S&P yuav luag suav txog 50% ntawm S&P txav."

"Txhua tus neeg tau tsom mus rau 10 cov khoom lag luam uas tseem tuaj yeem poob ntxiv 30% lossis 40%, zoo li Apple thiab Microsoft. Lub tswv yim ntawm kev pheej hmoo siab yog tias txhua tus muaj Apple, txhua tus muaj Amazon, "nws hais.

Thiab qhov ntawd tuaj yeem yuam cov neeg ua haujlwm tsis txaus ntseeg thiab cov neeg ua haujlwm nquag tau nqis peev ntau hauv cov npe loj, tsav tsheb 10% poob rau kev lag luam uas "tshem tawm tag nrho lwm cov khoom lag luam."

Cov kev lag luam

stocks
DJIA,
-0.56%

SPX,
-0.79%

COMP,
-1.17%
nyob rau hauv liab, thiab daim ntawv cog lus yields
TUBMUSD 10Y,
3.772%

TUBMUSD 02Y,
4.158%
yog nce, nrog rau duas
DXYN,
+ 1.79%.
nyiaj
SI 00,
-3.24%
yog retracing ib co ntawm lub lim tiam no lub loj nce, thiab bitcoin
BTCUSD,
-1.09%
tseem tawm, kev lag luam tsuas yog tshaj $ 20,000. Hong koob stocks
TSSI,
+ 5.90%
nce 6% nyob rau hauv ib tug catch-up txav tom qab hnub so. New Zealand lub central bank hiked tus nqi ib nrab taw tes, qhov thib tsib nce ua ke.

Lub suab

Cov nqi roj
CL.1,
+ 0.83%

BRN00,
+ 1.19%
nyob tiaj tus Raws li OPEC + tshaj tawm pom zoo txiav cov roj ntau lawm los ntawm 2 lab barrels ib hnub twg. Ib txhia hais tias tsis txhob impressed ib yam txo cov zis.

Amazon
AMZN,
-1.26%
yuav tshaj tawm tias khov cov neeg ntiav neeg ua haujlwm nyob rau hauv nws cov khw muag khoom lag luam rau seem ntawm 2022.

Daim ntawv thov qiv nyiaj yuav tsev poob mus rau qhov qis tshaj plaws hauv 25 xyoo hauv lub lim tiam dhau los.

ADP daim ntawv tshaj tawm nyiaj txiag ntiag tug tau pom 208,000 txoj haujlwm ntxiv rau lub Cuaj Hli. Kev lag luam poob qis, uas yuav tsum yog xov xwm zoo rau GDP peb lub hlis twg. Lub koom haum rau Kev Tswj Xyuas Kev Pabcuam Cov Kev Pabcuam yuav tsum yog thaum 10 teev sawv ntxov Atlanta Fed Thawj Tswj Hwm Raphael Bostic tseem yuav hais lus.

Cia siab tias qhov tsom teeb yuav nyob hauv Twitter
TWG,
-0.88%
tom qab Tesla
TSLA,
-5.13%
CEO Elon Musk cog lus rau $ 44 billion deal. Tab sis nws yuav zoo li yeej ib zaug nws muaj nws?

Plus: Elon Musk txoj kev sib ntaus sib tua raug cai nrog Twitter yuav dhau mus, tab sis nws txoj kev ua tsov rog nrog SEC txuas ntxiv mus

EU lub teb chaws tau pom zoo los tsim kev rau txim tshiab nyob rau Russia tom qab qhov tsis raug cai annexation ntawm plaub thaj tsam Ukraine. Cov kev txav no yuav suav nrog tus nqi xav tau ntawm cov roj Lavxias.

Kaus lim qab teb lub foob pob hluav taws raug tua nyob rau hauv teb rau North Kauslim lub riam phom tua tshaj Nyiv, tsoo thiab hlawv.

Qhov zoo tshaj plaws ntawm lub vev xaib

Cov neeg Lavxias khiav tawm Putin txoj kev txhawb nqa tab tom nrhiav chaw nyob hauv cov tebchaws txom nyem, nyob deb.

Cov neeg siv khoom pov tseg cov khoom noj zoo kawg nkaus vim tias 'zoo tshaj ua ntej' cov ntawv lo.

Tus Thawj Coj ntawm lub tuam txhab kev xaiv tsa software tau raug ntes ntawm kev iab liam ntawm kev nyiag ID.

Top tickers

Cov no yog cov neeg tshawb nrhiav saum toj kawg nkaus ntawm MarketWatch thaum 6 teev sawv ntxov Eastern:

Daim phiaj qhia

Xav paub ntau ntxiv txog kev lag luam hauv qab:

Random nyeem

Hais txog tus thawj tswj peev leej twg ntes tau Yankees 'superstar Aaron Judge's record-breaking home run.

Ib tug iPhone hauv 162-xyoo-laus painting? Internet yog stumped.

Xav paub kom paub pib thaum ntxov thiab raug kho kom txog thaum qhib lub tswb nrov, tab sis npe to tau txais nws xa ib zaug rau koj lub thawv email. Cov ntawv xa email yuav raug xa tawm thaum 7:30 sawv ntxov Eastern.

Mloog tus Cov Tswv Yim Tshiab Zoo Tshaj Plaws hauv Nyiaj podcast nrog MarketWatch tus neeg sau xov xwm Charles Passy thiab tus kws sau nyiaj txiag Stephanie Kelton