Ntsiab Lus Tseem
Kub yog txav qis dua li cov tub luam tsom mus rau qhov nce yields.
Kev muag khoom tsis ntev los no hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas Tshuag lag luam tsis tau muab kev txhawb nqa rau kub.
Kev txav mus los hauv qab qhov kev txhawb nqa ntawm $ 1880 yuav thawb kub mus rau qib kev txhawb nqa tom ntej ntawm $ 1865.
Kub yog Poob hauv av Thaum Pib Lub Limtiam
kub tab tom mus rau theem kev txhawb nqa ntawm $ 1880, thaum Cov Nyiaj Txiag Nyiaj Txiag tau sim daws qhov siab tshaj txhua xyoo.
Treasury yields tau nce siab nyob rau hauv kev sib tham tsis ntev los no, uas tau poob qis rau kev lag luam kub. Tam sim no, cov txiaj ntsig ntawm 30-xyoo Treasuries tab tom sim kho siab tshaj qhov tseem ceeb ntawm kev puas siab puas ntsws qib 3.00%. Yog tias qhov kev sim no ua tiav, cov txiaj ntsig ntawm 30-xyoo Treasuries yuav txav mus rau qhov kev tawm tsam ntawm 3.05%, uas yuav ua rau muaj kev kub ntxhov ntau dua.
Kev muag khoom tsis ntev los no hauv lub Teb Chaws Asmeskas Tshuag lag luam tsis tau muab kev txhawb nqa rau kub, thiab nws zoo nkaus li tias cov tub lag luam kub feem ntau tsom rau kev nce yields.
VanEck Kub Miners ETF tau tsiv rov qab qis dua $ 35 qib thiab yuav zoo li nyob rau hauv cov ntaub ntawv kub nyob rau hauv $ 1880 - $ 1890 ntau. Yog tias kub tswj hwm kom nyob qis dua qhov kev txhawb nqa ntawm $ 1880, GDX tuaj yeem nce qhov poob qis.
Kev Analysis
Kub tau nyob hauv qab qhov kev txhawb nqa ntawm $ 1890 thiab tab tom sim kom qis dua qib kev txhawb nqa tom ntej ntawm $ 1880. Yog tias qhov kev sim no ua tiav, kub yuav txav mus rau kev txhawb nqa, uas nyob ntawm $ 1865.
Kev sim ua tiav ntawm kev txhawb nqa ntawm $ 1865 yuav qhib txoj hauv kev rau kev sim ntawm kev txhawb nqa tom ntej ntawm $ 1850. Yog tias kub poob qis dua qib no, nws yuav mus rau kev txhawb nqa ntawm $ 1830.
Ntawm qhov upside, qhov kev txhawb nqa yav dhau los ntawm $ 1890 yuav ua tus thawj qib tsis kam rau kub. Yog tias kub tau rov qab los ntawm qib no, nws yuav mus rau qhov kev tawm tsam ntawm $ 1900.
Kev sim ua tiav ntawm qhov kev tawm tsam ntawm $ 1900 yuav thawb kub mus rau qhov kev tawm tsam tom ntej ntawm $ 1915. Yog tias kub txav siab tshaj qib no, nws yuav mus rau 20 EMA ntawm $ 1925.
Txhawm rau saib txhua yam ntawm cov xwm txheej niaj hnub no, mus saib peb lub Economic calendar.
Qhov no tsab xov xwm yog thawj zaug muab tso rau ntawm FX Empire
Tshaj Tawm Los ntawm FXEMPIRE:
Tau qhov twg los: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/gold-under-pressure-treasury-yields-081232099.html