Lub teb chaws Yelemees txoj kev yuav ntawm F-35s tsa ib nqe lus nug; Lockheed Martin puas tuaj yeem xa lub dav hlau raws sijhawm?

Tom qab ua tiav nws qhov kev yuav khoom ntawm 35 F-35As los hloov nws lub peev xwm nuclear Panavia Tornados hnub Wednesday, Lub teb chaws Yelemees yuav tsum suav nrog qhov muaj peev xwm uas Lockheed yuav tsis tuaj yeem pib xa lawv los ntawm 2027 lub sijhawm kawg ntawm qhov kev pom zoo qhia meej.

Lockheed's F-35 kev muag khoom zoo thoob plaws Tebchaws Europe thiab muaj peev xwm ntawm kev txiav txim ntxiv los ntawm kev ua tsov rog hauv Ukraine tau zoo padded nws phau ntawv xaj. Tab sis qhov teeb meem ntawm thaj chaw muaj kev kub ntxhov nce ntxiv hauv Indo-Pacific qhov twg Russia tab tom kaw caj npab nrog Tuam Tshoj tsa cov lus nug ntawm seb lub tuam txhab puas tuaj yeem ua tau raws li lub teb chaws Yelemees 2027 thawj hnub xa khoom thiab nws lwm cov lus cog tseg txawv teb chaws F-35 yog tias Congress txiav txim siab ua kom nrawm F-35 yuav. rau US Air Force thiab Navy?

Muab qhov xwm txheej hauv ntiaj teb thiab lub xeev ntawm USAF tshwj xeeb, qhov no zoo li ua tau. Qhov kev cuam tshuam 2023 National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) uas tau teem tseg ua ntej Senate lub lim tiam no yuav tso cai yuav 69 F-35s hauv 2023 (38 F-35As, 15 F-35Bs, 16 F-35Cs).

Thaum Lub Kaum Ib Hlis, Pentagon tau tshaj tawm tias nws yog $ 1.4 billion luv ntawm cov nyiaj rau daim ntawv cog lus loj tom ntej los yuav F-35s. Thaum lub tsev version ntawm NDAA tau ua ntau qhov sib txawv no, DoD thiab Lockheed tau kaw rau qhov uas xav tias yuav yog daim ntawv cog lus rau 375 lub dav hlau hauv F-35's 15th txog 17th ntau lawm. Txawm hais tias tus lej ntawd tau ua tiav, nws tsawg dua li 485 lub dav hlau uas Pentagon xav tias yuav tso cai rau xyoo 2019.

Shrinking US kev yuav khoom yuav raug nyeem los qhia txog kev ntxhov siab ntawm Lockheed lub peev xwm tsim khoom, tso nws kom tau raws li lub sijhawm txiav txim thoob ntiaj teb yooj yim dua. Tab sis qhov tsis lees paub hauv US Air Force fighter muaj peev xwm thiab kev pheej hmoo uas nws tab tom tsim raws li cov xwm txheej hauv South Tuam Tshoj Hiav Txwv thiab Pacific feem ntau nthuav tawm tuaj yeem ua rau muaj kev kub ntxhov los ntawm Pentagon hauv ob peb xyoos tom ntej no.

Lub xeev ntawm kev ua si ntawm F-35 ntau lawm yog dab tsi? Lockheed tus kws tshaj lij, Alison Orne Mckibbin, tau rov hais dua qhov kev txwv tsis pub paub tias F-35 xa thiab teem sijhawm sib tham yog ib feem ntawm tsoomfwv-rau-tsoomfwv txheej txheem. Nws tau lees tias Lockheed "yuav ua raws li kev cog lus zaum kawg ntawm tsoomfwv."

Tam sim no, "kev xa khoom yuav tsum nyob hauv 147 txog 153 ntau rau ob peb xyoos tom ntej," Orne McKibbin hais. "Peb yuav ua tiav peb lub hom phiaj xa khoom 156 lub dav hlau hauv 2025 thiab cia siab tias yuav xa txhua xyoo ntawm 156 lub dav hlau tshaj 2025 rau yav tom ntej."

Lub 156-dav hlau qhov pib rau qhov seem ntawm kaum xyoo no qhia tau tias muaj peev xwm ua tau zoo heev yog tias Asmeskas txiav txim siab (lossis raug yuam kom txiav txim siab) nws xav tau ntau lub dav hlau. Xav txog tias lub teb chaws Yelemees, Poland, Switzerland, Finland, Canada thiab Singapore yog tag nrho cov neeg siv khoom tshiab F-35 uas nws cov lus txib tsis tau ua tiav thiab leej twg xav tias yuav xa khoom yuav pib hauv kaum xyoo no.

Nruab nrab ntawm lawv thiab Kaus Lim Qab Teb uas tau cog lus rau 40 lub dav hlau (rau lub dav hlau tau xa tawm tam sim no) cov neeg siv khoom txawv teb chaws no tau xaj 296 lub dav hlau raws li Lockheed. Hnub xa khoom rau cov neeg siv khoom no pib hauv kaum xyoo no pib xyoo 2024.

Cia peb xav tias lawv cov khoom xa tuaj ua rau yim xyoo khiav. Yog tias tag nrho cov dav hlau ntawm kev txiav txim raug xa los ntawm 2032, qhov ntawd yog 37 F-35s ib xyoos kom tau raws li cov ntawv cog lus no. Qhov ntawd tsis suav nrog tam sim no tau teem caij tsim khoom rau Nyiv, Israel, Australia, Norway, Ltalis, Netherlands, Denmark, Belgium thiab United Kingdon. Nyob rau sab saum toj ntawm cov no, Czech koom pheej thiab Spain yog qhov ua tau nyob ze rau cov neeg siv khoom tshiab.

Thaum Lockheed tsis tau hais txog seb qhov kev thov saum toj no ntxiv rau qhov kev tsim tawm txhua xyoo ntawm 65 txog 85 F-35s rau Asmeskas ntxiv rau nws qhov kev cia siab 156 ib xyoos ntau lawm, nws yuav zoo li muaj laj thawj. Nws kuj tseem yuav zoo li hais tias muaj lub hauv paus me me rau kev tsim khoom ntxiv, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog muab kev sib kis cuam tshuam txog kev xa khoom tsis txaus thiab kev nce nqi nyiaj txiag Lockheed tau hais txog qhov tseem ceeb hauv nws cov khoom sib xyaw.

Muaj cov lus ceeb toom suav nrog lub peev xwm ntawm F-35 Lub Rooj Sib Tham Kawg thiab Kev Tshawb Fawb (FACO) cov chaw hauv Cameri, Ltalis thiab Nagoya, Nyij Pooj kom tawm dav hlau. Tab sis lawv cov khoom tsim tawm ntawm cov khoom siv los ntawm Teb Chaws Asmeskas Tseem muaj qhov ua tau tias qee tus neeg yuav khoom txawv teb chaws xws li United Kingdom tuaj yeem txwv lawv qhov kev yuav khoom zaum kawg vim nyiaj txiag.

Tab sis yog tias muaj qhov ua tau tshwm sim, yog li qhov ua tau tias qhov xwm txheej thoob ntiaj teb tuaj yeem muaj qhov cuam tshuam rov qab, txhawb kom lawv yuav ntau dua li lawv cov ntawv cog lus tam sim no hu rau. Lockheed puas tuaj yeem ua tau raws li qhov xav tau los ntawm Asmeskas thiab nws cov neeg siv khoom yog tias hu rau? AeroDynamic Advisory tus thawj coj, Richard Aboulafia, tsis paub meej.

Aboulafia hais tias "Kuv tsis paub meej tias vim li cas lawv tau nyam ntawm qhov kev txwv ntau lawm," Aboulafia hais. “Kuv tsis xav tias nws yog tus qauv. Nws tuaj yeem cuam tshuam qhov tsis txaus siab los nqis peev hauv kev tsim khoom ntau dua thaum tus nqi siab tshaj yuav kav ntev li ob peb xyoos. Lossis nws yuav sawv cev rau kev sib tham sib tham, pab lawv kom rov qab tau tus nqi zog ntawm cov ntawv cog lus tsim khoom. "

Lockheed tsis muaj cov ntaub ntawv tshwj xeeb ntawm nws qhov peev xwm siab tshaj plaws F-35 ntau lawm txawm hais tias nws tau lees paub tias nws txoj haujlwm ntawm cov ntaub ntawv tam sim no ntau dua 3,000 F-35s nyob rau hauv tag nrho suav nrog Asmeskas cov lej ntau lawm uas tej zaum yuav lossis tsis paub.

"Nrog lub teb chaws Yelemees kos npe [Letter of Tso Cai] lub lim tiam no, nws 35 lub dav hlau yuav suav nrog [tag nrho] nyob rau lub Ib Hlis," Orne McKibbin ntxiv.

Txhawm rau ua kom tau raws li nws cov lus cog tseg ntawm NATO nuclear riam phom sib koom, Lub teb chaws Yelemees yuav xav tau nws cov F-35s raws sijhawm. Nws lub sijhawm tau hais los ntawm qhov tseeb tias nws Tornados tsuas yog tawm ntawm kev qaug zog-lub neej thiab yuav tsum tau so haujlwm nyob ze rau xyoo kaum xyoo seb puas yuav hloov F-35 tau npaj lossis tsis tau.

Cov kws tsav dav hlau German tau teem sijhawm los cob qhia nrog thawj tus German-ntau F-35s hauv Asmeskas pib xyoo 2026. Kev cob qhia yuav tsiv mus rau lub tebchaws Yelemes xyoo tom ntej, ua ntej Luftwaffe, tshaj tawm tias muaj peev xwm ua haujlwm tau pib hauv 2028.

Cov Ntaub Ntawv Xov Xwm tshaj tawm tias lub sijhawm no muaj kev txhawj xeeb loj rau lub tebchaws Yelemes vim nws yuav tsum npaj cov chaw tsim nyog ntawm nws lub hauv paus F-35, Büchel, ze Bonn nyob rau sab hnub poob ntawm lub tebchaws. Ntawm lwm yam, F-35s yuav tsum tau tshwj xeeb hangars nrog tsim nyog hluav taws xob hwj chim thiab txias, qhuav huab cua rau tu. Lawv kuj xav tau cov chaw tshwj xeeb uas muaj kev nyab xeeb rau kev npaj lub hom phiaj thiab siv lub luag haujlwm ntawm lub luag haujlwm / kho cov tsev qiv ntawv.

Luftwaffe Chief of Staff Lt Gen. Ingo Gerhartz hnub no hais rau Cov Ntaub Ntawv Xov Xwm tias cov neeg ua haujlwm tau nyob rau hauv tus txheej txheem ntawm kev cog lus rau tus neeg cog lus dav dav nrog kev paub hauv kev tsim F-35-txog kev tsim kho vaj tse. Lub Luftwaffe tab tom tsav tsheb kom nrawm nrawm rau kev tso cai thiab kev tsim kho (uas lwm tus neeg ua haujlwm tau hais tias tuaj yeem siv sijhawm rau rau lossis xya xyoo) kom ua tau raws li qhov xav tau 2027 lub hom phiaj.

Lub German thawb kom npaj nws cov chaw ntxiv kev ceev rau Lockheed lub sijhawm tsim khoom thiab faib. Raws li tsoomfwv hauv Berlin cuam tshuam lub zog thiab cov peev txheej los ua F-35 ua haujlwm hauv lub tebchaws Yelemes los ntawm 2028, nws yuav muaj txiaj ntsig zoo rau txoj kev npaj muaj xwm txheej nyob rau hauv qhov xwm txheej uas Lockheed Martin raug thawb los ntawm lwm qhov kev thov uas nws tuaj yeem xa tsis tau raws sijhawm.

Tau qhov twg los: https://www.forbes.com/sites/erictegler/2022/12/15/germanys-formal-buy-of-f-35s-raises-a-pressing-question-can-lockheed-martin-deliver- the-airplanes-on-time/