cov GBP / CAD tus nqi txuas ntxiv nws qhov kev rov qab los zoo kawg li qhov sib txawv ntawm Bank of Canada thiab England tshwm sim. Nws tau dhia mus rau qhov siab ntawm 1.6512, qhov siab tshaj plaws txij li Lub Ob Hlis 28. Nws tau dhia ntau dua 2.62% los ntawm qib qis tshaj xyoo no.
BoE thiab BoC divergence
cov Bank ntawm Canada xaus nws lub rooj sib tham hnub Wednesday no thiab txiav txim siab tawm nws cov paj laum tsis hloov pauv. Los ntawm kev ua li ntawd, nws tau los ua thawj lub tuam txhab loj hauv nruab nrab kom tsis txhob siv cov paj laum. Hauv nws cov lus, BoC tau hais tias qhov kev ncua yog tsim nyog kom tsis txhob muaj kev nruj nruj, uas yuav cuam tshuam rau kev lag luam.
BoE, ntawm qhov tod tes, cia siab tias yuav txuas ntxiv nce cov paj paj hauv lub rooj sib tham tom ntej. Thaum lub tsev txhab nyiaj kuj tau hloov dovish, muaj cov cim qhia tias nws muaj tsawg kawg yog ob qho kev nce ntxiv mus. Cov kws tshuaj ntsuam ntseeg tias nws yuav nce tus nqi nce los ntawm 0.25% lossis 0.50%. Yog tias nws nce los ntawm 0.50%, UK cov paj laum yuav zoo li Canada, uas sawv ntawm 4.50%.
Yuav muaj ntau yam catalysts rau tus nqi GBP / CAD. Hnub Friday, UK yuav tshaj tawm qhov kwv yees kawg ntawm Q4 GDP tus lej. Economists ntseeg tias UK kev lag luam loj hlob tsuas yog 0.1% nyob rau lub Ib Hlis xyoo no. Kev tsim khoom thiab kev tsim khoom lag luam yuav tsum tau poob qis me ntsis thaum lub hli.
Cov lej no yuav tuaj ua ntej ntawm lub lim tiam tsis khoom uas yuav pom UK tshaj tawm cov haujlwm tseem ceeb, kev nce nqi, thiab tus lej muag khoom muag.
Tus nqi GBP rau CAD kuj tseem yuav ua rau cov lej ua haujlwm Canada yav tom ntej tau teem rau hnub Friday. Kev cia siab yog tias qhov nyiaj poob haujlwm tseem tsis hloov pauv ntawm 5.1% raws li kev lag luam ntxiv tsuas yog 10k tus neeg.
GBP / CAD kev kwv yees
GBP / CAD daim ntawv qhia los ntawm TradingView
Daim ntawv qhia 4H qhia tau hais tias tus nqi GBPCAD tau rov qab los zoo kawg. Precisely, nws tau nce nyob rau yav dhau los kaum ib ncaj plaub-teev lub sij hawm. Raws li nws tau sawv, khub tau tswj kom txav mus los saum toj ntawm qhov tseem ceeb tsis kam ntawm 1.6420, qib siab tshaj plaws nyob rau lub Peb Hlis 7. Nws tau dhia saum toj no txhua qhov kev txav mus los thiab qhov nce mus txog trendline qhia hauv ntsuab.
Tus txheeb ze zog Index (RSI), MACD, thiab Stochastic Oscillators tau txais me ntsis overbought. Yog li ntawd, peb tsis tuaj yeem txiav txim siab txog qhov xwm txheej uas muaj kev thim rov qab vim cov neeg muag khoom tsom rau qhov tseem ceeb tiv thaiv ntawm 1.6420. Qhov kev thim rov qab no yuav tshwm sim tom qab cov ntaub ntawv tseem ceeb ntawm UK GDP thiab Canada txoj haujlwm.
Tau qhov twg los: https://invezz.com/news/2023/03/10/gbp-cad-gets-overbought-as-boc-and-boe-divergence-widens/