Tau txais kev nce nqi raws li kev tswj hwm yuav xav tau nce cov paj laum sai dua li qhov qub txawm tias qhov kev nce nqi ntawm tus nqi yuav nce siab, Tsoom Fwv Tebchaws Reserve Tus Thawj Kav Tebchaws Christopher Waller tau hais rau hnub Wednesday.
Qhov ntawd txhais tau hais tias lub tuam txhab nyiaj hauv nruab nrab yuav nce nqi luv luv los ntawm ib nrab ntawm feem pua ntawm cov ntsiab lus, lossis 50 lub hauv paus ntsiab lus, ntawm nws lub rooj sib tham nyob rau lub Tsib Hlis, thiab tej zaum yuav ua raws li nws cov kev hloov pauv zoo sib xws hauv ob peb lub hlis tom ntej, Waller hais rau CNBC. Fed ib txwm nce hauv 25-pab-point increments.
"Kuv xav tias cov ntaub ntawv tau tuaj raws nraim los txhawb cov kauj ruam ntawm txoj cai yog tias pawg neeg xaiv ua li ntawd, thiab muab lub hauv paus rau peb ua," nws hais thaum lub sijhawm ua neej nyob "Kaw Tswb"Kev xam phaj nrog CNBC's Sara Eisen. "Kuv nyiam txoj kev thauj khoom pem hauv ntej, yog li 50-qhov taw qhia-txoj kev taug kev hauv lub Tsib Hlis yuav zoo ib yam li ntawd, thiab tej zaum yuav ntau dua hauv Lub Rau Hli thiab Lub Xya Hli."
Kev lag luam twb yuav luag tag nrho cov nqi nce qib ntawm lub hlis tom ntej Lub Rooj Sib Tham Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Qhib Kev Lag Luam, nrog rau cov kev sib tham hauv qab no hauv Lub Rau Hli, raws li Cov ntaub ntawv CME Group uas taug kev txav mus rau hauv lub khw muag khoom noj nyiaj txiag yav tom ntej. Tus nqi rau Lub Xya Hli kuj yog tilting li ntawd, nrog rau 56.5% qhov tshwm sim ntawm lwm qhov 50-piv-taw tes nce mus.
Qhov ntawd txhais tau hais tias yog tias Fed xaiv txav mus rau qhov hnyav, nws yuav tsis tuaj yeem xav tsis thoob.
Waller tau hais tias nws xav tias lub tuam txhab nyiaj hauv nruab nrab tuaj yeem rub tawm txoj cai nruj dua tam sim no vim tias kev lag luam muaj zog txaus los txhawb cov nqi siab dua. Fed tab tom nrhiav kom nce tus nqi txhawm rau tiv thaiv Kev nce nyiaj txiag khiav ntawm nws qhov siab tshaj plaws hauv ntau dua 40 xyoo.
"Kuv xav tias peb yuav daws nrog kev nce nqi. Peb tau npaj peb cov phiaj xwm, "nws hais. "Peb nyob hauv txoj haujlwm uas kev lag luam muaj zog, yog li lub sijhawm no yog lub sijhawm zoo los ua kev ua phem vim tias kev lag luam tuaj yeem coj nws."
Muaj qee qhov kev tsis pom zoo txog qhov ua phem rau FOMC cov tswv cuab xav kom muaj kev sib ntaus sib tua nyiaj txiag.
Lub Peb Hlis, cov nyiam ib lub quarter-feem pua-taw tes hike tuav tsuas yog ib feem me me ntawm cov neeg uas xav ua ob npaug. Cov tub ceev xwm los ntawm lawv cov lus tshaj tawm rau pej xeem tau muab cov kev xav sib txawv txog qhov Fed yuav tsum mus deb npaum li cas, nrog Waller ib feem ntawm ib pab pawg uas xav kom cov nqi mus dhau los "nruab nrab," lossis lub ntsiab lus uas lawv suav tias tsis txwv lossis txhawb nqa. Cov nyiaj nruab nrab tam sim no suav tias yog nyob ib puag ncig 2.5%.
Nyob rau sab nraud ntawm kev sib cav, cov neeg tsim cai suav nrog Fed Governor Lael Lub Hlwb thiab Chicago Fed Thawj Tswj Hwm Charles Evans tau hais nyob rau hauv cov hnub tsis ntev los no tias lawv xav kom tau txais tus nqi mus rau nruab nrab thiab tom qab ntawd muab cov khoom lag luam ntawm cov kev nqis tes ua yav tom ntej yuav xav tau.
Waller tau hais tias "Kuv xav tias peb xav kom siab tshaj qhov nruab nrab ntawm ib nrab xyoo tom ntej, thiab peb yuav tsum tau los ze zog rau nruab nrab kom sai li sai tau," Waller tau hais.
St. Louis Fed Thawj Tswj Hwm James Bullard hais rau Lub Sijhawm Nyiaj Txiag hais tias nws yog "kev xav" xav tias cov nqi tuaj yeem mus rau qhov nruab nrab thiab tseem ua rau kev nce nqi nce ntxiv.
Rau nws feem, Waller tau hais tias nws ntseeg siab tias kev nce nqi yuav pib nqis los, txawm tias Fed lub hwj chim raug txwv los tswj cov khoom lag luam lag luam cuam tshuam nrog tam sim no ntawm cov nqi siab dua.
Waller tau hais tias "Txhua yam peb tuaj yeem ua tau yog hom kev thawb qis rau cov khoom lag luam no thiab tshem tawm qee qhov kev ntxhov siab ntawm tus nqi uas tib neeg yuav tsum them rau cov khoom no," Waller tau hais. "Peb tsis tuaj yeem tsim cov nplej ntau dua, peb tsis tuaj yeem tsim cov khoom siv hluav taws xob ntau dua, tab sis peb tuaj yeem cuam tshuam qhov kev thov rau cov khoom no hauv txoj hauv kev uas ua rau txo qis thiab txo qis qis ntawm kev nce nqi."
Ua ntej hnub ntawd, Tus Tuav Nyiaj Txiag Secretary Janet Yellen, ib tug qub Fed lub rooj zaum, hais tias "nws yog lawv txoj hauj lwm los txo qis nyiaj txiag."
“Lawv muaj ob txoj cai. Lawv yuav sim ua kom muaj kev lag luam muaj zog thaum ua kom nce nyiaj nce ntxiv, "Yellen tau hais thaum lub sijhawm tshwm sim ua ntej Atlantic Council. “Thiab nws tau ua tiav yav dhau los. Nws tsis yog kev sib xyaw ua ke, tab sis nws yuav xav tau kev txawj ntse thiab muaj hmoo. "
Tau qhov twg los: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/04/13/feds-waller-sees-likelihood-of-multiple-half-point-interest-rate-hikes-ahead.html