Philadelphia Fed Thawj Tswj Hwm Patrick Harker tau hais rau hnub Thursday nws pom tias peb lossis plaub tus paj laum nce siab xyoo no raws li qhov yuav tawm tsam kev nce nqi.
Nws txoj kev xav, tau piav qhia nyob rau hauv kev xam phaj nyob rau ntawm CNBC's "Klosing Tswb," yog ua raws li kev kwv yees ntawm Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Qhib Kev Lag Luam Pawg Thawj Coj tau tshaj tawm rau lub Kaum Ob Hlis.
Tab sis thaum cov tub ceev xwm tau xaum rau qhov yuav muaj peb lub quarter-feem pua ntawm cov ntsiab lus nce hauv 2022 ntawm Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve tus qauv qiv nyiaj ib hmos, Harker tau hais tias nws yuav qhib rau ntau dua.
“Peb yuav tsum tau nqis tes rau kev nce nqi. Nws mob siab tshaj qhov peb xav ib pliag dhau los. Kuv tau tawm ntawm pab pawg 'kev hloov pauv' ib ntus tam sim no, "nws hais, hais txog lub sijhawm Fed cov neeg ua haujlwm tau siv los ua tus cwj pwm nyiaj txiag los ntawm feem ntau ntawm 2021 ua ntej piv rau xyoo kawg.
Harker tau hais tias "Kuv xav tias nws tsim nyog los nqis tes ua xyoo no," Harker hais. "Peb [hikes] yog qhov kuv tau xaum rau hauv, tab sis plaub tsis tawm ntawm cov lus nug hauv kuv lub siab."
Harker cov lus tuaj raws li Lub Tsev Haujlwm Saib Xyuas Kev Ua Haujlwm tau qhia pom tias kev nce nyiaj nce ntxiv los ntawm Asmeskas kev lag luam. Cov neeg siv khoom tus nqi nce siab yog 7%, nws qhov siab tshaj plaws xyoo dhau ib xyoo txij li lub Rau Hli 1982, thaum cov nqi muag khoom hauv xyoo 2021 tau nce 9.7%, qhov loj tshaj plaws txav hauv cov ntaub ntawv rov qab mus rau 2010.
Tom qab lub Kaum Ob Hlis lub rooj sib tham, Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Qhib Kev Ua Lag Luam Pawg tau teeb tsa lub sijhawm uas tseem yuav sau cov ntawv cog lus txhua hli los ntawm lub Peb Hlis. Cov feeb tso tawm tom qab tau pom tias qee cov tswv cuab kuj xav tias Fed yuav tsum pib txo qhov loj ntawm nws daim ntawv tshuav nyiaj li cas, zoo li tso cai rau qee qhov ntawm nws cov nyiaj tau los dov tawm txhua lub hlis.
Tab sis Harker nyiam txoj hauv kev qeeb qeeb ntawm cov lus nug ntawm daim ntawv tshuav nyiaj li cas. Nws xav tias Fed yuav tsum tau tos kom txog thaum nws nce tus nqi "rau qhov kev sib cav 100 lub hauv paus ntsiab lus," lossis plaub mus ncig, ua ntej pib txo qis qhov uas tau dhau los ua ntau dua $ 8.8 trillion daim ntawv tshuav nyiaj li cas los ntawm kev yuav khoom vaj khoom tsev thaum muaj kev sib kis. Lub hauv paus ntsiab lus yog ib-pua pua ntawm ib feem pua.
“Kuv tsis xav ua qhov ntawd ib zaug. Kuv xav tias tsuas yog txoj kev mus tsis ncaj ncees lawm, ”nws hais. "Cia peb ua lawv hauv theem."
Mus qeeb, nws hais tias, yuav txhawb kev lag luam los ntawm kev poob siab uas yuav tshwm sim los ntawm Fed thim rov qab los ntawm txoj cai nyiaj txiag yooj yim tshaj plaws hauv nws keeb kwm. Nws hais tias Fed tuaj yeem zam tsis txhob tua cov kev rov zoo yog tias nws txav mus "ua tib zoo thiab txheej txheem. Qhov no yog vim li cas kuv tsis nyob hauv lub yeej rog ntawm kev nce nqi thiab ua daim ntawv tshuav nyiaj li cas tib lub sijhawm, "nws hais.
Nyuam qhuav pib hnub no, Chicago Fed Thawj Tswj Hwm Charles Evans kuj tau hais tias nws pom peb tus nqi nce raws li feem ntau, txawm tias nws, ib yam nkaus, qhib rau ntau dua.
"[Peb qhov nce ntxiv] tej zaum yuav yog qhov kev sib tw qhib zoo xyoo no nyob ntawm seb cov ntaub ntawv nthuav tawm li cas," Evans tau hais rau cov neeg sau xov xwm. "Nws tuaj yeem yog plaub yog tias cov ntaub ntawv tsis txhim kho sai txaus ntawm kev nce nqi."
Tsis yog Evans lossis Harker tsis yog cov neeg pov npav rau xyoo no ntawm FOMC, txawm hais tias lawv tau tshaj tawm lawv cov kev xav ntawm cov rooj sib tham txoj cai thiab lawv cov kev xav yog ib feem ntawm pawg neeg "dot plot" ntawm cov tswv cuab cov paj laum.
Source: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/01/13/feds-harker-calls-for-action-on-inflation-sees-3-or-4-rate-hikes-this-year.html