Fed's Bullard hais tias kev nce nqi 'tuaj yeem tawm ntawm kev tswj hwm' yog li xav tau tam sim no

NEW YORK - St. Louis Federal Reserve Thawj Tswj Hwm James Bullard tau ceeb toom rau hnub Thursday tias tsis muaj kev nqis peev hauv tuam txhab nyiaj rau cov paj laum, kev nce nqi tuaj yeem dhau los ua teeb meem loj dua.

"Peb tab tom muaj kev pheej hmoo ntau dua li peb tau nyob hauv ib tiam neeg uas qhov no tuaj yeem tawm ntawm kev tswj hwm," nws hais thaum lub rooj sib tham ntawm Columbia University. "Ib qho xwm txheej yuav yog tam sim no koj tau txais qhov xav tsis thoob tshiab uas cuam tshuam rau peb uas peb tsis tuaj yeem xav txog tam sim no, tab sis peb yuav muaj kev nce nqi ntau dua. Qhov ntawd yog qhov xwm txheej uas peb xav tau ... xyuas kom nws tsis tshwm sim. "

Bullard tau tshaj tawm xov xwm tsis ntev los no nrog nws hu rau Fed ua phem heev. Nws tau tawm tswv yim rau tag nrho cov feem pua ​​​​ntawm cov nqi nce los ntawm Lub Xya Hli hauv kev mob siab rau tus nqi nce siab uas tau khiav ntawm qhov nrawm tshaj plaws hauv 40 xyoo.

Hauv nws cov lus hais rau hnub Thursday, nws rov hais dua nws qhov kev lees paub tias Fed yuav tsum "ua ntej-load" tus nqi nce raws li txoj hauv kev kom tau txais txiaj ntsig ua ntej ntawm kev nce nqi ntawm 7.5% nyob rau xyoo dhau los.

Fed cov tub ceev xwm tau tawm tsam txoj cai nruj, hais rau ntau xyoo tas los hais tias qhov kev khiav haujlwm tam sim no tau raug cuam tshuam rau cov xwm txheej tshwj xeeb, xws li cov saw hlau txuas thiab cov kev xav tau ntau dua rau cov khoom siv ntau dua, thiab yuav ploj mus dhau sijhawm.

"Zuag qhia tag nrho, kuv xav hais tias muaj ntau qhov tseem ceeb thiab kev xav ntau dhau rau kev mob siab rau lub tswv yim tias kev nce nqi yuav ploj mus rau qee lub sijhawm yav tom ntej," Bullard tau hais. "Peb muaj kev pheej hmoo tias kev nce nyiaj yuav tsis ploj mus, thiab 2022 yuav yog xyoo thib ob ntawm kev nce nqi siab heev. Yog li ntawd yog vim li cas muab qhov xwm txheej no, Fed yuav tsum txav nrawm dua thiab hnyav dua li peb xav tau hauv lwm qhov xwm txheej. "

Fed tau qhia tias nws zoo li yuav pib nce tus nqi paj hauv lub Peb Hlis, uas yuav yog thawj zaug nce hauv ntau dua peb xyoos. Tom qab ntawd, kev lag luam tab tom nrhiav ib qho ntxiv tsib lossis rau qhov nce ntxiv hauv 25-pab-point increments. Lub hauv paus ntsiab lus yog 0.01 feem pua.

Bullard tau hais tias qhov kev hloov pauv tshiab ntawm txoj cai yuav tsum tsis txhob raug suav tias yog kev sim txwv kev lag luam thiab kev lag luam.

“Nws tsis yog txoj cai nruj. Tsis txhob cia leej twg qhia koj tias nws yog txoj cai nruj, "nws hais. "Nws yog kev tshem tawm cov chaw nyob uas yuav qhia tau tias peb ua peb lub luag haujlwm tiag."

Kev ua lag luam tus nqi rau kev nce nqi tau nce siab nyob rau hnub dhau los lossis ob hnub, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog tom qab tshaj tawm hnub Wednesday ntawm Lub Ib Hlis lub rooj sib tham cov lus qhia pom tias Fed cov tub ceev xwm tab tom nrhiav kev ntsuas ntsuas rau kev tshem tawm txoj cai pab.

Cov tub luam tam sim no tau taw qhia txog 25-piv-taw qhia kev nce qib hauv lub Peb Hlis, tom qab yav dhau los saib mus rau 50-piv txwv-qhov taw tes, raws li CME cov ntaub ntawv. Qhov tshwm sim rau xya qhov kev taug kev poob rau hnub Thursday mus rau 43% tom qab nce mus txog 70% ua ntej lub lim tiam.