Fed xav tau 'yooj yim' txo qis nyiaj txiag ua ntej txo cov paj laum-Thiab qee tus thawj coj tau txhawb nqa kev nce siab ntxiv

Tojsiab

Nrog kev nce nqi nce siab dua li qhov xav tau, Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve tau qhia tias tsis muaj kev cuam tshuam ntawm kev thim rov qab rau nws txoj cai tswjfwm kev lag luam, raws li cov ntawv sau los ntawm Fed's txoj cai-tsim pawg neeg tshaj tawm hnub Wednesday, ib qho tsis zoo siab kos npe rau cov tub ua lag luam clinging rau kev cia siab ntawm qhov tsis txaus ntseeg. central bank.

Cov Lus Tseem Ceeb

Qee tus neeg ua haujlwm Fed tau txhawb nqa qhov nce ib nrab ntawm tus nqi nce mus rau tsoomfwv cov nyiaj tau los ua ntej lub hli no, raws li feeb los ntawm Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Qhib Kev Lag Luam Pawg Neeg Ua Haujlwm Lub Ib Hlis 31-Lub Ob Hlis 1 lub rooj sib tham, uas lub rooj sib tham pom zoo mus rau lub quarter-point tus nqi nce mus rau tsoomfwv cov nyiaj tau los.

Fed xav pom, "cov pov thawj ntau ntxiv ntawm kev nce qib thoob plaws ntau yam ntawm cov nqi ... kom ntseeg tau tias kev nce nqi tau nyob rau hauv txoj kev poob qis" thiab cia nws txhais ko taw tawm ntawm cov roj ntawm cov paj laum, cov feeb nyeem.

Kev lag luam kev ua haujlwm tseem "nruj heev," raws li Fed, uas sib cav txog cov nyiaj ua haujlwm siab ua rau cov neeg siv khoom nce nqi vim cov tuam txhab cuam tshuam rau cov nqi nkag siab dua.

Puas tau nkag siab rau txhua yam ntaub ntawv los ntawm Fed ntawm cov paj laum, cov khoom lag luam poob qis tom qab tso tawm cov feeb, nrog Dow Jones Industrial Nruab Nrab poob qis 0.6%, lossis 2000 cov ntsiab lus.

Cov khoom lag luam tau nce ua ntej hnub Wednesday tom qab James Bullard, tus thawj tswj hwm ntawm Fed's St. Louis ceg, hais rau CNBC nws xav tias tsoomfwv cov nyiaj tau los nce siab ntawm 5.4%, nyob rau hauv kab nrog kev pom zoo kwv yees, tseem ceeb xaiv Bullard yog nyob rau ntawm Fed cov tub ceev xwm xav paub ntau ntxiv txog kev ua phem rau tus nqi nce.

"Bullard yog ib tug ntawm cov hawkish ntau [Fed cov neeg ua haujlwm], yog li yog tias nws xav tias peb tsuas muaj me ntsis txoj hauv kev mus ntawm no, qhov siab tshaj plaws ntawm cov nqi yuav raug nqi zoo" rau hauv cov nqi Tshuag, Oanda tus kws tshuaj ntsuam Ed Moya tau piav qhia hauv daim ntawv Wednesday.

Tus Keeb Kwm Tseem Ceeb

Lub 25-qhov taw qhia-taw qhia kev taug kev ua ntej lub hli no ua raws li ib nrab-taw tes nce rau lub Kaum Ob Hlis, nws tus kheej ua ntej los ntawm plaub qhov sib law liag 75-piv txwv-txoj kev taug kev, txhua tus neeg loj tshaj plaws dhia hauv ze li peb xyoo caum. Qhov kev poob qis tuaj raws li cov ntaub ntawv qhia tias kev nce nqi yog qhov tseeb txo qis, txawm tias tus nqi txias qeeb dua li lub hli tas los. Kev nyeem ntawv nyiaj txiag tshiab kawg tshwm sim los Bank of America thiab Goldman Sachs nce lawv qhov kev kwv yees rau Fed kom nce tus nqi los ntawm 25 lub hauv paus ntsiab lus ntawm nws peb lub rooj sib tham tom ntej mus rau qhov siab tshaj ntawm 5.25% txog 5.5%, nrog Bullard qhov kev kwv yees nyob nruab nrab ntawm qhov ntau.

Kev Nkag Siab Hais

"Peb muaj kev txhaj tshuaj zoo ntawm kev ntaus nqi nyiaj txiag xyoo 2023," Bullard hais rau CNBC Wednesday. Qhov dav hais txog "core" feem ntawm cov neeg siv khoom ntsuas tus nqi yog 5.5% lub hli tas los, cia los ntawm nws 40-xyoo siab tshaj plaws ntawm 6.6% nyob rau lub Cuaj Hli tab sis tseem nyob deb dua li 2% txhua xyoo nce ntxiv los ntawm Fed.

Txaus Ntshai Qhov Tseeb

Cov Dow raug kev txom nyem Nws qhov kev poob qis tshaj plaws txhua hnub ntawm 2023 rau hnub Tuesday, poob ze li ntawm 700 cov ntsiab lus, vim tias cov tub ua lag luam tau hnov ​​​​mob rau ob daim ntawv tshaj tawm cov nyiaj tau los loj dua los ntawm qhov kev xav tsis zoo thaum cov tuam txhab cuam tshuam nrog cov nqi qiv nyiaj siab uas cuam tshuam cov kab hauv qab.

ntxiv nyeem ntawv

Fed yuav nce tus nqi siab npaum li cas? Goldman, BoA Hike Projections Tom qab Cov Ntaub Ntawv Kub Kub (Forbes)

'FOMO' Rally Tshaj: Dow Falls 700 Cov Ntsiab Lus - Qhov Loj Tshaj Plaws Ntawm 2023 (Forbes)

'Kev Puas Tsuaj Ua tiav': Kev Lag Luam Lag Luam Zoo Li Teeb Meem Rau Lwm Plunge Raws Li Kev Ceeb Toom Txog Kev Lag Luam Tshaj Tawm, JPMorgan Kev Ceeb Toom (Forbes)

Tau qhov twg los: https://www.forbes.com/sites/dereksaul/2023/02/22/fed-wants-substantially-lower-inflation-before-easing-interest-rates-and-some-officials-backed-more- aggressive-hikes /