Fed Signals Rate Hikes yuav qeeb 'Sai sai' Raws li kev pheej hmoo nyiaj txiag tsis ruaj khov nce

Tojsiab

Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve tau hais rau hnub Wednesday nws yuav yooj yim dua rau nws txoj cai nruj heev vim tias cov paj laum ntau dua pib ua rau kev lag luam qeeb - qhia txog qhov phem tshaj plaws ntawm lub tuam txhab nyiaj hauv nruab nrab tus nqi nce siab tuaj yeem dhau mus txawm tias cov kws tshaj lij sib cav txog tias lawv tau ua tiav li cas hauv kev tswj hwm qhov phem tshaj plaws. hauv cov nqi txij li xyoo 1980s.

Cov Lus Tseem Ceeb

Nyob rau hauv cov ncauj lus kom ntxaws txog nws thaum ntxov Kaum Ib Hlis lub rooj sib tham, Fed tau tshaj tawm "feem ntau" ntawm cov neeg ua haujlwm ntseeg Kev qeeb qeeb ntawm kev nce qib ntawm tus nqi yuav "yooj yim yuav tsim nyog," teeb tsa theem rau qhov dav qhov kev xav tau ib nrab-point nce lub hli tom ntej.

Txawm hais tias ntau tus neeg ua haujlwm tau hais tias cov paj laum yuav xav tau nce ntau dua li qhov xav tau yav dhau los, lawv kuj tau lees paub qhov kev kwv yees rau kev loj hlob ntawm kev lag luam tau tsis muaj zog nyob rau ob lub hlis dhau los thiab tias kev txo qis ntawm kev nce siab tuaj yeem txo qhov kev pheej hmoo nyiaj txiag tsis ruaj khov.

Cov ntawv tshaj tawm tuaj raws li cov ntaub ntawv ntau ntxiv qhia tias kev lag luam tau poob rau hauv kev poob qis, nrog S&P Global hnub Wednesday ceeb toom Lub Kaum Ib Hlis tau pom "kev sib cog lus ruaj khov hauv kev ua lag luam" thoob plaws lub tebchaws ntiag tug - qhov kev poob qis tshaj plaws thib ob txij li hnub muaj kis thoob qhov txhia chaw.

Raws li S&P, ntau lub tuam txhab tau liam tias "kev poob qis dua" hauv kev lag luam ntawm qhov cuam tshuam ntawm kev nce nqi thiab cov paj laum ntau dua, uas tau ua rau "tsis txaus siab" ntawm cov neeg siv khoom.

Fed cov tub ceev xwm tau lees paub lawv qhov kev nruj yuav ua rau muaj kev cuam tshuam nyiaj txiag: Hnub Wednesday, Kansas City Fed Thawj Tswj Hwm Esther George hais rau lub Phab ntsa Street Journal uas keeb kwm tau qhia txog kev nrawm nrawm tam sim no yuav muaj "qhov tshwm sim mob" thiab tias kev zam kev lag luam yuav tsis ua tau.

Cov khoom lag luam tau zuam tom qab daim ntawv tshaj tawm, nrog cov thev-hnyav Nasdaq nce 1%, thaum S&P 500 thiab Dow Jones Industrial Nruab Nrab tau dhia txog 0.5% thiab 0.3%, feem.

Dab Tsi Los Saib

Fed tsab ntawv tshaj tawm cov paj laum tom ntej yog teem rau lub Kaum Ob Hlis 14. Goldman kwv yees ib nrab-taw tes nce mus rau lub hlis tom ntej, ua raws li peb lub hlis twg-taw tes mus rau xyoo tom ntej. Qhov ntawd yuav thawb tus nqi qiv nyiaj sab saum toj mus rau 5.25% - qhov siab tshaj plaws txij li xyoo 2007.

Tus Keeb Kwm Tseem Ceeb

Cov ntaub ntawv nyiaj txiag tshiab tshaj plaws tau qhia tias cov neeg siv khoom lag luam tau nce qis dua li cov kws lag luam tau kwv yees thaum Lub Kaum Hli - ua rau muaj kev cia siab rau kev lag luam hauv khw muag khoom raws li Fed cov tub ceev xwm ntsuas thaum twg los tsoo lub brakes ntawm lawv cov phiaj xwm nruj nruj. Txawm li cas los xij, txawm hais tias qhov kev zam rau ib hlis, ntau tus kws tshawb fawb nyiaj txiag tau ceeb toom tawm tsam qhov kev cia siab dhau los tias kev nce nqi tau txo qis. "Yog tias qhov no suav nrog kev txhim kho, peb tau teeb tsa qhov qis qis," hais tias Bankrate tus kws tshuaj ntsuam nyiaj txiag Greg McBride, ntxiv "kev nthuav dav" ntawm kev nce nqi "tseem muaj teeb meem," tshwj xeeb hauv vaj tse, zaub mov thiab nqi zog. S&P tau nce 10% los ntawm lub Kaum Hlis qis tab sis tseem nqis ze li 16% xyoo no.

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Tau qhov twg los: https://www.forbes.com/sites/jonathanponciano/2022/11/23/fed-signals-rate-hikes-will-slow-soon-as-financial-instability-risks-rise/