Fed Tus Thawj Kav Tebchaws Waller txhawb nqa cov paj laum lub hlis twg ntawm lub rooj sib tham tom ntej

Christopher Waller, Asmeskas Thawj Tswj Hwm Donald Trump tus neeg xaiv tsa rau tus tswv xeev ntawm Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve, mloog thaum lub rooj sib tham Senate Banking Committee pom zoo hauv Washington, DC, hnub Thursday, Lub Ob Hlis 13, 2020.

Andrew Harrer | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve Tus Thawj Kav Tebchaws Christopher Waller tau hais rau hnub Friday tias nws pom zoo rau peb lub hlis twg feem pua ​​​​ntawm cov paj laum nce ntawm lub rooj sib tham tom ntej, vim nws tos kom muaj pov thawj ntxiv tias kev nce nyiaj nce mus rau qhov raug.

Kev pom zoo kev lag luam kev cia siab, tus thawj coj hauv tuam txhab nyiaj hauv nruab nrab tau hais thaum lub rooj sib tham ntawm Pawg Neeg Saib Xyuas Kev Sib Tham Txawv Tebchaws hauv New York tias Fed tuaj yeem hu rau qhov loj ntawm nws cov nqi nce.

ntsig txog kev nqis peev xov xwm

These are the key levels UBS's Art Cashin will be watching as the January rally unravels

CNBC Pro Cov

Tab sis nws kuj tau hais tias nws tsis yog lub sijhawm los tshaj tawm txoj kev yeej ntawm kev nce nqi, piv rau txoj cai tswj hwm nyiaj txiag rau lub dav hlau uas tau nce siab dua sai sai thiab tam sim no tau npaj txhij rau kev nce qib zuj zus.

"Thiab ua raws li cov laj thawj no thiab raws li cov ntaub ntawv hauv tes ntawm lub sijhawm no, zoo li muaj kev ntxhov siab me ntsis tom ntej, yog li tam sim no kuv pom zoo kom nce 25-txoj kev taw qhia ntawm FOMC lub rooj sib tham tom ntej thaum kawg ntawm lub hlis no," Waller hais nyob rau hauv cov lus npaj. "Ntxiv rau qhov ntawd, peb tseem muaj txoj hauv kev los mus rau peb lub hom phiaj nyiaj txiag 2 feem pua, thiab kuv cia siab tias yuav txhawb nqa txoj cai nruj ntxiv ntawm cov nyiaj txiag."

Nws tsis tau qhia meej tias nws pom tus nqi siab npaum li cas, thiab tau teem sijhawm los koom nrog kev sib tham nug-thiab-lus teb tom qab 1 teev ET hais lus.

Lwm cov tub ceev xwm, xws li Philadelphia Fed Thawj Tswj Hwm Patrick Harker, tau taw qhia txog qhov nce ntawm 0.25 feem pua ​​​​ntawm Lub Ib Hlis 31-Lub Ob Hlis. 1 FOMC lub rooj sib tham, tab sis Waller yog tus tswv cuab siab tshaj plaws los ua qhov tseeb.

Thaum lub lag luam thiab Fed zoo li nyob rau tib nplooj ntawv nrog qhov twg cov nqi mus rau lub sij hawm luv luv, muaj kev sib txawv ntxiv.

Central bankers feem ntau tau hais tias lawv pom cov nqi tuav ntawm qhov siab mus txog rau thaum xaus ntawm lub xyoo, thaum kev lag luam pom qhov siab tshaj plaws nyob rau lub caij ntuj sov ces txo qis tom qab ntawd.

Waller tau hais tias qhov sib txawv feem ntau yog hais txog kev nkag siab rau qhov twg kev nce nyiaj yuav mus.

"Kev ua lag luam muaj kev cia siab zoo heev tias kev nce nqi tsuas yog yuav ploj mus. Qhov kev tsis sib haum xeeb yuav tshwm sim, "nws hais rau CNBC's Steve Liesman thaum lub sijhawm nug-thiab-lus teb tom qab hais lus. “Peb muaj kev pom txawv. Inflation tsis yog yuav mus ua txuj ci tseem ceeb ploj mus. Nws yuav ua rau qeeb qeeb, nyuaj slog kom tau nyiaj nce nqi thiab yog li peb yuav tsum khaws cov nqi siab dua kom ntev dua thiab tsis pib txiav cov nqi thaum kawg ntawm lub xyoo. "

Waller feem ntau tau txais kev txhawb siab ntawm kev lag luam, ceeb toom tias kev ua haujlwm tau qeeb hauv qee qhov chaw tseem ceeb xws li kev tsim khoom, kev loj hlob nyiaj txiag thiab kev siv nyiaj ntawm cov neeg siv khoom. Nws tau hais tias Fed lub hom phiaj tsis yog "tshem tawm kev lag luam," tab sis yog kom coj nws rov qab los rau hauv kev sib npaug yog li kev nce nqi tuaj yeem pib poob.

Nyob rau hauv lub hlis tsis ntev los no, kev nce nqi ntsuas xws li cov neeg siv khoom ntsuas tus nqi thiab Fed qhov nyiam qhov tseem ceeb ntawm tus kheej siv tus nqi ntsuas tau tawm ntawm lawv qhov siab kawg ntawm lub caij ntuj sov dhau los. Tab sis nws tau sau tseg tias thaum lub ntsiab lus CPI poob qis 0.1%, qhov ntsuas tsis suav nrog zaub mov thiab lub zog tseem nce 0.3% thiab "tseem nyob ze rau qhov chaw uas nws tau dhau los ib xyoos dhau los."

"Yog li, thaum nws tuaj yeem siv sijhawm ib hlis lossis peb lub hlis ntawm cov ntaub ntawv thiab pleev xim rau daim duab rosy, kuv ceeb toom tsis txhob ua li ntawd," nws hais. "Qhov kev sib tw luv dua, qhov loj dua cov nplej ntsev thaum nqos ib zaj dab neeg txog yav tom ntej."

Tab sis Waller tau hais tias nws tseem pom "qhov chaw mos" raws li qhov ua tau rau kev lag luam, qhov xwm txheej uas yuav pom "kev nce qib ntawm kev nce nqi yam tsis muaj kev puas tsuaj loj rau kev ua lag luam."

Nws tau hais tias "Tam sim no, peb tau tswj hwm kom ua li ntawd, thiab kuv tseem muaj kev cia siab tias qhov kev vam meej tuaj yeem txuas ntxiv mus," nws hais.

Tau qhov twg los: https://www.cnbc.com/2023/01/20/fed-governor-waller-backs-quarter-point-interest-rate-hike-at-next-meeting.html