Poob Computer Chip Nqe Qhia Cycles Hauv Kev Lag Luam-Intensive lag luam

Khoos phib tawj chip cov nqi poob qis. Tab sis tos-tsis yog peb nyob rau hauv ib qho kev poob qis uas yuav tsum ua kom tus nqi nce siab? Nws hloov tawm hais tias cov nqi nti qhia txog cov lus qhia tseem ceeb ntawm kev lag luam: Cov nqi hauv kev lag luam uas siv peev nyiaj ntau heev. Qhov no tau ua si hauv cov nqi roj, nqi huab cua thiab ntau yam ntawm lwm cov lag luam.

Nws raug nqi ntau heev los tsim kom muaj lub computer chip cog. Intel tsuas yog siv $ 3 nphom ntawm kev nthuav dav ntawm qhov chaw uas twb muaj lawm hauv Oregon. Ib qho kev siv nyiaj ntau npaum li cas yuav siv sij hawm me ntsis. Qhov kev nthuav dav no tau pib hauv 2019 thiab tau ua tiav hauv 2022 - thiab nws tsuas yog ib qho ntxiv.

Txawm li cas los xij, hauv qhov chaw ntawm lub sijhawm xav tau rau kev nthuav dav, ntau yam tuaj yeem hloov pauv. Cov kab mob kis thoob qhov txhia chaw coj kev tuag, kev tsov kev rog tawm tsam, kev lag luam tuaj yeem tuaj yeem mus. Yog tias qhov kev thov nce siab sai thiab tsis tau npaj txhij, kev xa khoom tsis tuaj yeem khaws tam sim ntawd. Tus nqi nce. Kev xa khoom ntau dua yuav ua rau tus nqi qis, tab sis lub peev xwm los muab ntau cov khoom siv sij hawm los tsim.

Tib qhov kev hloov pauv qeeb qeeb yog ntau dua hauv cov roj. Kev tsim khoom tshiab pib nrog kev ntsuam xyuas ntawm geology, tom qab ntawd kev sim tshiab seismic, kev tshawb nrhiav qhov dej, cov qhov dej ntau lawm thiab cov txheej txheem kom tau cov roj mus rau kev ua lag luam. Ib xyoo caum tuaj yeem dhau mus thaum lub sijhawm ua haujlwm. Nyob rau hauv lub meantime, tus nqi tua.

Tab sis yuav ua li cas yog tias kev thov poob poob poob nthav? Feem ntau ntawm cov nqi tsim khoom yog kho los ntawm cov peev txheej loj. Tiag tiag khiav lub computer chip cog los yog oilfield kuj me me thaum nws tsim. Yog li cov nqi poob tsis cuam tshuam cov neeg tsim khoom los ntawm cov khoom lag luam - tsawg kawg kom txog thaum cov nqi poob qis heev.

Cov coob kev lag luam kev lag luam poob lag luam piav qhia txog kev sib tw ntawm cov lag luam uas siv peev nyiaj ntau. (Kev lag luam nyiaj txiag suav nrog Eastern hauv 1989 thiab 1991, Braniff 1982, Continental 1983, Frontier 1986 thiab 2008, Pan Am 1991, National 2000, TWA 2001, US Airways 2002 thiab 2004, United 2002, Canada thiab lwm yam. .) Thaum qhov kev thov softens, cov tuam txhab txiav nqi kom muag muag. Qee lub sij hawm, lawv tau txiav cov nqi ntau heev uas cov nyiaj tau los poob qis dua lawv cov nqi tag nrho.

Lawv tsis tso tseg kev ua haujlwm thaum tus nqi tsis them tag nrho cov nqi, vim tias rau cov lag luam uas siv peev nyiaj ntau, lawv cov nqi feem ntau yog cov nqi tas li, xws li cov nqi qiv nyiaj. Lawv yuav tsum them tus nqi txawm tias lawv ua haujlwm lossis tsis ua haujlwm. Lawv qhov kev txiav txim siab kom khiav lag luam yog nyob ntawm seb tus nqi puas them rau lawv cov nqi sib txawv. Rau ib lub dav hlau, qhov ntawd yog dav hlau roj thiab kev ua haujlwm. Rau cov neeg tsim khoom siv roj, nws yog tus nqi ntawm cov twj tso kua mis thiab tau txais cov roj mus rau lub refinery. Rau lub tuam txhab chip computer, nws yog me ntsis kev ua haujlwm thiab silicon. Yog li, qhov ntim ntawm cov khoom lag luam tsis poob qis thaum qhov kev thov poob qis, yog li tus nqi yuav tsum poob qis heev kom coj cov khoom xa mus rau qhov sib npaug nrog kev thov.

Sib piv cov peev nyiaj lag luam ntau rau cov lag luam uas siv peev tsawg dua. Ntau lub zej zog muaj chaw qhia ntawv rau cov tub ntxhais kawm. Kev siv peev nyiaj tsawg: tus nqi them ua ntej mus xauj chaw ua haujlwm thiab qee qhov kev tshaj tawm. Cov kws qhia ntawv raug ntiav thaum cov neeg siv khoom tau kos npe. Feem ntau ntawm cov nqi yog kev ua haujlwm uas tuaj yeem txiav rov qab yog tias qhov kev thov tsis muaj zog. Cov lag luam tuaj yeem nce nrawm nrawm thaum qhov kev thov nce siab. Thiab tsis muaj ib qho ntawm cov tuam txhab no ua haujlwm poob rau ntev heev. Nqe yog ruaj khov.

Txawm tias cov lag luam uas tsis muaj peev txheej yuav tsum nkag siab lub tswv yim no. Ib lub tuam txhab cov neeg siv khoom yuav yog cov lag luam siv nyiaj ntau, lossis nws cov neeg muag khoom yuav yog peev nyiaj ntau. Cov chaw muab kev pabcuam txuas mus ntxiv rau cov tuam txhab peev nyiaj txiag yuav txaus siab rau kev muag khoom ncaj ncees. Tab sis cov chaw muab khoom siv peev rau tib lub tuam txhab yuav tsum tau npaj rau boom-bust cycles ntawm expansions. Cov tuam txhab lag luam uas yuav cov khoom lag luam los ntawm cov tuam txhab peev nyiaj txiag yuav tsum npaj rau qhov tsis txaus siab ntawm tus nqi.

Qhov yooj yim generalization no feem ntau to taub los ntawm cov qub tub rog ntawm kev lag luam, tsawg kawg ntawm lub plab, Cov kev tswj tshiab yuav tsum tau txiav txim siab rau lawv tus kheej, thiab lawv cov neeg siv khoom thiab cov neeg muag khoom yuav tsum kawm qhov kev nthuav dav no thiab siv rau lawv tus kheej qhov xwm txheej.

Tau qhov twg los: https://www.forbes.com/sites/billconerly/2022/09/13/falling-computer-chip-prices-show-cycles-in-capital-intensive-businesses/