Katie Stockton, tus tsim thiab tswj tus khub ntawm Fairlead Strategies, hais tias 2023 tseem tuaj yeem pom ciaj uas muag poob rau qhov qis qis.
Hais lus rau hnub Tuesday thaum sib tham nrog CNBC's 'Squawk Box' raws li kev lag luam rov qhib dua tom qab Xyoo Tshiab hnub so, tus kws tshuaj ntsuam xyuas tau sau tseg:
Puas yog koj tab tom nrhiav kom tau cov xov xwm ceev, kub-cov lus qhia thiab kev tsom xam kev ua lag luam?
Sau npe rau Invezz cov ntawv xov xwm, hnub no.
"Peb tab tom nrhiav qee qhov kev ruaj khov rau lub xyoo kawg thiab qhov ntawd yog raws li lub npe hu ua Santa Claus rally uas yog tseem muaj zog niaj hnub no thiab tag kis. Yog li peb cia siab tias yuav muaj kev ruaj khov ntxiv rau lub lim tiam no tom qab uas kuv xav tias peb tuaj yeem pom kev hloov pauv mus rau qhov tsis zoo. "
2023 yog ib lub xyoo inflection
Raws li tus tsim Fairlead, 2023 kuj yog xyoo inflection rau stocks, uas ua rau nws nyuaj rau twv seb qhov twg S&P 500 yuav nyob rau thaum xaus ntawm lub xyoo. Txawm li cas los xij, kev ua lag luam yuav tsum tau saib rau qee yam kev tshwm sim tsis hloov pauv uas ua rau lub lag luam dais qis - tsis muaj qhov sib txawv ntev ntev uas keeb kwm qhia tias qhov qis tseem nyob hauv.
Tab sis lub capitulation uas nyiam ua rau dais lag luam qis yuav tshwm sim hauv 4-6 lub hlis tom ntej, nws ntxiv.
Lub Cboe Volatility Index, los yog VIX, uas saib ntawm kev lag luam kev lag luam qhov kev cia siab tsis hloov pauv, yog ib qho kev qhia uas ua rau muaj kev saib xyuas ze, nws tau sau tseg. Hnub Tuesday, VIX tau sim nws qhov 50-hnub txav nruab nrab nyob ib puag ncig 28, thiab Stockton ntseeg tias qhov kev tawm tsam saum toj kawg nkaus ntawm cov kab tawm tsam yuav qhib rau qhov kev tawm tsam tom ntej ntawm 35.
Muab qhov no, qhov no yuav ua rau qhov tsis txaus ntseeg tshiab rau qhov sib txawv ntawm S&P 500, nrog kev txhawb nqa ntawm 3,800 thiab tom qab ntawd 3,500.
Stockton cov lus tau tuaj raws li Wall Street pauv qis dua rau hnub Tuesday sawv ntxov. S&P 500 poob 0.90%, Dow Jones Industrial nruab nrab tau nqis 216 ntsiab lus, lossis 0.65% thiab Nasdaq Composite tau poob 1.38%.
Ntawm cov hnub tseem ceeb, Kua thiab Tesla tau ob qho tib si ua lag luam qis dua ntawm 4.6% thiab 13.8% raws li tseem ceeb, Tesla shares poob qis tom qab nws Q4 2022 khoom xa tuaj tsis nco).
Lub caij no, kub tau nce ntawm 1,835.90 ib ooj. Hauv crypto, Bitcoin tau tuav ib ncig ntawm $ 16,650.
Tau qhov twg los: https://invezz.com/news/2023/01/03/fairleads-katie-stockton-expects-new-market-lows-in-2023/