Cov kws tshaj lij pom cov cib fim tshiab hauv Suav cov khoom lag luam nrog kev lag luam teeb tsa kom rov zoo tom qab Shanghai rov qhib

Tojsiab

Kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb tsis ntev los no tau txais txiaj ntsig los ntawm cov xov xwm zoo tawm ntawm Tuam Tshoj, uas yog tshem tawm cov kab mob coronavirus txwv tsis pub kaw hauv Shanghai thiab tshaj tawm tias txo cov kev tswj hwm kev tswj hwm ntawm nws cov thev naus laus zis, ua rau qee tus kws tshaj lij nce lawv qhov cuam tshuam rau Suav cov khoom lag luam thaum lawv twv ntawm kev lag luam rov qab.

Cov Lus Tseem Ceeb

Nrog rau kev kis tus kab mob tsis tu ncua, Tuam Tshoj txoj kev rov qab los ntawm nws ob lub hlis ntev Covid-19 kaw hauv Shanghai tau muab kev pab cuam. txhawb rau kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb.

Thaum Tuam Tshoj txoj kev kaw haujlwm tau muaj "kev cuam tshuam tsis zoo" rau kev lag luam kev lag luam, cov kws tshuaj ntsuam ntawm Goldman Sachs xav tias yuav muaj "rov qab muaj zog" nyob rau lub Rau Hli thiab Lub Xya Hli, "raws li cov kev paub tom qab lwm qhov kev kaw loj thoob ntiaj teb."

Lub teb chaws txoj kev rov qhib dua yog xav kom yooj yim thoob ntiaj teb cov saw hlau ncua qeeb (nrog cov ntawv ceeb toom tias Shanghai qhov chaw nres nkoj yuav luag rov qab mus rau tag nrho cov peev txheej), tab sis cov kws tshaj lij ceeb toom tias nws tseem yuav muaj qee lub sijhawm ua ntej kev lag luam bounces rov qab tag nrho.

Cov txiaj ntsig hauv Suav lag luam tam sim no tau poob mus rau ntau qhov txaus nyiam thiab muaj "qee yam cim" uas cov tub ua lag luam tau nce mus rau Tuam Tshoj dua nrog ntau lub sijhawm ntev kom muaj, hais tias Brendan Ahern, tus thawj coj peev ntawm Tuam Tshoj tsom ETF tus muab kev pabcuam KraneShares.

Shares ntawm Suav e-commerce loj xws li Alibaba, JD.com, Tencent thiab Pinduoduo tau pom tag nrho cov kev ua tau zoo (nce 21%, 20%, 13% thiab 66%, feem nyob rau hauv lub hli tas los), nws taw qhia, thiab yuav tsum. yuav tau primed kom rebound ntxiv raws li lawv tau txais txiaj ntsim los ntawm resilient cov neeg siv khoom siv.

Ahern kuj tseem hais txog qhov nws hu ua "kev siv thev naus laus zis huv huv" - cua, hnub ci thiab hluav taws xob-tsheb tuam txhab lag luam - uas zoo li tseem ceeb rau kev loj hlob mus ntev txawm tias pom me ntsis ntawm kev txhim kho cov khoom lag luam hauv xyoo no; nws muaj nws lub qhov muag ntawm qhov nyiam ntawm EV roj teeb-chaw tsim khoom CATL thiab automaker BYD.

Cov Ntsiab Tseem Ceeb:

Txawm hais tias muaj cov xov xwm zoo rov qhib dua, Suav kev lag luam cov teeb meem mus sij hawm ntev tseem tsis hloov pauv, cov kws tshuaj ntsuam ntawm Goldman Sachs tau hais hauv tsab ntawv tsis ntev los no. Coronavirus yuav "tseem muaj kev hem thawj kom txog rau thaum cov neeg tsim cai tswjfwm xav tias yooj yim txav deb ntawm covid xoom txoj cai," uas tseem zoo li yuav yog txoj hauv kev tawm, lawv sib cav. Dab tsi ntxiv, Tuam Tshoj tseem yog "kev lag luam kev lag luam xa tawm, thiab tus qauv ntawd raug kev kub ntxhov vim kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb qeeb lossis thim rov qab," raws li Goldman. Cov kws tshuaj ntsuam xyuas tseem hais txog cov teeb meem tsis tu ncua hauv Tuam Tshoj txoj kev lag luam vaj tsev, qhov twg cov peev txheej vaj tse nyob rau hauv "thaum ntxov ntawm ntau xyoo kaum xyoo poob vim cov pej xeem hauv nroog loj hlob qeeb thiab kev kwv yees poob qis."

Dab Tsi Los Saib:

Tom qab lub Phab ntsa Street Journal qhia Lub lim tiam dhau los no uas cov neeg tswj hwm Suav yuav xaus qhov kev sojntsuam ntev xyoo rau hauv kev sib koom tsheb loj Didi thiab tshem tawm kev txwv rau cov neeg siv tshiab, qee cov tub ua lag luam tau vam tias Tuam Tshoj txoj cai tswjfwm ntawm nws cov thev naus laus zis tuaj yeem txo qis. Raws li tsoomfwv cov lus hais tawm tswv yim tias kev ua raws li kev cai tswjfwm tau yooj yim, ib tus tuaj yeem sib cav tias "qhov phem tshaj dhau lawm," hais tias Ahern. Nws yog "kev txhawj xeeb ntau dua" txog Asmeskas kev tswj hwm ntawm Tuam Tshoj cov tuam txhab thev naus laus zis, ntxiv tias Tuam Tshoj yuav tsum tau tsom ntau rau kev tsim nws tus kheej thev naus laus zis nrog rau kev sib txawv thiab kev txhawb nqa nws cov thev naus laus zis. "Yog tias koj txhawj xeeb txog Asmeskas muab kev nkag mus rau Asmeskas cov thev naus laus zis tsawg dua, Suav tuam txhab lag luam hauv tsev tuaj yeem yog cov neeg tau txais txiaj ntsig loj," raws li Ahern.

Nyeem ntxiv:

Tau qhov twg los: https://www.forbes.com/sites/sergeiklebnikov/2022/06/07/experts-see-fresh-opportunities-in-chinese-stocks-with-economic-activity-set-to-rebound-after- shanghai-rov qhib dua /