Tus nqi tsev uas twb muaj lawm ntaus cov ntaub ntawv $402,000—Tab sis Kev Muag Khoom poob Raws li Kev Lag Luam Vaj Tsev 'mob' kho kom nce tus nqi

Tojsiab

Kev muag khoom hauv tsev uas twb muaj lawm tau poob rau lub hlis thib plaub hauv lub Tsib Hlis nyob rau hauv qhov tseeb kos npe nce tus nqi tau stunted muag nyob rau hauv lub tsev lag luam - tab sis cov nqi tseem ntaus cov ntaub ntawv siab tshaj $ 400,000 nyob rau lub Tsib Hlis raws li qib qis ntawm cov khoom vaj khoom tsev thiab cov saw hlau txwv tsis pub dhau mus. affordability nyuaj rau cov neeg yuav khoom tom ntej.

Cov Lus Tseem Ceeb

Kev muag khoom hauv tsev uas twb muaj lawm poob 3.4% txij lub Plaub Hlis mus rau lub caij nyoog hloov kho txhua xyoo ntawm 5.4 lab hauv lub Tsib Hlis, piv rau 5.9 lab ib xyoos dhau los, raws li cov ntaub ntawv tso tawm Hnub Tuesday los ntawm National Association of Realtors.

Lub caij no, tus nqi nruab nrab ntawm lub tsev uas twb muaj lawm yog cov ntaub ntawv $ 407,600, nce ze li 15% ntawm ib xyoo dhau los raws li cov nqi tau nce thoob plaws txhua cheeb tsam hauv lub tebchaws - kos npe rau 123 lub hlis sib law liag ntawm xyoo dhau ib xyoo tus nqi nce rau qhov ntev tshaj plaws ntawm kev nce ntawm cov ntaub ntawv, NAR hais.

Tus naj npawb ntawm cov tsev muag tau "tseem ceeb rov qab" rau qib ua ntej kis thoob qhov txhia chaw pom nyob rau hauv 2019 "tom qab ob xyoos ntawm kev ua neeg loj leeb," NAR Tus Thawj Saib Xyuas Kev Lag Luam Lawrence Yun tau hais hauv tsab ntawv tshaj tawm hnub Tuesday, ceeb toom tias kev muag khoom poob ntxiv yuav tsum tau xav txog nyob rau lub hlis tom ntej no. nce nqi tsev qiv nyiaj ntxiv rau cov teeb meem pheej yig hauv khw vaj tsev.

Nrog Federal Reserve hiking paj laum peb zaug xyoo no, cov nqi tsev qiv nyiaj muaj kwv yees li ob npaug rau 6% los ntawm qhov ze-cov ntaub ntawv-qis qis ntawm 3% thaum kawg ntawm xyoo tas los - txwv kev yuav khoom hauv tsev thiab tsav tus nqi ntawm kev yuav tsev.

Raws li ib hnub Tuesday daim ntawv qhia los ntawm cov tuam txhab muag vaj tse Redfin, tus neeg yuav khoom hauv tsev ntawm $ 2,500 pob nyiaj siv txhua hli tau poob ze li $ 120,000 hauv kev siv hluav taws xob txij li xyoo tas los vim qhov nce nqi, nrog rau cov nyiaj them txhua hli ntawm qhov nruab nrab nqi tsev nce ntau dua $ 500 nyob rau tib lub sijhawm.

Pantheon Macro Tus Thawj Saib Xyuas Kev Lag Luam Ian Shepherdson tau hais tias "Kev lag luam vaj tsev tau hloov kho sai thiab mob siab rau qhov nce ntawm cov nqi qiv nyiaj," Pantheon Macro Tus Thawj Saib Xyuas Kev Lag Luam Ian Shepherdson tau hais hauv email cov lus pom tom qab tsab ntawv ceeb toom, ceeb toom txog cov khoom vaj khoom tsev - tseem nyob ntawm keeb kwm qis theem - txuas ntxiv tsav tus nqi siab dua txawm tias qhov muag poob.

Txaus Ntshai Qhov Tseeb

Tsawg dua 46% ntawm cov tsev muag khoom thoob plaws lub tebchaws tuaj yeem them taus ntawm $ 2,500 ib hlis ib hlis twg ntawm 6% paj laum, nqis los ntawm ze li 62% uas yuav pheej yig yog tias tus nqi tseem nyob ntawm 3%, Redfin sau ntawv.

Kev Nkag Siab Hais

"Cov nqi qiv nyiaj siab dua yog qhov tsim nyog los ua kom lub lag luam kub kub hauv tsev, tab sis lawv tseem ua rau cov neeg yuav khoom nyob rau hauv ib qho nyuaj," Redfin Chief Economist Daryl Fairweather tau hais hauv nqe lus. "Kev nce nyiaj hauv ib hlis txhais tau tias ntau tus neeg yos hav zoov hauv tsev tam sim no yuav tsum xav txog cov tsev me - tej zaum nyob deb ntawm lawv cov zej zog zoo tshaj plaws - lossis lo rau kev xauj yog tias lawv raug nqi tawm ntawm lub khw tag nrho."

Tus Keeb Kwm Tseem Ceeb

Keeb kwm kev txuag nyiaj siab thiab kev ntsuas tsoomfwv tau pab cuam tshuam kev yuav khoom hauv tsev thaum muaj kev sib kis - tab sis cov cim qhia ntawm kev poob qis sai sai tshwm sim raws li Fed pib ntawm nws feem ntau Txhoj puab heev paj laum-hloov ncig hauv ob xyoo caum. Tus naj npawb ntawm tsev nyob pib, lossis cov tsev tshiab uas pib tsim, plunged 14.4% mus txog 1.5 lab lub hli dhau los los ntawm 1.8 lab nyob rau lub Plaub Hlis - qis dua qhov kev kwv yees nyiaj txiag hu rau ze li ntawm 1.7 lab pib, thiab kev muag tsev tshiab hauv lub Plaub Hlis poob ze li ntawm 17% los ntawm Lub Peb Hlis.

Dab Tsi Los Saib

Cov ntaub ntawv ntawm kev muag tsev tshiab nyob rau lub Tsib Hlis yog teem rau tso tawm rau hnub Friday. Economist project txog 600,000 lub tsev tshiab tau muag lub hli tas los, nce tom qab ib poob siab heev rau 591,000 nyob rau lub Plaub Hlis.

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