Teb chaws Europe Tsheb Forecasts tig tsis zoo, thaum hluav taws xob muag khoom loj hlob mus rau Stall

Kev muag khoom rau lub tsheb thiab SUVs nyob rau sab hnub poob Europe tab tom ploj mus sai nrog kev kwv yees poob rau hauv thaj chaw tsis zoo vim tias kev lag luam tsis muaj zog, thiab txawm tias lub pob zeb-khoom hluav taws xob lub tsheb hloov pauv zoo li yuav ua pa rau ob peb xyoos tom ntej no.

Tus kws tshaj lij tshaj lij LMC Automotive Tam sim no cia siab tias kev muag khoom hauv Western Europe yuav poob 6% hauv 2022 kom tsuas yog qis dua 10 lab, hais txog cov khoom lag luam tsis muaj zog, kev ua tsov rog hauv Ukraine thiab kev kaw hauv Suav teb vim tias rov tshwm sim ntawm tus kabmob coronavirus.

Western Europe lub roj teeb-hluav taws xob tsheb (BEV) muag ntau dua ob npaug rau xyoo 2020 kom qis dua 750,000 thiab dhia dua hauv 2021 nrog kev muag khoom ntawm 1,143,000 lossis 10.3% ntawm kev ua lag luam. Kev Tshawb Nrhiav Kev Lag Luam Schmidt cia siab tias qhov no yuav qeeb mus rau ob peb xyoos tom ntej no.

"Qhov kev pom zoo ua ntej kev tawm tsam Lavxias yog qhov kev loj hlob ntawm 10 txog 15% xyoo no dhau 2021 (BEV) qib. Qhov no tam sim no xav tias yuav raug txo qis ib nrab, "said Matt Schmidt.

Hauv ob peb xyoos tom ntej no, vim tias European Union (EU) cov kev cai tseem nyob tas li, cov tuam txhab lag luam yuav muaj peev xwm mloog ntau ntxiv ntawm kev muag cov khoom muaj txiaj ntsig zoo sab hauv combustion engine (ICE) powered tsheb thiab SUVs.

"Los ntawm 2022 txog 2024 BEV nkag mus yuav nce los ntawm ib feem pua ​​​​ntawm cov neeg tsav tsheb tseem ceeb thiab cov neeg tsim khoom lag luam 'tus qauv tseem ceeb, (EU) CO2 fleet nruab nrab lub hom phiaj, seem tas li mus txog 2025 nrog me me chav rau maneuver nrog lwm tus txawm tias nce. kev xav rau EVs, "Schmidt hais.

"Qhov xwm txheej semiconductor easing thaum kawg ntawm 2022 yuav ua rau muaj ntau dua ntim tag nrho kev ua lag luam hauv 2023 (13.8 lab), zoo li yuav txwv tsis pub BEV nkag mus rau kev loj hlob raws li kev nkag-qib ICE qauv muaj rov qab los, muab cov tsis muaj plug-ins txhawb," Schmidt hais.

Thaum pib ntawm lub xyoo, LMC Automotive tau ntseeg siab tias kev muag khoom yuav ua tiav ua ntej los ntawm kev noj qab haus huv 8.6%. Tab sis qhov kev npaj txhij txog kev cuam tshuam ntawm Ukraine tau pom qhov kev kho kom zoo rau qhov tsis txaus ntseeg tau nce ntawm 0.4% hauv xyoo 2022 txog 10.63 lab, thiab tam sim no qhov rho tawm 6% kev kwv yees. Hauv 2019 lub ntiaj teb ua ntej-covid ntiaj teb Western European muag tau tsoo 14.29 lab.

Western Europe suav nrog tag nrho cov lag luam loj ntawm lub teb chaws Yelemees, Britain, Fabkis, Spain thiab Ltalis.

West Europe tus nqi muag txhua xyoo poob rau 8.8 lab hauv lub Plaub Hlis los ntawm 9.0 lab hauv lub Peb Hlis, LMC tau hais.

"Peb qhov kev kwv yees rau xyoo 2022 tau raug txiav txij li lub hli dhau los thiab tam sim no pom qhov kev cog lus ib xyoos rau xyoo rau West European kev ua lag luam. Cov teeb meem kev xa khoom thoob ntiaj teb qhia tsis muaj cov cim tseem ceeb ntawm kev yooj yim, thaum cov kev xav tau hauv qab kev cia siab tau ploj mus ib yam. Kev ntseeg siab ntawm cov neeg siv khoom hauv cheeb tsam euro tau nce qhov ntswg hauv ob lub hlis dhau los, tam sim no nyob rau theem tsis pom txij li thaum pib muaj tus kabmob kis thoob ntiaj teb xyoo 2020, thiab cov tsev neeg yuav muaj kev cuam tshuam loj rau cov nyiaj tau los tiag xyoo no. Cov teeb meem kev xa khoom tseem yog qhov tseem ceeb rau kev sau npe rau tam sim no, txawm li cas los xij, "LMC tau hais hauv tsab ntawv ceeb toom.

Ntau tus thawj coj hauv kev lag luam tsheb hauv ntiaj teb tau nyob hauv London lub lim tiam no mus koom lub rooj sib tham Financial Times hu ua "Lub neej yav tom ntej ntawm lub tsheb". Volkswagen CEO Herbert Diess, Mercedes CEO Ola Kaellenius, thiab Renault CEO Luca de Meo yog cov neeg hais lus rau hnub Monday, zoo li yuav ci, tsis ntau txog cov khoom tshiab uas lawv npaj rau yav tom ntej, tab sis yuav ua li cas lawv yuav khaws lawv cov nkoj kom ruaj khov los ntawm qhov no. poob siab poob qis.

Tau qhov twg los: https://www.forbes.com/sites/neilwinton/2022/05/08/europe-car-forecasts-turn-negative-while-electric-sales-growth-to-stall/