cov EUR / GBP tus nqi tau tsiv mus rau sab hnub Thursday thaum sawv ntxov raws li cov tub ua lag luam tsom mus rau qhov tseeb German Hoobkas xaj thiab tom ntej no Bank of England (BoE) kev txiav txim siab paj laum. Cov khub tau ua lag luam ntawm 0.8365, qhov twg nws tau nyob hauv ob peb hnub dhau los. Tus nqi no yog kwv yees li 4% qis dua qhov siab tshaj plaws nyob rau lub Rau Hli xyoo no.
BoE kev txiav txim siab paj laum
EUR rau GBP pauv tus nqi tau nyob rau hauv ib qho kev nqaim hauv ob peb hnub dhau los raws li kev tsom mus rau qhov kev txiav txim siab BoE. Cov khub kuj tau tawm tsam raws li cov tub ua lag luam tsom mus rau qhov teeb meem roj av tsis tu ncua hauv European Union.
Puas yog koj tab tom nrhiav kom tau cov xov xwm ceev, kub-cov lus qhia thiab kev tsom xam kev ua lag luam?
Sau npe rau Invezz cov ntawv xov xwm, hnub no.
BoE, uas yog coj los ntawm Andrew Bailey, yuav xaus nws lub rooj sib tham ob hnub rau hnub Thursday. Raws li nws cov lus tshaj tawm dhau los, cov kws tshuaj ntsuam ntseeg tias lub txhab nyiaj yuav xa nws cov nqi nce siab tshaj plaws hauv ntau dua 27 xyoo. Economists pom nws nce tus nqi los ntawm 0.50% thiab coj tus nqi xov tooj mus rau 1.75%.
Qhov kev txiav txim siab los ntawm lub sijhawm nyuaj rau UK kev lag luam. Ua ntej, IMF tau ceeb toom tias lub tebchaws yuav pom qhov rov qab qeeb tshaj plaws hauv G7. Cov ntaub ntawv tsis ntev los no taw qhia rau qhov tsis muaj zog. Piv txwv li, kev muag khoom muag thiab kev ntseeg siab ntawm cov neeg siv khoom tau poob qis hauv ob peb lub hlis dhau los. Qhov no yog qhov tseem ceeb vim tias cov neeg siv khoom siv yog ib feem tseem ceeb ntawm UK kev lag luam.
Qhov thib ob, zoo li lwm lub tebchaws, kev nce nyiaj tau nce siab hauv UK. Cov ntaub ntawv tsis ntev los no qhia tau hais tias lub teb chaws tus nqi nce mus rau 9.4%, qhov siab tshaj plaws hauv ntau tshaj peb lub xyoo caum. Nyob rau tib lub sijhawm, muaj cov cim qhia tias qhov tseem ceeb hauv vaj tsev nyob ruaj khov thaum kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb tau qeeb vim Brexit.
Ntawm qhov zoo, BoE ntsib nyob rau lub sijhawm thaum kev ua lag luam tseem muaj zog. Cov ntaub ntawv tsis ntev los no tau qhia tias qhov nyiaj poob haujlwm tseem nyob ntawm 3.7%, txhais tau tias lub tebchaws tau ua haujlwm tag nrho. Yog li ntawd, BoE yuav zoo li yuav xa ib qho kev nce nqi dovish.
EUR / GBP kev kwv yees
Daim duab plaub-teev qhia tau hais tias EUR rau GBP tus nqi tau nyob rau hauv ib qho kev poob qis hauv ob peb hnub dhau los. Cov khub tseem nyob qis dua qhov tseem ceeb ntawm kev txhawb nqa ntawm 0.8392 thiab 0.8400, uas yog qib qis tshaj hauv lub Tsib Hlis thiab Lub Rau Hli. Cov forex khub tau poob qis dua 25-hnub thiab 50-hnub txav nruab nrab. MACD tau tsim ib qho kev sib txawv sib txawv.
Yog li ntawd, cov khub yuav zoo li poob mus ntxiv tom qab qhov kev txiav txim siab BoE. Yog tias qhov no tshwm sim, qhov kev txhawb nqa tseem ceeb tom ntej yuav nyob ntawm 0.8300.
Qhov twg yuav tam sim no
Txhawm rau nqis peev yooj yim thiab yooj yim, cov neeg siv xav tau tus nqi qis-nqi nrog nrog cov ntawv sau ntawm kev ntseeg tau. Cov brokers hauv qab no yog cov ntaus nqi siab heev, tau lees paub thoob ntiaj teb, thiab muaj kev nyab xeeb los siv:
- Etoro, ntseeg los ntawm ntau dua 13m cov neeg siv thoob ntiaj teb. Tso npe ntawm no>
- Capital.com, yooj yim, yooj yim rau siv thiab tswj. Tso npe ntawm no>
* Cryptoasset kev nqis peev tsis raug tswj hwm hauv qee lub tebchaws EU thiab UK. Tsis muaj kev tiv thaiv neeg siv khoom. Koj lub peev yog qhov txaus ntshai.
Tau qhov twg los: https://invezz.com/news/2022/08/04/eur-gbp-forecast-ahead-of-a-giant-boe-interest-rate-hike/