cov Teb Chaws Asmeskas duas Index (DXY) ua ib qho zoo heev rov qab los raws li cov tub ua lag luam ntsuam xyuas lawv cov thawj koom ruam ntawm Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve tus nqi hikes. Nws tau dhia mus rau qhov siab ntawm $ 104.53, qhov siab tshaj plaws txij li Lub Ib Hlis 6, uas yog ~ 3.52% siab dua qhov qis tshaj plaws rau xyoo no.
Hawkish Fed hais lus
Lub ntsiab catalyst rau kev ua tau zoo ntawm US dollar Performance index yog cov tub ua lag luam tau soj ntsuam lawv qhov kev xav ntawm Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve. Tom qab thawj thawj daim ntawv tshaj tawm nyiaj txiag nyob rau lub Ib Hlis, cov tub ua lag luam feem ntau ntseeg tias Fed yuav pib pivoting xyoo no. Thiab nws tau ua lub hlis no thaum nws nce tus nqi los ntawm 0.25%, qhov tsawg tshaj plaws nce hauv lub hlis.
Puas yog koj tab tom nrhiav kom tau cov xov xwm ceev, kub-cov lus qhia thiab kev tsom xam kev ua lag luam?
Sau npe rau Invezz cov ntawv xov xwm, hnub no.
Lub lim tiam no yog qhov hloov pauv rau cov tub lag luam feem ntau tom qab Asmeskas luam tawm tseem ceeb economic cov ntaub ntawv. Nyuam qhuav pib lub hlis no, cov ntaub ntawv los ntawm Asmeskas tau qhia tias Asmeskas kev lag luam tau ntxiv ntau dua 500k txoj haujlwm thaum cov nyiaj poob haujlwm poob mus rau 3.4%, qhov qis tshaj plaws hauv tsib xyoos.
Cov lej nyiaj txiag tau tshaj tawm lub lim tiam no qhia tau hais tias cov xov xwm tseem ceeb thiab cov nyiaj txiag tseem ceeb tau dhia ntawm ib hlis-rau-hli hauv lub Ib Hlis. Lawv tseem nyob rau theem siab ntawm ib xyoos ib zaug. Thiab hnub Wednesday, Tebchaws Asmeskas tau tshaj tawm cov lej muag khoom muag muaj zog.
Yog li ntawd, ntau tus neeg ua haujlwm Fed tau txhawb nqa kev txav mus ntxiv kom nruj rau lub hlis tom ntej. Hauv tsab ntawv tshaj tawm lub lim tiam dhau los, Jerome Powell tau hais tias kev ua lag luam muaj zog ua rau nws nyuaj rau kev tawm tsam kev nce nqi. Hnub Thursday, cov neeg ua haujlwm zoo li Loretta Mester thiab James Bullard tau txhawb nqa 0.50% kev taug kev hauv lub Peb Hlis. James Bullard hais tias:
"Kuv qhov kev txiav txim tag nrho yog nws yuav yog kev sib ntaus sib tua ntev tiv thaiv kev nce nqi, thiab tej zaum peb yuav tau mus txuas ntxiv los qhia txog kev sib ntaus sib tua thaum peb mus txog 2023."
Fed's Thomas Barkin thiab Elizabeth Barkin, uas yog cov neeg paub zoo hawks tau teem caij ua lawv qhov chaw hawkish rau hnub Friday. Hauv tsab ntawv ceeb toom, cov kws tshuaj ntsuam ntawm ING sau:
"Peb pom qhov xwm txheej uas DXY txuas ntxiv mus txog 105.00, nrog kev pheej hmoo sab nraud lub hlis no kom muaj zog tiv thaiv ntawm 106.50 (kwv yees li 1.8% saum toj no theem), uas tej zaum yuav ua pov thawj qhov zoo tshaj plaws qib ntawm xyoo. "
Kev twv qhia txog nyiaj daus las Meskas
DXY daim duab los ntawm TradingView
King Dollar rov qab los. Ntawm 4H daim ntawv qhia, nws tau tswj kom hla qhov teeb meem tseem ceeb ntawm $ 103.96, qhov siab tshaj plaws ntawm Lub Ob Hlis 7. Qhov ntsuas tau kuj tau txav siab tshaj txhua qhov kev txav nruab nrab thaum lub zog oscillators nce. Yog li ntawd, kuv xav tias qhov kev txhawb siab no yuav txuas ntxiv ua ntej lub lim tiam tom ntej ntawm Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve feeb. Qib siv tseem ceeb saib yuav yog $105.60.
Source: https://invezz.com/news/2023/02/17/dxy-us-dollar-index-could-surge-to-106-50-ing/