Dow Soars 600 Cov Ntsiab Lus Raws li JPMorgan Rallies-Tab sis 'Vicious' Dais Market Risks Khaws Cov Kws Paub Txog Ntug

Tojsiab

Tshiab tawm ntawm S&P 500 qhov luv luv poob rau hauv thaj chaw dais-kev lag luam, cov nyiaj txiag cov khoom lag luam tau ua rau muaj kev sib tw ua lag luam nyob rau hnub Monday tom qab cov xov xwm bullish los ntawm lub teb chaws tus qiv nyiaj loj tshaj plaws, tab sis nrog kev tsis paub meej ntawm cov paj laum tseem ua rau muaj kev pheej hmoo rau cov khoom lag luam, cov kws tshaj lij tsis ua pa. ib sigh ntawm nyem tseem tsis tau.

Cov Lus Tseem Ceeb

Dow Jones Industrial Nruab Nrab tau nce 633 cov ntsiab lus, lossis 2%, rau 31,896 los ntawm 3:30 teev tsaus ntuj ET Hnub Monday, thaum S&P dhia 1.85% thiab tech-heavy Nasdaq, 1.4% - teeb tsa kev lag luam rau nws thawj zaug nce hauv ib hnub. lub lim tiam.

Kev nce qib ntawm Dow thiab S&P cov txiaj ntsig, feem ntawm JPMorgan - txawm tias tseem nqis 22% xyoo no - tau nce 7% tom qab lub txhab nyiaj tau nce nws qhov kev pom zoo rau cov nyiaj tau los xyoo no rau $ 56 billion, nce los ntawm kev taw qhia ntawm $ 50 billion nyob rau lub Ib Hlis, vim yog Kev cia siab tias Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve yuav nce tus nqi mus rau 3% xyoo no.

"Kev lag luam muaj zog, huab cua huab cua loj," JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon tau hais ntawm lub tuam txhab. hnub investor Hnub Monday, lees paub qhov kev lag luam poob qis tuaj yeem ua tau vim qhov kev pheej hmoo tsis tau pom dua los ntawm kev nce nyiaj nce mus ntev, kev kub ntxhov ntawm thaj chaw thiab kev tshem tawm ntawm Fed kev ntsuas kev txhawb nqa tshwm sim txhua lub sijhawm.

Txawm hais tias muaj kev tsis ntseeg siab, JPMorgan qhov kev xav tshiab tshiab tau ua rau muaj txiaj ntsig loj rau kev lag luam hauv txhab nyiaj, nrog Citigroup, Bank of America thiab Wells Fargo nce 7%, 6% thiab 5.5%, feem.

Morgan Stanley tus kws tshuaj ntsuam xyuas Michael Wilson tau hais hauv lub suab zoo sib xws rau hnub Monday, ceeb toom tias cov khoom lag luam thev naus laus zis, uas tau ua rau kev lag luam poob xyoo no, tseem yog ib qho ntawm "qhov loj tshaj plaws ntawm kev pheej hmoo" tom qab. muag khoom khwv tau Lub lim tiam dhau los tau taw qhia rau cov neeg siv khoom qis kawg thiab poob nyiaj tau los.

"Cov neeg tau txais kev ncaj ncees tau poob qis," Wilson hais ntxiv, hais tias cov tub ua lag luam yuav tsum siv "kev ua lag luam ua lag luam phem" los muag cov khoom lag luam pheej hmoo thiab kwv yees tias S&P yuav poob ze li 15% thaum kawg ntawm lub quarter thib ob ntawm cov nyiaj tau los tom qab lub caij ntuj sov no.

Tus Keeb Kwm Tseem Ceeb

Cov khoom lag luam tau tshaj tawm lawv qhov kev poob qis tshaj plaws txij li Covid-induced kev lag luam poob rau thaum ntxov 2020 raws li cov tub lag luam npau taws swells dhau Fed cov paj laum nce siab qhov no. Txawm hais tias keeb kwm qis tus nqi paj laum thaum muaj kev sib kis tau pab roj ib qho ntawm cov khw muag nyuj muaj zog tshaj plaws hauv cov ntaub ntawv, Fed hauv lub Peb Hlis tau pib rau nws. feem ntau nruj nruj voj voog nyob rau hauv ob xyoo caum nyob rau hauv ib tug twv kom txias xyoo caum-siab inflation. Mark Zandi, tus kws tshaj lij nyiaj txiag ntawm Moody's Analytics tau hais tias "Kev pheej hmoo nyiaj txiag poob qis yog siab - tsis xis nyob siab - thiab nce," Mark Zandi, tus kws tshaj lij nyiaj txiag ntawm Moody's Analytics, tau hais nyob rau hauv tsab ntawv kawg. "Rau kev lag luam kom taug qab yam tsis muaj kev poob qis, peb xav tau qee txoj cai tswj hwm los ntawm Fed thiab muaj hmoo me ntsis."

Contra

"Kev rov qab los yav tom ntej yeej zoo dua thaum cov khoom lag luam poob qis 20%," piav qhia LPL Tus Thawj Saib Xyuas Kev Lag Luam Kev Lag Luam Ryan Detrick, uas sau tseg cov khoom lag luam tau tshaj tawm qhov nruab nrab nce ntawm ze li 24% ib xyoos tom qab lub lag luam dais pib. "Muaj ntau lub lag luam dais dhau sijhawm, tab sis ib yam uas ib txwm tshwm sim yog cov khoom lag luam thaum kawg tau rov qab los rau qhov siab tshiab."

Dab Tsi Los Saib

Cov Tshuag lag luam yuav pom qhov qis dua thaum Fed qhia txog kev ncua hauv nws txoj kev sib tw nruj, kev nce nqi pib rov qab, lossis Suav kev lag luam, uas tau poob rau lub quarter no vim yog Covid lockdowns, normalizes, hais tias tus kws tshuaj ntsuam Tom Essaye ntawm Sevens Report.

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