Dow Jones yav tom ntej yuav qhib rau hnub Sunday yav tsaus ntuj, nrog rau S&P 500 yav tom ntej thiab Nasdaq yav tom ntej, nrog rau lub rooj sib tham Fed yav tom ntej hauv kev tsom.
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Cov kev lag luam loj tau muag tawm nyuaj rau lub lim tiam dhau los, poob qis dua qib tseem ceeb thaum cov kev tawm tsam tsis ntev los no ua tsis tiav. Nasdaq poob rau hnub Friday kom kaw qis qis ntawm nws lub Tsib Hlis 26 ua raws li hnub, lub teeb liab bearish heev. Tam sim no uptrend twb "nyob rau hauv siab" tom qab hnub Thursday qhov muag-off.
NetEase (NTES), Northrop Grumman (NOC), Eli Lilly (LLY), Albemarle (ALB) thiab Onsemi (ON) txhua tus qhia txog kev sib txheeb ze ze yuav cov ntsiab lus.
Cov no tsim nyog rau koj cov npe saib, tab sis cov tub ua lag luam yuav tsum ceev faj txog kev yuav khoom tshiab thiab tsis txhob txo qhov cuam tshuam tam sim no.
Albemarle, Northrop thiab LLY Tshuag yog nyob rau IB Leaderboard, nrog ON Tshuag ntawm Leaderboard saib daim ntawv teev npe. NTES Tshuag thiab Eli Lilly yog nyob rau IB 50. Cov vis dis aus tau muab tso rau hauv tsab xov xwm no tau tham txog kev ua lag luam kom ntxaws, thaum tseem tshuaj xyuas NOC Tshuag, Onsemi thiab Albemarle.
Lub caij no, megacap loj hlob cov khoom lag luam tseem qhia tsis muaj kev coj noj coj ua. Kua (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), Google niam txiv Cov tsiaj ntawv (GOOGL), Meta Platforms (META), Amazon.com (AMZN) thiab Nvidia (NVDA) txhua tus raug kev puas tsuaj loj, nrog GOOGL Tshuag, Amazon thiab Nvidia tag nrho rov qab qis dua los ntawm lawv cov kab 10-lub lim tiam. Tesla (TSLA) muaj qhov qis qis qis dua 1% txhua lub lim tiam. Tab sis TSLA Tshuag tau kaw ze rau txhua lub limtiam qis tom qab kev tawm tsam ntawm nws 21-hnub kab ntau zaus.
Hnub Friday lig, Tesla tau tshaj tawm cov phiaj xwm sib faib TSLA Tshuag 3-rau-1, raws li kev pom zoo los ntawm cov tswv cuab ntawm lub rooj sib tham txhua xyoo thaum Lub Yim Hli 4. Lub EV loj tshaj plaws tau tshaj tawm cov phiaj xwm rau lwm cov Tshuag faib rov qab rau lub Peb Hlis. Tesla Tshuag tau nce 1% lig Friday.
Tsis tas li ntawd, Oracle Chairman thiab co-founder Larry Ellison yuav tsis nrhiav kev rov xaiv tsa rau Tesla pawg thawj coj.
Oracle (ORCL) tshaj tawm hnub Monday hmo ntuj, nrog Tsev av (ADBE) yuav tuaj txog hnub Thursday. Cov software loj heev yuav muab qee qhov kev nkag siab txog kev siv nyiaj IT. Tab sis ORCL Tshuag thiab Adobe yog nyob rau hauv tob downtrends.
Tesla's New Frenemy tab tom txeeb EV Crown
Fed Lub Rooj Sib Tham
Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve ntsib hnub Tuesday thiab Wednesday. Fed yuav tshaj tawm nws qhov kev nce nqi tshiab kawg ntawm 2 teev tsaus ntuj ET hnub Wednesday, ua raws li Fed tus thawj coj Jerome Powell lub rooj sib tham xov xwm thaum 2:30 teev tsaus ntuj ET.
Ib qho txiaj ntsig loj rau kev muag khoom lag luam yog cov neeg lag luam ntshai tias Fed cov neeg tsim cai yuav tsum tau ua nruj ua tsiv ntau dua los tuav cov nqi kev ntxhov siab, ua rau muaj kev pheej hmoo ntawm kev poob nyiaj txiag. Tom qab CPI tsab ntawv ceeb toom qhia kev nce nyiaj poob qis nce mus rau qhov tshiab 40-xyoo siab 8.6%, kev lag luam tam sim no cia siab tias yuav 50-qhov taw tes taw tes ntawm plaub lub rooj sib tham Fed tom ntej, txog rau lub Kaum Ib Hlis.
Tab sis muaj qee qhov kev hu xov tooj rau hnub Wednesday rau Fed kom nce tus nqi los ntawm 75 lub hauv paus ntsiab lus rau hnub Wednesday. Kev lag luam yog tus nqi me me tab sis tsis yog qhov me me ntawm kev nce qib Fed tus nqi nce siab.
Qhov ntawd yuav yog qhov xav tsis thoob. Fed tus thawj coj Powell tau nyiam tshaj xov tooj txoj cai tswj hwm nyiaj txiag ua ntej. Fed cov tub ceev xwm tsis tau qhia tias qhov kev txav mus rau peb lub hlis twg yog qhov yuav tshwm sim. Qhov tseeb, Powell tau hais tom qab lub Tsib Hlis thaum ntxov lub rooj sib tham hais tias 75 lub hauv paus ntsiab lus tsis yog ib yam dab tsi uas cov neeg tsim cai tau "koom nrog xav."
Ib qho kev xaiv yuav yog rau lub tuam txhab nyiaj hauv nruab nrab kom ua raws li ib nrab-tus nqi nce mus rau lub lim tiam tom ntej no, tab sis nrog Fed tus thawj coj Powell qhia tias 75 cov ntsiab lus tseem ceeb nyob rau hauv lub rooj rau lub Xya Hli lig.
Dow Jones Hnub No
Dow Jones qhib yav tom ntej thaum 6 teev tsaus ntuj ET Hnub Sunday, nrog S&P 500 them rau yav tom ntej thiab Nasdaq 100 futures.
Nco ntsoov tias kev ua hmo ntuj hauv Dow yav tom ntej thiab lwm qhov tsis tas txhais mus rau hauv kev ua lag luam tiag tiag hauv qhov txuas ntxiv mus Tshuag lag luam kev sib ntsib.
Kev Tshawb Fawb Kev Lag Luam
Lub khw lag luam tau pib tawm lub lim tiam nyob rau hauv ib qho kev tsis ntev los no, tab sis tawg qis dua cov theem rau hnub Thursday nrog kev poob loj dua rau hnub Friday.
Dow Jones Industrial Nruab Nrab tau poob 4.6% hauv lub lim tiam dhau los kev ua lag luam Tshuag. S&P 500 Performance index skid 5.1%. Nasdaq composite poob 5.6%. Tus me-cap Russell 2000 muab 4.5%.
Lub 10-xyoo Treasury yield leapt 20 lub hauv paus ntsiab lus rau 3.16%, nce mus rau nws qib siab tshaj plaws txij li thaum lig 2018. Lub 2-xyoo Treasury yield, ntau ze khi rau Fed tus nqi txav, skyrocketed rau 3.07%, nce 25 lub hauv paus ntsiab lus rau hnub Friday ib leeg. . Qhov flattening yield nkhaus underscores stagflation ntshai.
US cov roj av yav tom ntej tau nce 1.5% rau $ 120.67 ib chim, nws qhov kev nce qib thib xya ncaj nraim txhua lub lim tiam.
Ntawm cov zoo tshaj ETFs, Innovator IBD 50 ETF (FFTY) poob 5.3% lub lim tiam dhau los, thaum Innovator IBD Breakout Opportunities ETF (END) rov qab 4.4%. Lub iShares nthuav dav Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) dov rov qab 5.9%, nrog Microsoft, Adobe thiab ORCL Tshuag tag nrho cov tuav tseem ceeb. Lub VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF (Smh) dhia 7.4%, nrog Nvidia cov khoom lag luam loj.
SPDR S&P Hlau & Mining ETF (XME) melted down 4.45% lub lim tiam dhau los. Ntiaj teb no X US Infrastructure Development ETF (PHOO) thim rov qab 5.6% down. Teb Chaws Asmeskas Ntiaj Teb Jets ETF (LUJ) nce 7.2%. SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (XHB) poob 5.8%. Lub Zog Xaiv SPDR ETF (XLE) poob 0.8% thiab Nyiaj Txiag Xaiv SPDR ETF (XLF6.8%.) Kev Kho Mob Xaiv Sector SPDR Fund (XLV) nce rov qab 3.3%. LLY Tshuag yog qhov loj XLV tuav.
Kev xav txog ntau-speculative story stocks, ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) poob 7.1% lub lim tiam dhau los thiab ARK Genomics ETF (ARKGYog ') 8.4%. Tesla Tshuag tseem yog tus tuav saum toj kawg nkaus hauv Ark Invest ETFs.
Tsib Qhov Zoo Tshaj Suav Suav Los Saib Tam Sim No
Cov Khoom Yuav Mus Saib
NetEase Tshuag, nrog rau EV tsim BYD (BYDDF) thiab Li Pib (LI), yog ib qho zoo tshaj plaws-zoo tshaj plaws hauv Asmeskas cov tuam txhab suav nrog, raws li cov npe no tau sib sau ua ke ob peb lub lis piam dhau los ntawm kev cia siab. NTES Tshuag tau nce 1.8% rau 105.65 rau hnub Friday. Shares hit 108.77 intraday, luv luv breaking saum 107.25 tuav buy point raws li zoo raws li cov tseem ceeb kuj theem cia li saum toj no 108. Lub mobile gaming giant yog nyob rau hauv ib tug loj consolidation rov qab mus rau lig Kaum ib hlis los yog Lub ob hlis ntuj 2021. txheeb ze zog kab rau NTES Tshuag yog ntawm 52-lub lim tiam siab.
Tuam Tshoj cov khoom lag luam tau rov qab los ntawm kev txo qis Covid kev txwv thiab kev tawm tsam hauv internet, tab sis qhov ntawd tuaj yeem hloov pauv sai. Yog tias koj siv Suav cov khoom lag luam ua "kev nyab xeeb," nws tsis yog kev lag luam zoo.
NOC Tshuag poob 3% rau 463.82 lub lim tiam dhau los, tab sis pom kev txhawb nqa ntawm nws 50-hnub kab rau hnub Friday. Shares ntawm kev tiv thaiv loj heev tshem tawm 477.36 khob-nrog-kov yuav taw tes rau lub Rau Hli 3, tab sis poob qis dua qhov nkag ntawm lub Rau Hli 8. Tseem, RS kab rau Northrop Tshuag yog qhov siab.
LLY Tshuag poob 1.5% lub lim tiam dhau los rau 297.01, tab sis poob 3.3% rau hnub Thursday thiab 2.1% Friday, kaw hauv qab nws 50-hnub kab. Shares cleared ib 314.10 flat-base yuav taw tes rau lub Tsib Hlis 27, tab sis poob rov qab rau qhov kev sib tham hauv qab no. RS kab rau Eli Lilly Tshuag tseem nyob ze rau qhov siab. Tab sis Eli Lilly tau tawm tsam nyuaj tsuas yog los tuav kev txhawb nqa, txawm hais tias txuas ntxiv cov ntaub ntawv tseem ceeb ntawm qhov yuav tshwm sim blockbuster kev rog rog.
ALB Tshuag poob 5.5% rau 236.87 lub lim tiam dhau los. Shares ntawm lub lithium loj yog rov qab rau hauv qab qhov pib thaum ntxov nyob ib ncig ntawm 248. Albemarle Tshuag tam sim no muaj ib tug kov mus nrog nws lub khob puag, muab nws ib tug official buy point ntawm 273.78, raws li zoo raws li MarketSmith tsom xam. Cov tub ua lag luam yuav siv 259.97, tsuas yog siab dua hnub Wednesday lub siab, raws li kev nkag mus rau thaum ntxov. Yam tsawg kawg ntawm daim ntawv qhia txhua lub lim tiam, ALB Tshuag zoo li yuav nruj me ntsis. Ib tus tuav ntev dua yuav muab sijhawm ntau rau kev txav nruab nrab kom ncav cuag.
ON Tshuag poob 4.45% rau 60.14 lub lim tiam dhau los, nrhiav kev txhawb nqa hnub Friday ntawm 21-hnub kab. Ntawm daim ntawv qhia txhua lub limtiam, tus chipmaker tam sim no muaj tus tuav nrog 67.29 qhov yuav khoom. Sab saum toj ntawm tus kov roughly kab nrog ib tug poob-saum trendline los ntawm Lub ib hlis ntuj 5 ncov. Ib tus kov ntev dua yuav muab qee lub sijhawm rau kev txav nruab nrab kom ncav cuag.
Kev ua lag luam Analysis
Lub khw lag luam pib tawm lub lim tiam tuav nyob rau hauv ib qho kev nruj nruj, nrog rau cov ntsiab lus tseem ceeb txuas ntxiv mus nrhiav kev txhawb nqa ntawm 21-hnub txav nruab nrab. Lub Russell 2000 thiab S&P MidCap 400 ob leeg tau txav siab tshaj lawv 50-hnub kab rau hnub Tuesday.
Hnub Wednesday, cov kev ntsuas tseem ceeb muaj ib hnub zoo sib xws, tab sis nws yog qhov hloov pauv. Ib tug xov tooj ntawm kev cog lus breakouts pib ua tsis tiav, feem ntau nyob rau hauv spectacular zam. Oceangoing shipping stocks dhia, nrog rau ob peb lwm sectors slumping. Russell 2000 thiab S&P MidCap poob qis dua lawv cov kab 50-hnub.
Kev muag khoom hauv cov khoom lag luam tseem ceeb txuas ntxiv rau hnub Thursday, thaum cov ntsiab lus tseem ceeb tau tawg hauv qab lawv cov kab 21-hnub. Qhov kev nqis tes ua nyob rau hauv cov ntsiab lus tseem ceeb thiab cov thawj coj ua lag luam ua rau muaj kev txav mus rau "kev nce siab nyob rau hauv siab" tom qab hnub Thursday qhov kev txiav txim.
Hnub Friday, tom qab ceeb toom CPI kev nce nqi, cov txiaj ntsig loj tau muag tawm nyuaj dua.
Lub Nasdaq composite kaw hauv qab qhov qis ntawm nws lub Tsib Hlis 26 ua raws li hnub. Qhov no yog ib qho tseem ceeb, vim hais tias kev tshawb fawb los ntawm Eric Krull qhia tau hais tias thaum indexes ua qhov no, muaj 90% lub caij nyoog uas lub lag luam yuav kawg undercut nws lows.
S&P 500 thiab Dow tau kaw zoo hauv qab lawv lub Tsib Hlis 26 qis. Cov indexes yeej tsis tau ua raws li hnub dhau los, txawm li cas los xij. S&P 500 tau kos nws qhov phem tshaj nyob ze hauv 14 lub hlis.
Raws li tsis zoo raws li qhov loj indexes saib tam sim no, qhov kev txiav txim ntawm cov khoom lag luam tseem ceeb heev
Cov khoom lag luam hluav taws xob yog ib qho kev lag luam uas tau tuav zoo hauv 2022, tab sis LNG kev ua si tau poob loj rau lub lim tiam dhau los no. Lwm qhov yuav yog cov thawj coj, suav nrog cov hlau, cov neeg xa khoom, cov tuam txhab mus ncig thiab kev ua yeeb yam tshuaj lom neeg tau txais kev poob qis.
Cov khoom lag luam loj hlob, nrog Onsemi qhov tshwj xeeb tsis tshua muaj, tab tom saib txaus ntshai tam sim no. Nws tsis paub meej yog tias AAPL Tshuag, Microsoft lossis Tesla yuav ua tus thawj coj ua lag luam rau qee lub sijhawm. Nws yog qhov tseeb tias lawv tsis yog cov thawj coj ua lag luam tam sim no.
Lub Sijhawm Kev Ua Lag Luam Nrog IBD Txoj Haujlwm Kev Ua Lag Luam ETF
Ua Dab Tsi Tam Sim No
Muaj kev pheej hmoo siab tias qhov kev ntsuas tseem ceeb yuav ua rau qis dua qis dua tsis ntev los no, ua rau ib tshooj tshiab hauv zaj dab neeg dais.
Cov tub ua lag luam yuav tsum tau txo qhov raug. Kev ua lag luam, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog nyob rau hauv cov khoom lag luam, tau qaug zog. Yog tias koj muaj cov khoom lag luam uas ua haujlwm, koj tuaj yeem xaiv dai rau lawv. Tab sis muab kev hloov pauv ntawm kev ua lag luam thiab qhov hnyav, tam sim ntawd muag tawm hauv ntau lwm cov khoom lag luam sab saum toj, cov tub ua lag luam yuav xav tau tsawg kawg xav txog kev noj cov txiaj ntsig ib nrab.
Cov neeg lag luam yuav tsum tau kho lawv cov npe saib dua. Nrog ntau daim duab qauv puas lossis tawg, tsom rau cov khoom lag luam nrog cov txheeb ze muaj zog, xws li Northrop, Lilly thiab Albemarle. Tej zaum yuav muaj sijhawm ntau rau cov kab kos kom rov zoo dua.
nyeem Daim Duab Loj txhua txhua hnub nyob rau hauv sync nrog kev ua lag luam kev taw qhia thiab ua lag luam thiab cov sectors.
Thov ua raws li Ed Carson ntawm Twitter ntawm @IBD_ECarson rau cov khoom lag luam hloov tshiab thiab ntau dua.
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Tau qhov twg los: https://www.investors.com/market-trend/stock-market-today/dow-jones-futures-stock-market-flashes-bearish-signals-what-to-do/?src=A00220&yptr=yahoo