Dow Falls 500 Cov ntsiab lus raws li cov kws tshaj lij sib cav seb puas yog Tshuag Lag Luam yuav tsoo dua sai sai

Tojsiab

Lub khw lag luam poob rau hnub Monday raws li cov tub ua lag luam sib cav seb puas yog lub khw muag khoom sib tw uas rub cov indexes loj npaum li 20% txij lub Kaum Hli lows tau xaus rau qhov kawg, nrog qee qhov kwv yees tias Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve cov paj laum tsis tu ncua yuav tsuas ua teeb meem loj dua rau yav tas los. cov tuam txhab tawm tsam - thiab tshwj xeeb yog cov hauv kev siv tshuab.

Cov Lus Tseem Ceeb

Dow Jones Industrial Nruab Nrab poob 482 cov ntsiab lus, lossis 1.4%, rau 33,947 hnub Monday, thaum S&P 500 thiab tech-heavy Nasdaq poob 1.8% thiab 1.9%, feem.

Kev muag khoom tau khaws cov nthwv dej tom qab cov ntaub ntawv thaum sawv ntxov tau pom tias Asmeskas cov kev pabcuam kev pabcuam tau poob siab rau lub hli dhau los ua tsaug rau kev nce siab hauv kev ua lag luam thiab kev ua haujlwm, raws li mus rau Lub Tsev Haujlwm Saib Xyuas Kev Tswj Xyuas Khoom Muag - qhia tias Fed muaj chaw txias rau kev lag luam nrog kev nce nqi ntxiv txhawm rau txhawm rau txhim kho kev nce nqi.

Oanda tus kws tshuaj ntsuam Edward Moya tau hais hauv email, ceeb toom tias "cov xov xwm kev lag luam zoo yog xov xwm tsis zoo rau cov khoom lag luam" vim tias nws ua rau muaj kev pheej hmoo siab uas Fed tus nqi nce mus ntxiv mus rau xyoo tom ntej - cov khoom lag luam tseem poob Hnub Friday tom qab muaj zog qhia cov haujlwm ntxiv rau qhov tsis paub tseeb.

Nyob rau hauv ib tsab ntawv ceeb toom rau cov neeg siv khoom, Morgan Stanley tus kws tshuaj ntsuam xyuas Michael Wilson, uas raug hu kom pib lub lag luam dais rally rau lub lis piam dhau los, ceeb toom tias cov paj laum nce ntxiv tseem ua rau muaj kev pheej hmoo rau cov neeg tau txais txiaj ntsig hauv peb lub hlis tom ntej - tshwj xeeb tshaj yog rau kev siv tshuab thiab cov neeg siv khoom- Cov lag luam taw qhia uas yog keeb kwm feem ntau muaj kev cuam tshuam rau cov neeg siv khoom tsis muaj zog.

Txawm hais tias tag nrho cov kev poob qis, Wilson tau hais txog ib qho "qhov zoo uas tsis tuaj yeem tsis quav ntsej": Txawm hais tias yav dhau los tech darlings yuav raug mob hnyav, Wilson ntseeg tias qhov nruab nrab cov khoom lag luam "zoo li yuav tsis" poob qis tshiab rau xyoo tom ntej, raws li muaj pov thawj los ntawm ntau dua 60% ntawm cov khoom lag luam hauv S&P kev lag luam siab tshaj lawv tus nqi nruab nrab hauv 200 hnub dhau los.

Dab Tsi Los Saib

Fed tsab ntawv tshaj tawm cov paj laum tom ntej yog teem rau lub Kaum Ob Hlis 14. Goldman Sachs cov kws lag luam kwv yees kwv yees ib nrab-point nce mus rau lub hlis tom ntej, ua raws li peb lub hlis twg-taw tes mus rau xyoo tom ntej. Qhov ntawd yuav thawb tus nqi qiv nyiaj sab saum toj mus rau 5.25% - qib siab tshaj txij li xyoo 2007; Txawm li cas los xij, cov ntaub ntawv kev lag luam tuaj yeem qis dua - lossis nce - cov kev kwv yees no.

Kev Nkag Siab Hais

"Qhov no feem ntau yog li cas dais kev lag luam xaus-nrog cov darlings ntawm lub xeem bull [kev ua lag luam] thaum kawg underperforming mus rau lub degree uas yog commensurate nrog lawv outperformance thaum lub sij hawm ua lag luam bull," hais tias Wilson ntawm tech qhov kev cia siab underperformance xyoo tom ntej.

Tus Keeb Kwm Tseem Ceeb

Cov khoom lag luam tau sib sau ua ke txij li lub Kaum Hli tab sis tseem tab tom ntsib kev poob qis dua ob tus lej feem pua. S&P poob qis 17% xyoo no, thaum tech-heavy Nasdaq tau poob 29%. Hauv tsab ntawv ceeb toom rau hnub Thursday, JPMorgan cov kws tshuaj ntsuam coj los ntawm Dubravko Lakos-Bujas tau tshaj tawm qhov kev kwv yees zoo sib xws rau Morgan Stanley, kwv yees tias S&P yuav "rov ntsuas xyoo no qis dua" hauv thawj ib nrab ntawm 2023 nrog rau lwm qhov 14% poob. Lub tsev txhab nyiaj tau hais txog "cov lus pov thawj snowball" ntawm cov nqi qiv nyiaj siab, kev poob qis hauv cov neeg siv khoom txuag thiab nce nyiaj poob haujlwm uas yuav ua rau kev ua lag luam tsis zoo.

ntxiv nyeem ntawv

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