Dow Falls 400 Cov Ntsiab Lus Tom Qab Fed Tus Thawj Saib Xyuas Kev Ceeb Toom Cov Ntaub Ntawv Kub Kub Ua Haujlwm Raws li 'Cautionary Tale'

Tojsiab

Cov khoom lag luam tau poob rau hauv thaj chaw tsis zoo rau lub hli rau hnub Thursday tom qab cov ntaub ntawv qhia cov nqi them ntawm cov neeg tsim khoom tau nce ntau dua li qhov xav tau nyob rau lub Ib Hlis - ua rau muaj kev pheej hmoo tias kev nce nyiaj yuav tsum tsis txhob poob qis txawm tias tseem tshuav zoo dua li keeb kwm lees paub.

Cov Lus Tseem Ceeb

Dow Jones kev lag luam nruab nrab poob 431 cov ntsiab lus, lossis 1.3%, mus rau tsawg dua 33,700 rau hnub Thursday, raws li S&P 500 thiab tech-heavy Nasdaq poob 1.4% thiab 1.8%, raws li - kev poob uas hnyav zuj zus tom qab tus nqi tsim khoom lag luam, ib qho tom ntej- nrhiav qhov ntsuas ntsuas kev nce nqi ntawm cov neeg tsim khoom, tuaj hauv kub ntau dua li qhov xav tau thiab tau nce siab tshaj plaws txij li lub Rau Hli.

Raws li Lub Tsev Haujlwm Saib Xyuas Kev Ua Haujlwm, cov nqi them rau Asmeskas cov neeg tsim khoom tau nce 0.7% nyob rau ib hlis raws li cov nqi hluav taws xob tau nce ntxiv thaum Lub Ib Hlis - dhau qhov kev kwv yees ntawm 0.4% nce tom qab cov nqi poob 0.2% thaum Lub Kaum Ob Hlis.

Hauv email, Comerica Wealth Management tus thawj coj ua lag luam John Lynch tau hais tias cov ntaub ntawv "qhia qhov yooj yim kev sib ntaus sib tua tiv thaiv tus nqi siab tau yeej," thiab hais tias txoj kev mus rau theem kev nce nqi ib txwm yuav ua pov thawj nyuaj - tshwj xeeb tshaj yog txij li lub hli tas los cov neeg siv khoom lag luam daim ntawv qhia. kuj tuaj kub ntau tshaj qhov xav tau.

Ntxiv rau kev txhawj xeeb ntawm cov tub lag luam, Cleveland Fed Thawj Tswj Hwm Loretta Mester rau hnub Thursday txais nws pom qhov "tseem ceeb" rooj plaub rau kev nce qib ib nrab ntawm lub hlis dhau los, ntau dua li lub quarter-point hike thaum kawg tau tso cai, hais tias nws zoo siab tos txais qhov kev hloov pauv hauv kev nyeem ntawv nyiaj txiag txij li lub caij ntuj sov dhau los tab sis ceeb toom, "Cov theem ntawm kev nce nqi tseem ceeb, thiab nws tseem siab dhau lawm. "

Fed tus neeg ua haujlwm tu siab tias Lub Tsev Haujlwm Saib Xyuas Kev Ua Haujlwm rau hnub Tuesday tau tshaj tawm cov nqi nce 6.4% xyoo dhau los thiab qhia tag nrho kev nce nqi nce ntxiv nyob rau ib hlis - ua haujlwm raws li "cov lus ceeb toom tiv thaiv qhov xaus sai sai" tias kev nce nqi yog nyob ntawm txoj kev txhawb nqa rov qab mus rau Fed's. keeb kwm lub hom phiaj ntawm 2%.

Tus Keeb Kwm Tseem Ceeb

Nyob rau hauv cov ntaub ntawv cov neeg siv khoom siv thiab kev tsis txaus siab ntawm cov khoom lag luam-chaw txwv, kev nce nqi nce mus rau 40-xyoo siab ntawm 9.1% nyob rau lub Rau Hli - yuam Fed los pib rau nws txoj kev lag luam nruj tshaj plaws hauv ntau xyoo lawm. Nrog rau kev nce nyiaj hauv tuam txhab nyiaj hauv tuam txhab lag luam qeeb qeeb ntawm kev lag luam, ntau tus kws tshaj lij tau sib cav tias Fed tuaj yeem ua rau muaj kev pheej hmoo rau kev lag luam tsis tsim nyog, tab sis nce ntxiv, lwm tus tau ceeb toom tias kev nce nqi tuaj yeem nyob rau hauv keeb kwm qib siab ntev dua li qhov xav tau lossis txawm tias rov tshwm sim dua. "Kev nruj nruj ua rau muaj kev pheej hmoo tias kev nce nyiaj yuav [tseem] nyob twj ywm siab dua peb lub hom phiaj - ua rau cov nqi luv luv thiab ntev rau cov tsev neeg thiab kev lag luam," Mester tau hais rau hnub Thursday.

Dab Tsi Los Saib

Fed tsab ntawv tshaj tawm cov paj laum tom ntej yog teem rau lub Peb Hlis 22. Goldman Sachs economists project lub hauv paus tsev txhab nyiaj yuav xa peb lub quarter-point hikes ntawm nws ob lub rooj sib tham tom ntej thiab tom qab ntawd tuav cov paj laum saum toj kawg nkaus ntawm 5.25%, qib siab tshaj txij li xyoo 2007, rau qhov seem ntawm xyoo. Txawm li cas los xij, tam sim ntawd tom qab hnub Thursday cov ntaub ntawv, kev lag luam pib tus nqi hauv qhov muaj peev xwm nce txog plaub tus nqi nce xyoo no.

ntxiv nyeem ntawv

Kev nce nqi poob mus rau 6.4% Lub Ib Hlis - Tab sis tseem tseem phem dua li cov kws lag luam xav tau raws li kev xauj tsev, zaub mov thiab roj nqi nce ntxiv (Forbes)

Kev Lag Luam Lag Luam nyuam qhuav ua qhov 'Ib qho yuam kev ib zaug ntxiv'-Ntawm no yog vim li cas cov kws tshaj lij txhawj xeeb txog qhov tseeb Rally (Forbes)

Tau qhov twg los: https://www.forbes.com/sites/jonathanponciano/2023/02/16/dow-falls-400-points-after-fed-official-warns-hot-inflation-data-serves-as-cautionary- zaj dab neeg/