13:24 THIAB - Tsis muaj zog tshaj li qhov kev cia siab CPI tau hloov pauv kev lag luam pom ntawm Fed tus nqi nce ntxiv rau xyoo tom ntej lossis yog li ntawd, Bruce Clark, tus kws tshaj lij macro loj ntawm IGM, qhia WSJ, nrog rau lub sijhawm ntawm 75bp nce kev lag luam. qis dua nag hmo. Clark hais tias "Kev ua lag luam tseem tab tom lees paub qhov kev xav ntawm Fed pivot rau kev txiav cov nqi hauv ib nrab xyoo tom ntej," Clark hais. Cov nyiaj daus las tau nce txhua xyoo ntawm qhov kev cia siab ntawm kev nce nqi thiab tus nqi sib txawv ntawm Teb Chaws Asmeskas thiab feem ntau lwm thaj chaw, uas tau nthuav dav, nws hais tias, tab sis tam sim no "duas yog undercut los ntawm qhov tseeb tias tej zaum peb tau pom lub ncov. hauv cov nqi. " WSJ Dollar Index poob 1.3%, thiab duas yog 1.1% tsis muaj zog tiv thaiv euro thiab 2% tsis muaj zog tiv thaiv yen. ([email tiv thaiv]; @jonvuocolo)
Dollar hauv Freefall raws li CPI Qhia Slowing Inflation
12:10 THIAB - ICE US Dollar Index poob 1.3% raws li Lub Xya Hli CPI cov ntaub ntawv qhia tias kev nce nqi nce zuj zus. Qhov ntsuas tau poob qis tshaj plaws txij li Lub Rau Hli thiab ua ntej pib ua lag luam ntawm nws qhov qis tshaj plaws txij li lub Peb Hlis 2020. "Tus duas yog nyob rau hauv freefall," Oanda's
Edward Moob
hais rau WSJ. "Cov neeg ua lag luam tau ntseeg tias Fed yuav muaj lub voj voog qeeb qeeb dua tam sim no." Tus kws tshuaj ntsuam xyuas kev lag luam loj hauv Asmeskas tau hais tias cov lej niaj hnub no yog "xov xwm zoo rau cov khoom muaj nqis pheej hmoo thiab yuav ua rau muaj kev cia siab tiag tiag tias qhov sib txawv ntawm cov paj laum yuav txuas ntxiv mus rau nws qhov kev nyiam, thiab tam sim no koj muaj kev lag luam. yog xav paub ntau ntxiv txog kev lag luam…. Qhov saum toj kawg nkaus ntawm cov nyiaj tuaj yeem nyob hauv qhov chaw tam sim no yog tias kev nce nyiaj nce ntxiv zuj zus. " ([email tiv thaiv]; @jonvuocolo)
Post-Inflation txav hauv duas, US Tshuag tuaj yeem ua pov thawj luv
1423 GMT - Cov nyiaj daus las poob qis thiab kev sib tw hauv Asmeskas cov khoom lag luam tom qab hnub Wednesday qis dua qhov kev cia siab ntawm US cov ntaub ntawv nyiaj txiag yuav tsis kav ntev, Saxo Markets hais. "Ob qho kev txav no tuaj yeem ua neej nyob luv yog tias kev ua lag luam rov qab los rau Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve-ib lub hlis ntawm cov ntaub ntawv yuav tsis hloov lawv qhov kev ntxhov siab tam sim no vim nws sawv los ntawm nws lub luag haujlwm kom yuam kev nce nqi," Saxo tus tub luam muag Mike Owens hais hauv ib daim ntawv. Teb Chaws Asmeskas kev nce nyiaj tau nce mus rau ib xyoos twg ntawm 8.5% hauv Lub Xya Hli los ntawm 9.1% hauv Lub Rau Hli thaum tseem ceeb nyiaj txiag tuav ntawm 5.9%. DXY duas index poob 1.3% mus rau ze li ntawm 6 lub lis piam qis ntawm 104.911. EUR / USD nce 1.1% rau 1.0331 tom qab ua ntej tsoo tsib lub lis piam siab ntawm 1.0345, raws li FactSet. ([email tiv thaiv])
Dollar Weakens ntawm Inflation Data
0912 ET - Cov nyiaj daus las poob tom qab qis dua li kev cia siab rau lub Xya Hli kev nce nqi. Lub DXY poob qis 1.3% raws li cov nyiaj rov qab tsis muaj zog tiv thaiv txhua qhov txiaj ntsig loj, suav nrog 1.5% piv rau yen, 1.1% piv rau euro thiab phaus thiab 1.3% rau Australian duas. Qhov tseem ceeb CPI ntsuas tau nce 5.9% hauv 12 lub hlis txog rau Lub Xya Hli, tib yam li tau sau tseg rau lub Rau Hli, thaum cov kws lag luam xav tias yuav nce mus txog 6.1%. Yog tias cov ntaub ntawv ntxiv tau lees paub tias kev nce nqi nce siab, Fed tuaj yeem nce siab dua los ntawm 50 cov ntsiab lus hauv lub hlis tom ntej, tsis yog lwm qhov kev nce qib 75bp, uas tuaj yeem txo kev txhawb nqa rau US duas. ([email tiv thaiv]; @ptrevisani)
Swedish Krona tuaj yeem tawm tsam kom nce siab
1014 GMT - Swedish krona tuaj yeem tawm tsam kom nce cov khoom lag luam nyob ze txawm tias Riksbank nce tus nqi paj,
hais tias. "Lub Riksbank tau nyob ntawm SEK lub xyoo no, tab sis rau SEK kom ntxiv dag zog rau lub ntsiab lus los ntawm qhov no, peb kuj xav tau qhov kev txaus siab txaus ntshai thiab tsis muaj zog USD," BofA cov kws tshuaj ntsuam hais. "Peb tseem tsis tau muaj." Txawm li cas los xij, tseem muaj qee qhov kev txaus siab rau krona kom txaus siab rau cov nyiaj euro raws li Riksbank muaj qhov txiaj ntsig zoo ntawm kev lag luam nyiaj txiag ntau dua li European Central Bank thiab tsis muaj kev pheej hmoo ntawm kev tawg thaum Sweden lub zog kev vam khom thiab lub zog sib xyaw muaj txiaj ntsig zoo dua li cov eurozone, cov kws tshuaj ntsuam hais tias. BofA cia siab tias EUR / SEK yuav poob rau 10.00 thaum lub xyoo xaus los ntawm 10.3758 tam sim no. ([email tiv thaiv])
Norwegian Krone Pom zoo li tsis muaj nqis, Cia siab tias yuav sawv
0945 GMT - Norwegian krone tseem tsis muaj nqis txawm hais tias nws qhov kev sib tw thaum Lub Xya Hli tab sis zoo li yuav muaj zog ntxiv ntxiv vim tias cov nqi hluav taws xob tseem nce siab thiab kev lag luam underestimate Norges Bank txoj cai nruj, Bank of America hais. "Peb cia siab tias Norges Bank yuav nce tus nqi mus rau 3% xyoo tom ntej - kev lag luam tus nqi qis qis dua [nruab nrab] tus nqi tab sis muaj kev thauj khoom ntau dua," BofA cov kws tshuaj ntsuam tau hais hauv tsab ntawv. "Rau cov laj thawj no, nrog rau txhawm rau tiv thaiv kev cuam tshuam hluav taws xob ntxiv hauv Tebchaws Europe, peb tau muab tso rau qis dua EUR / NOK nrog rau 6 lub hlis qab ntug." BofA cia siab tias EUR / NOK yuav poob rau 9.70 thaum lub xyoo xaus thiab mus rau 9.50 los ntawm Lub Peb Hlis 2023, los ntawm 9.8957 tam sim no. ([email tiv thaiv])
Euro Zoo li nyob tsis muaj zog Vs duas
0921 GMT - Cov nyiaj euro tseem tsis muaj zog tiv thaiv tus duas thiab tsis zoo li yuav muaj qhov yuam kev los yuav tus khub txiaj, ING hais tias. Kev txiav txim siab txog qhov ntsuas nruab nrab ntawm lub sijhawm qhia tau hais tias EUR / USD tsis yog qhov tshwj xeeb qis thiab cov teb chaws Europe raug cuam tshuam ntau dua rau cov xwm txheej ntawm thaj chaw muaj kev pheej hmoo ntau dua li North America, ING tus kws tshuaj ntsuam
Chris Turner
hais nyob rau hauv ib daim ntawv. Qhov tsis muaj cov ntaub ntawv tseem ceeb ntawm European kev lag luam hnub Wednesday txhais tau tias EUR / USD yuav raug tsav los ntawm US cov ntaub ntawv nce nqi ntawm 1230 GMT, nws hais. "Kev poob qis ntawm qhov tsis txaus ntseeg qhia tias cov tub ua lag luam yuav tsis muaj lub siab xav mus caum EUR / USD tawm ntawm 1.0100-1.0300 ntau yam nyob ze." Implied volatility yog ib qho kev ntsuas ntawm qhov xav tau tus nqi hloov pauv raws li kev xaiv tus nqi. EUR / USD nce 0.1% rau 1.0221. ([email tiv thaiv])
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Tau qhov twg los: https://www.wsj.com/articles/asian-currencies-mixed-ahead-of-us-cpi-report-11660097075?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo