Kev ua lag luam Tshuag
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Yuav ua li cas yog lub caj dab-breaking roller coaster nyob rau hauv Tshuag?
Hnub Tuesday dhau los, cov khoom lag luam tau tsoo ib lub hlis ntev kev poob qis thiab tau pib mus rau hauv qhov rov qab los. Tshaj li ib lub lim tiam, S&P 500 tau nce 5.1%, tech-heavy Nasdaq dhia 6.3%, thiab Dow tau nce 3.9%.
Tab sis tom qab ntawd, hnub Tuesday no, cov tsheb thauj khoom lag luam tau tig ntawm 90-degree lub kaum ntse ntse thiab ua rau poob qis dua - tshem tawm $ 1.5 trillion hauv ib hnub.
Zooming tawm
Dab tsi yog xa cov khoom lag luam los ntawm cov nqes hav no? Cov lus teb luv luv: Kev nce nqi, lossis kev cia siab nyob ib puag ncig nws.
Ib qho qhia tau hais tias qhov kev pab txhawb nqa zoo kawg nkaus ua ke nrog kev coj mus rau Lub Yim Hli CPI tso tawm, uas tau tawm los rau hnub Tuesday yav dhau los. Thiab ua ntej nws, economists tau tuag ntseeg tias kev nce nqi yuav qeeb, yog tias tsis muaj lwm yam vim li cas poob nqi roj.
Tab sis nws tsis yog lub Yim Hli CPI xwb. Ob peb lub lis piam dhau los, muaj ob peb qhov seismic macro kev txhim kho muab kev cia siab tias qhov kev ntshai loj tshaj plaws rau lub caij ntuj no yuav tsis tuaj yeem tshwm sim, lossis ua rau muaj qhov tsawg dua li qhov kev ntshai.
Rau qhov pib, sab hnub poob cov tub rog txhawb nqa rau Ukraine tab tom pib txi txiv.
Lub lim tiam dhau los no, Ukrainian tub rog tau teeb tsa phau ntawv keeb kwm tsim nyog rau kev tawm tsam, tso thaj av 2400 sq. mais ntawm thaj av, rov qab tswj hwm Kharkiv, nws lub nroog thib ob loj tshaj plaws, thiab thawb cov tub rog Lavxias dhau los ntawm kev ua tsov rog tseem ceeb hauv ntej. Ukraine txoj kev nce qib muaj kev cia siab tias Russia yuav raug thawb mus rau qee yam kev daws teeb meem.
Rau lawv feem, Tebchaws Europe cov kev lag luam loj tau kos npe tawm ntawm qhov tsis tau muaj dua li $ 375 nphom hauv kev siv nyiaj txiag kom khov tus nqi hluav taws xob.
Lub teb chaws Yelemees nthuav tawm pob $ 65 billion ($ 315 nphom hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas cov nqe lus kev lag luam) thiab UK tau cog lus tias yuav siv lub siab-boggling $ 150 nphom hauv 18 lub hlis tom ntej (sib npaug ntawm $ 1 trillion hauv Asmeskas kev lag luam). Txoj kev siv nyiaj txiag rau qhov teebmeem ntawm lub zog no yog xov xwm zoo rau cov khoom lag luam vim nws yuav tsis yog cov neeg siv khoom lossis cov lag luam uas dais feem ntau ntawm cov nqi hluav taws xob tawg, nws yuav yog Tsoom fwv.
Tau kawg, cov billions ntawm euros tsis yog noj su dawb. Lawv yog qhov sib ntxiv loj heev rau cov nyiaj tsis txaus thiab tuaj kub ntawm pob taws ntawm Covid kev siv nyiaj, uas ua rau cov lus nug ntawm tsoomfwv cov nuj nqis tsis muaj txiaj ntsig. Tab sis hav, qhov ntawd yog ib qho teeb meem rau lwm hnub.
Qhov ntawd tau hais tias, Lub Yim Hli CPI tau tawm rau hnub Tuesday thiab poob tawm tag nrho cov xov xwm zoo no. Contrary to the projection fall, inflation, inflation, inflation, 0.1% ib hlis dhau ib hlis txawm hais tias tus nqi roj poob qis. Thiab peb rov qab los ntawm nws dua.
saib tom hauv ntej
Tseem nyuaj qhia qhov twg lub khw lag luam yuav coj mus rau qhov kawg ntawm lub xyoo.
Ntawm ib sab, koj tau txais kev ntseeg siab heev thiab kev tiv thaiv qhov chaw. Piv txwv li, ib qho ntawm cov ntsuas kev xav tau tshaj plaws, BofA's Bull thiab Dais Index, yog nyob ntawm xoom (uas yog, koj tsis tuaj yeem qis dua qhov ntawd).
Lub paranoia yog tshwm sim nyob rau hauv loj heev outflows los ntawm stocks. Nyob rau lub lim tiam ntawm Sep 7, cov tub ua lag luam rub $ 10.8 billion los ntawm Asmeskas cov khoom lag luam, raws li BofA cov ntaub ntawv. Qhov ntawd yog qhov kev khiav tawm loj tshaj plaws hauv 12 lub lis piam.
Tsis tas li ntawd xwb, cov khoom lag luam tsis tau pom muaj qhov ntws (net) dhau ib nrab xyoo dhau los.
Qhov kev tiv thaiv zoo li no yog ib qho ntawm cov teeb meem tseem ceeb ntawm BofA thiab JPmorgan cov kws tshaj lij ua lag luam. Raws li BofA wittily lub npe nws Lub Xya Hli Ntiaj Teb Nyiaj Txiag Tus Thawj Saib Xyuas Kev Tshawb Fawb, "Kuv poob qis heev, Kuv muaj siab tawv."
Ntawm qhov tod tes, nrog kev ua tsov rog Ukraine tseem tsis tau daws thiab lub caij txias pib, muaj kev pheej hmoo tiag tiag ntawm lub zog keeb kwm yuav ua rau muaj kev puas tsuaj loj hauv Tebchaws Europe, uas yuav dhau mus thoob ntiaj teb.
Nyob rau hauv qhov xwm txheej ntawd, khi rau qhov kev tawm tsam ntawm kev hloov kho nyiaj poob qis thiab rog "Kuv tau hais rau koj li ntawd" los ntawm Morgan Stanley's
Nyob ua ntej ntawm kev lag luam tiam sis nrog Tib lub sij hawm hauv Markets
Txhua txhua hnub, kuv muab ib zaj dab neeg piav qhia txog dab tsi yog tsav lub khw. Sau npe ntawm no kom tau txais kuv qhov kev txheeb xyuas thiab cov khoom khaws cia hauv koj lub inbox.
Source: https://www.forbes.com/sites/danrunkevicius/2022/09/16/devastating-recession–15-trillion-wipeout-in-stock-market-can-be-just-the-beginning-as-sp-500-nasdaq-and-dow-nosedive/