Cov neeg feem coob yuav tsis xav saib ntau dhau ntawm lawv cov khoom lag luam hauv xyoo 2022, tab sis tsis yog txhua tus tau muaj lub xyoo nyuaj.
Ua kom siv tau zoo ntawm UK kev lag luam kev tsis sib haum xeeb, Crispin Odey's hedge fund tau muaj qhov zoo. Qhov tseeb, nrog rov qab los ntawm qhov hnyav 193% xyoo dhau los, nws tau yog ib xyoo sau tseg rau cov nyiaj.
Yuav ua li cas lub hedge fund tycoon ua nws? Rau qhov loj, los ntawm kev mus luv luv rau UK daim ntawv cog lus thiab cov phaus Askiv, qhov kev hloov pauv tau zoo xav txog cov phaus poob txawm tias nyob rau lub Cuaj Hli tom qab tus Thawj Kav Tebchaws Liz Truss tshiab thiab Chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng tau nthuav tawm lawv cov phiaj xwm kev tsis sib haum xeeb los thawb ua ntej nrog kev txiav se tsis pub nyiaj rau lub muaj nyiaj.
Tsis yog txhua yam yog luv luv ua si rau Odey, txawm li cas los xij. Muaj qee cov khoom lag luam Odey ntxiv rau nws cov ntaub ntawv thaum lub sijhawm 1H22, uas nws pom tseeb muaj kev cia siab siab. Nrog kev pab los ntawm cov TipRanks database, peb tuaj yeem pom yog tias muaj kev pom zoo dav dav nrog cov kev xaiv no hauv Wall Street cov kws tshuaj ntsuam hauv zej zog. Yog li, cia peb dhia dej.
Peabody Zog Corporation (BTU)
Muab nws cov txiaj ntsig ntawm kev hloov pauv huab cua, thee hnub raug suav, puas yog? Qhia rau cov uas txhawb Peabody Zog; Hauv kev ua lag luam raug ntaus mus rau ib lub paj hauv xyoo 2022, BTU shares tau nce los ntawm 166% loj heev ntawm lub xyoo dhau los.
Qhov no pure-play thee miner nrog loj, zoo tshaj plaws nyob rau hauv-chav kawm ua hauj lwm nyob rau hauv lub US thiab Australia yog lub ntiaj teb no tsis yog-tsoom fwv teb chaws tus tswv loj tshaj cov thee tsim thiab mas muab cov thee rau steel makers, industrial sector, thiab hluav taws xob generators. Raws li qhov kawg ntawm xyoo tas los, nws muaj feem cuam tshuam hauv 17 lub tuam txhab thee mining hauv Australia thiab Tebchaws Meskas, nrog rau kwv yees li 450,000 daim av uas nws muaj lossis xauj, ntxiv rau thaj tsam 2.5 billion tons ntawm thee reserves.
Lub tuam txhab thee mining tau txais txiaj ntsig zoo los ntawm kev nce nqi roj av thiab cov nqi hluav taws xob uas tau pom muaj kev xav tau ntau ntxiv rau lwm qhov chaw siv hluav taws xob, thee suav nrog, txawm tias nws ib puag ncig ua rau muaj kev lees paub. Tib lub sijhawm, US cov nqi thee tau ntaus cov ntaub ntawv siab.
Qhov kev thov nce siab yog qhov tseeb los ntawm Q2 cov nyiaj tau los nqa; cov kab saum toj kawg nkaus tau nce los ntawm 82.5% xyoo dhau los rau $ 1.32 billion. Tsis tas li ntawd, cov nyiaj khwv tau los ntawm qhov poob ntawm $ 28.6 lab, lossis $ 0.28 ib feem, hauv Q2 xyoo tas los, rau cov nyiaj tau los ntawm $ 409.5 lab, uas txhais mus rau $ 2.54 ib feem.
Tshaj tawm nws txoj kev ntseeg siab hauv BTU zaj dab neeg, Odey cov nyiaj tau txais txoj haujlwm tshiab, snapping txog 1.73 lab shares. Tus nqi ntawm qhov kev ntxiv tshiab no? Ntau tshaj $47.7 lab.
Qhov ntawd yog hom kev txav uas yuav ua rau muaj kev nkag siab rau Jefferies kws tshuaj ntsuam Christopher LaFemina, leej twg sau tseg tias cov miners thee yuav tsum khaws cov khoom plig ntawm kev hloov pauv hauv thaj chaw macro.
"Cov thee yog qhov zoo tshaj plaws hauv kev mining raws li cov nqi hluav taws xob yuav tsum tau nce siab (thiab tej zaum yuav mus siab dua nyob rau hauv cov thev naus laus zis thev naus laus zis) vim huab cua, cov khoom lag luam sib tw, thiab thermal thee reemergence hauv ntiaj teb lub zog sib xyaw," LaFemina piav qhia. "Peabody tau npaj kom tau txais txiaj ntsig zoo vim tias lub tuam txhab muaj cov thev naus laus zis thev naus laus zis tshaj plaws ntawm Asmeskas cov thee miners hauv peb cov kev pabcuam los ntawm cov npoo dav... cov kev sib tw yuav tsum yooj yim. "
Raws li, LaFemina tus nqi BTU koom nrog Kev Yuav, thaum nws tus nqi $ 36 lub hom phiaj ua kom muaj chaw ntxiv ntawm 30%. (Saib xyuas LaFemina cov ntaub ntawv taug qab, nias ntawm no)
Saib ntawm qhov kev pom zoo sib cais, ib tus kws tshuaj ntsuam tseem nyob ntawm sab nraud, tab sis 2 lwm tus koom nrog LaFemina hauv lub bull-camp, muab cov khoom lag luam no nrog Strong Buy consensus rating. (Saib BTU Tshuag forecast ntawm TipRanks)
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holding (OLLI)
Yog tias Odey tab tom ua thawj koom ruam loj ntawm cov thee, qhov txuas ntxiv tshiab rau nws cov ntaub ntawv yog qhov sib txawv kiag li.
Ollie's yog lub khw muag khoom pheej yig uas muab cov khoom lag luam npe ntawm cov nqi luv nqi. Nws boasts ib tug ntau yam ntawm cov khoom pawg, nrog rau cov khoom vaj khoom tsev, khoom noj, tsiaj thiab vaj khoom, pem teb, cov khoom ua si, khaub ncaws, khoom ua si, thiab electronics, thiab lwm yam. Tsis muaj ib pawg tswj hwm tus so, lub khw muag khoom thov rau ntau tus neeg siv khoom.
Raws li cov khw muag khoom luv nqi, Ollie kev lag luam yuav tsum muaj peev xwm tiv taus kev lag luam poob qis thiab qhov tailwind tau pab cov khoom lag luam tau yooj yim ua lag luam xyoo no. Piv nrog rau qhov kev poob qis, OLLI shares tau nce 7% xyoo-rau-hnub.
Txawm li cas los xij, lub tuam txhab tsis tau muaj kev tiv thaiv rau tag nrho cov kev sib tw cov khw muag khoom rov qab thiab xa cov ntawv ceeb toom feem ntau poob siab Q2.
Lub tuam txhab tau tsim cov nyiaj tau los ntawm $ 452.48 lab, nce 8.8% xyoo dhau los, tseem poob qis ntawm kev cia siab los ntawm $ 4.95 lab. Tsis yog-GAAP EPS tuaj ntawm $ 0.22, ploj lawm qhov kev pom zoo kwv yees ntawm $ 0.33. Tsis tas li ntawd, lub tuam txhab tseem txo qis nws qhov kev pom zoo rau xyoo tas los.
Odey pom tseeb tias cov khoom lag luam muaj nqis rau ntawm lawv qhov kev ntsuas tam sim no thiab tus neeg nplua nuj tau qhib txoj haujlwm tshiab thaum Q2. Odey cov nyiaj tau yuav 30,000 shares uas tam sim no muaj nuj nqis ntawm $ 1.64 lab.
Tsis tas li ntawm cov bulls yog Wells Fargo tus kws tshuaj ntsuam Edward Kelly leej twg pom Ollie lub npe uas tuaj yeem ua tau zoo hauv kev nyab xeeb macro tam sim no.
"Txawm hais tias zaj dab neeg tseem ceeb tau sib tw, peb cia siab tias lub zog yuav tig mus rau qhov zoo hauv peb lub hlis tom ntej," tus kws tshuaj ntsuam 5 lub hnub qub tau hais. "Qhov ze-tawm kev yuav khoom zoo li npaj tau los txhim kho nrog normalizing cov saw hlau, thiab tuaj yeem hloov pauv mus rau OLLI qhov kev nyiam yog tias cov neeg siv khoom rov qab pib qeeb. Supply chain missteps zoo li tau raug kho. Peb kuj pom OLLI zoo li tau txais txiaj ntsig los ntawm cov neeg siv khoom lag luam tom ntej. "
Nyob rau hauv txoj kab nrog cov lus no, Kelly tus nqi OLLI qhov hnyav dua (piv txwv li Yuav) nrog rau $ 70 tus nqi phiaj. Qhov cuam tshuam rau cov neeg ua lag luam? Upside ntawm 29% los ntawm qib tam sim no. (Saib xyuas Kelly cov ntaub ntawv taug qab, nias ntawm no)
Zuag qhia tag nrho, OLLI cov khoom lag luam muaj qhov Kev Muag Khoom Nruab Nrab los ntawm qhov kev pom zoo ntawm tus kws tshuaj ntsuam xyuas, raws li 12 tus kws tshuaj ntsuam xyuas uas suav nrog 7 Kev Yuav, 4 Tuav, thiab 1 Muag. Qhov kev kwv yees hu rau ib xyoos nce ntawm 18.5%, xav txog qhov nruab nrab tus nqi phiaj yog $ 64.25. (Saib OLLI Tshuag forecast ntawm TipRanks)
Txhawm rau nrhiav cov tswv yim zoo rau cov lag luam muag khoom ntawm tus nqi zoo saib, mus saib TipRanks ' Khuv Xim Zoo Dua Yuav, lub tswv yim tshiab nyuam qhuav sib sau ua ke txhua qhov ntawm TipRanks 'kev pom ncaj ncees.
Kev tsis lees paub: Cov lus pom hauv tsab xov xwm no tsuas yog cov ntawm tus kws tshuaj xyuas tshwj xeebs. Cov ntsiab lus tsuas yog tsim los siv rau kev qhia xov xwm nkaus xwb. Nws yog ib qho tseem ceeb heev uas yuav tau ua koj tus kheej kev soj ntsuam ua ntej ua kev nqis peev.
Tau qhov twg los: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/crispin-odey-scored-whopping-193-143415795.html