Covid yuav tsis dhau los ua tus kab mob sib kis, tus kws tshawb fawb ceeb toom

Covid-19 yuav tsis dhau los ua ib tus kab mob sib kis thiab yuav coj tus cwj pwm zoo li tus kab mob sib kis, tus kws tshaj lij ntawm biosecurity tau ceeb toom.

Raina MacIntyre, tus xibfwb ntawm kev nyab xeeb thoob ntiaj teb ntawm University of New South Wales hauv Sydney, tau hais rau CNBC tias txawm hais tias tus kabmob kis tuaj yeem tshwm sim ntau heev, tus lej ntawm tus kabmob tsis hloov pauv sai li pom nrog tus kabmob coronavirus.

"Yog tias tus lej xov tooj hloov pauv [nrog cov kab mob sib kis], nws maj mam, feem ntau dhau xyoo," nws hais hauv email. "Txoj kab mob sib kis, ntawm qhov tod tes, nce sai heev nyob rau lub sijhawm ntawm hnub mus rau lub lis piam."

Cov kws tshawb fawb siv cov lej sib npaug, hu ua R naught (lossis R0), los ntsuas seb tus kab mob kis tau sai npaum li cas. R0 qhia tias pes tsawg tus neeg yuav kis tus kabmob los ntawm tus kabmob, nrog cov kws tshaj lij ntawm Imperial College London kwv yees omicron's tuaj yeem siab dua 3.  

Yog tias tus kab mob R0 ntau dua 1, kev loj hlob yog qhov nthuav dav, txhais tau hais tias tus kab mob no tau tshwm sim ntau dua thiab cov xwm txheej ntawm tus kabmob kis tau tshwm sim, MacIntyre tau hais.

"Lub hom phiaj kev noj qab haus huv rau pej xeem yog ua kom muaj txiaj ntsig R - uas yog R0 hloov kho los ntawm kev cuam tshuam xws li tshuaj tiv thaiv, lub ntsej muag lossis lwm yam kev txo qis - qis dua 1," nws hais rau CNBC. "Tab sis yog tias R0 siab dua 1, peb feem ntau pom cov nthwv dej sib kis rov qab rau cov kab mob ua pa sib kis."

MacIntyre tau sau tseg tias qhov no yog tus qauv uas tau pom muaj kab mob me me rau ntau pua xyoo thiab tseem pom nrog qhua pias thiab mob npaws. Nws kuj yog tus qauv nthuav tawm nrog Covid, nws hais ntxiv, uas peb tau pom plaub lub nthwv dej loj hauv ob xyoos dhau los. 

Nws tau hais tias "Covid yuav tsis tig mus ua tus kab mob malaria zoo li kab mob sib kis uas cov qib nyob tsis tu ncua mus ntev," nws hais. "Nws yuav ua rau muaj kev sib kis tsis zoo, uas tau tsav los ntawm kev tiv thaiv cov tshuaj tiv thaiv qis zuj zus, hloov pauv tshiab uas tsis muaj kev tiv thaiv tshuaj tiv thaiv, hnab ris tsis muaj tshuaj tiv thaiv, yug menyuam thiab tsiv teb tsaws."

MacIntyre tau hais tias "Qhov no yog vim li cas peb xav tau cov tshuaj tiv thaiv-ntxiv" thiab lub tswv yim ua pa, kom R qis dua 1 yog li peb tuaj yeem nyob nrog tus kab mob tsis muaj kev cuam tshuam loj rau zej zog," MacIntyre tau hais, ntxiv lus ceeb toom tias "yuav muaj ntau yam sib txawv tuaj. ”

Lub lim tiam dhau los, WHO tau ceeb toom tias Covid lwm yam hloov pauv yuav kis tau ntau dua li omicron.

Ntiaj teb no Biosecurity, tus account Twitter sawv cev rau ib pawg ntawm UNSW cov chaw tshawb fawb txog kev sib kis, kev sib kis thiab kis kab mob, tau sib cav xyoo tas los tias Covid yuav txuas ntxiv "tso tawm cov waxing thiab waning qauv ntawm cov kab mob sib kis."

Lub koom haum tau hais tias "[Covid] yuav tsis muaj kev sib kis. “Nws yog kab mob sib kis thiab ib txwm yuav muaj. Qhov no txhais tau tias nws yuav pom cov neeg tsis muaj tshuaj tiv thaiv lossis tsis muaj tshuaj tiv thaiv thiab kis tau sai hauv cov pab pawg. "

Raws li US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, ib qho kev sib kis tshwm sim thaum tus naj npawb ntawm tus kab mob nce, feem ntau dheev, siab dua qhov xav tau.

Lub koom haum WHO tshaj tawm tias muaj tus kab mob kis thoob qhov txhia chaw thaum nws txoj kev loj hlob tau nthuav dav thiab nws tau kis mus thoob ntiaj teb.

"Txawm hais tias muaj kev sib kis loj, nws kuj feem ntau muaj lossis xav tias yuav kis tau, thaum muaj kev sib kis thoob ntiaj teb thiab tsis muaj kev tswj hwm," cov kws tshaj lij los ntawm Columbia University's Mailman Tsev Kawm Ntawv Kev Noj Qab Haus Huv tau piav qhia hauv blog post xyoo tas los. "Qhov txawv ntawm kev sib kis thiab kev sib kis tsis yog nyob rau hauv qhov mob hnyav, tab sis qib uas nws tau kis."

Kab mob Endemic txhais tau tias yog "qhov muaj nyob tas mus li lossis ib txwm muaj tus kab mob los yog tus kab mob kis tau zoo hauv cov neeg nyob hauv thaj chaw" los ntawm US CDC.

Rau Covid kom dhau los ua neeg nyob, cov neeg txaus yuav tsum muaj kev tiv thaiv kev tiv thaiv los ntawm Covid rau nws kom dhau mus, raws li American Lung Association, hais txog qhov tseem ceeb ntawm kev txhaj tshuaj tiv thaiv yuav ua rau tus kab mob hloov mus los ntawm kev kis tus kabmob.

WHO Tus Thawj Coj-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus tau hais rau lub lim tiam dhau los tias muaj txoj hauv kev uas Covid tuaj yeem xaus rau kev noj qab haus huv thoob ntiaj teb rau xyoo no yog tias txoj haujlwm raug - uas suav nrog kev hais txog tshuaj tiv thaiv thiab kev saib xyuas kev noj qab haus huv tsis ncaj ncees - raug coj mus.

Nws cov lus tuaj ib lub lim tiam tom qab lwm tus thawj coj loj ntawm WHO tau ceeb toom tias "peb yuav tsis muaj tus kab mob no tas mus li" thiab "kev mob kis tsis tau txhais hais tias 'zoo,' nws tsuas yog txhais tau tias 'ntawm no mus ib txhis'."