Lub Senate puas tuaj yeem lav txoj cai rho menyuam tawm thoob tebchaws? Ntawm no yog vim li cas Nws Tseem Tsis Zoo.

Tojsiab

Lub Tsev Hais Plaub Siab Tshaj Plaws pom tias yuav tso cai sai sai rau cov xeev kom rho menyuam tawm los ntawm kev thim Roe v. Wade, raws li tsab ntawv lub tswv yim muab tau los ntawm Politico, tig mus rau Congress los tiv thaiv txoj cai rho menyuam tawm thoob tebchaws - tab sis dhau txoj cai lij choj hauv Senate tseem yog qhov ntev, thiab txawm tias tshem tawm Senate cov cai filibuster tej zaum yuav tsis pab ib daim nqi los lav kev rho menyuam tawm uas twb tau tshem tawm Tsev.

Cov Lus Tseem Ceeb

Lub tsev twb muaj lawm dhau Cov Poj Niam Txoj Cai Tiv Thaiv Kev Noj Qab Haus Huv (WHPA), uas yuav ua kom muaj cai rho menyuam tawm hauv tsoomfwv txoj cai lij choj thiab thaiv cov xeev los ntawm kev txwv tsis pub ntau, tab sis Senate thaiv daim nqi nyob rau lub Ob Hlis hauv 48-46 pov npav.

Qee cov senators nyiam Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) tau hu rau Senate kom tshem tawm cov filibuster nyob rau hauv lub teeb ntawm qhov kev txiav txim siab xav kom thim rov qab Roe, uas yuav txo qis qhov xav tau kom dhau daim nqi los ntawm 60 pov npav rau feem ntau yooj yim.

Nws tsis zoo li WHPA tuaj yeem tau txais feem ntau yooj yim, raws li Sen. Joe Manchin (DW.Va.) thiab cov cai rho menyuam tawm ntawm Republican Sens. Susan Collins (Maine) thiab Lisa Murkowski (Alaska) tau pov npav tawm tsam nws lub Ob Hlis, ntseeg daim nqi mus deb dhau los ntawm kev hloov pauv cov kev txwv rho menyuam tawm hauv xeev uas twb muaj lawm yav dhau los tau tso cai hauv Roe.

Collins thiab Murkowski tau qhia kev cai Qhov ntawd yuav ua kom nruj dua rau Lub Tsev Hais Plaub Qib Siab cov lus txiav txim hauv Roe thiab Planned Parenthood v. Casey, uas hais tias lub xeev cov kev txwv rho menyuam tsis tuaj yeem ua rau "lub nra hnyav" - qhov kev thov uas tuaj yeem muaj kev txhaj tshuaj zoo dua yog tias tus filibuster raug tshem tawm.

Manchin thiab Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-Ariz.) yuav tsum tau pov ntawv pom zoo ntawm kev tshem tawm cov filibuster kom nws muaj kev txhawb nqa Democratic txaus kom dhau, txawm li cas los xij, thiab cov senators. rov qab dua Hnub Tuesday lawv tseem tawm tsam kom tshem tawm nws.

Qhov ntawd txhais tau hais tias txawm tias Senate pov npav rau Collins thiab Murkowski tsab cai, nws yuav xav tau 60 pov npav kom dhau, uas tsis zoo li hauv Senate sib cais sib npaug ntawm Democrats thiab Republicans.

Dab Tsi Los Saib

Senate Feem Ntau Tus Thawj Coj Sen. Chuck Schumer (DN.Y.) hais tias Hnub Tuesday Senate yuav muaj kev pov npav rau txoj cai "kom hloov txoj cai rau kev rho menyuam hauv txoj cai." Nws tseem tsis tau paub meej tias nws puas npaj yuav tuav pov npav thib ob ntawm WHPA, lossis yog tias Senate yuav nqa daim nqi nqaim dua tom qab WHPA twb ua tsis tiav.

Kev Nkag Siab Hais

"Kev pov npav rau txoj cai lij choj no tsis yog kev tawm dag zog ntxiv lawm. Qhov no yog qhov ceev thiab muaj tseeb raws li nws tau txais, "Schumer tau hais rau hnub Tuesday txog kev cai lij choj los tsim cov cai rho menyuam tawm. "Txhua tus neeg Asmeskas yuav pom sab twg txhua tus neeg sawv cev sawv cev sawv cev."

Contra

Raws li Democrats thawb kom tswj kev rho menyuam tawm, Republicans tab tom ua haujlwm txwv nws thoob tebchaws yog tias lawv thim rov qab tswj hwm ntawm Congress hauv kev xaiv tsa nruab nrab. Cov Washington Post qhia Hnub Monday GOP senators thiab cov neeg tawm tsam txoj cai rho menyuam tawm twb tau muaj kev sib tham txog kev hla txoj cai rho menyuam tawm thoob tebchaws yuav tsum Lub Tsev Hais Plaub Siab Tshaj Plaws Roe. Cov lus thov tam sim no yuav txwv cov txheej txheem ntxov li rau lub lis piam mus rau cev xeeb tub, txawm hais tias zoo li WHPA thiab lwm txoj cai lij choj los tiv thaiv kev rho menyuam tawm, nws kuj tsis zoo li yuav ua rau 60 lub pov npav xav tau kom dhau.

Tsis meej

Nyob rau hauv ib tug daim ntawv qhia Hnub Tuesday, Thawj Tswj Hwm Joe Biden tau hais kom cov neeg tsim cai lij choj kom dhau txoj cai tswjfwm txoj cai rho menyuam tawm, uas nws tau hais tias nws yuav "ua haujlwm kom dhau thiab kos npe rau txoj cai." Thawj Tswj Hwm kuj tau hais tias nws cov thawj coj "yuav npaj tau" thaum lub tsev hais plaub qhov kev xav zaum kawg raug tshaj tawm, txawm hais tias nws tseem tsis tau paub meej tias qhov ntawd txhais li cas lossis yog Lub Tsev Dawb xav ua ib qho kev txiav txim siab los teb.

Tus Keeb Kwm Tseem Ceeb

Lub Tsev Hais Plaub Qib Siab zoo li yuav dhau Roe nyob rau lub hlis tom ntej, raws li tsab ntawv pom zoo los ntawm Lub Ob Hlis tau txais los ntawm Politico, uas Kev Ncaj Ncees Samuel Alito tshaj tawm txog 50-xyoo-laus kev txiav txim "tsis ncaj ncees lawm." Qhov kev txiav txim yog nyob rau hauv ib rooj plaub hais txog Mississippi qhov kev txwv rho menyuam tawm 15 lub lis piam thiab, ntau dua, seb lub xeev puas tuaj yeem txwv kev rho menyuam tawm txawm tias ua ntej tus menyuam hauv plab. Tus Thawj Saib Xyuas Kev Ncaj Ncees John Roberts tau lees paub tsab cai lij choj qhov tseeb, tab sis hais rau hnub Tuesday nws "tsis sawv cev" lub tsev hais plaub qhov kev txiav txim zaum kawg lossis "txoj haujlwm kawg" ntawm kev ncaj ncees. Lub tsev hais plaub qhov kev txiav txim zaum kawg yuav raug tso tawm ntawm qee lub sijhawm ua ntej nws lub sijhawm xaus lub caij ntuj sov no, zoo li lub Rau Hli. Cov Democrats hauv Congress tau thawb rau cov neeg tsim cai lij choj los hais txog txoj cai rho menyuam tawm rau lub hlis hauv kev cia siab ntawm 6-3 lub tsev hais plaub txiav txim siab, raws li Texas thiab lwm lub xeev tau tshaj tawm ze li tag nrho cov kev txwv rho menyuam tawm txawm tias ua ntej lub tsev hais plaub txoj cai. Lub Tsev dhau WHPA thaum lub Cuaj Hlis hauv qhov nqaim 218-211 pov npav, thiab cov neeg tsim cai lij choj ua tim khawv mus rau Pawg Saib Xyuas Tsev Hauv Lub Hlis hais txog lawv tus kheej cov kev paub dhau los nrog kev rho menyuam hauv kev mob siab rau yuam tsoomfwv ua haujlwm.

ntxiv nyeem ntawv

Cov neeg Amelikas xav li cas txog kev rho menyuam: Qee lub sij hawm xav tsis thoob qhov kev ntsuam xyuas raws li Lub Tsev Hais Plaub Siab Tshaj Tawm Tshaj Tawm Txog Roe V. Wade (Forbes)

Tsev Hais Plaub Siab Tshaj Tawm Tshaj Tawm Tshaj Tawm Tshaj Tawm Roe V. Wade, Raws li Leaked Draft Tswv Yim (Forbes)

Nov yog qhov yuav tshwm sim yog tias Lub Tsev Hais Plaub Siab Tshaj Plaws Roe V. Wade (Forbes)

Tus Thawj Saib Xyuas Tsev Hais Plaub Siab Roberts lees paub Roe V. Wade Leak, Hais tias Tsev Hais Plaub Yuav Tshawb Fawb (Forbes)

Tau qhov twg los: https://www.forbes.com/sites/alisondurkee/2022/05/03/could-the-senate-guarantee-abortion-rights-nationwide-heres-why-its-still-unlikely/