Tus nqi tooj liab kwv yees tom qab tsoo tus tshiab YTD qis

Tooj tus nqi tau txuas ntxiv lub lim tiam dhau los poob rau kev lag luam ntawm nws qib qis tshaj xyoo dhau los. Cov hlau liab yog hovering nyob ib ncig ntawm ib cheeb tsam kawg tsoo thaum nruab nrab Lub Yim Hli 2021. Raws li lub sijhawm sau ntawv, nws tau ua lag luam ntawm $ 3.98. Tus nqi ntawm US duas thiab kev txhawj xeeb txog kev loj hlob ntawm kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb tau teeb tsa los ua tus tsav tsheb tseem ceeb hauv lub lim tiam tshiab.

Fundamentals

Ntawm qhov tod tes, tus nqi zog ntawm Teb Chaws Asmeskas, qeeb kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb kev loj hlob, thiab kev txhawj xeeb txog qhov yuav tshwm sim ntawm kev lag luam kev lag luam txuas ntxiv hnyav rau tus nqi tooj liab. Thaum muaj kev kub ntxhov nce ntxiv, US Tus Tuav Nyiaj Txiag Tus Tuav Nyiaj Txiag, Janet Yellen tau sau tseg tias kev lag luam qeeb qeeb hauv kev lag luam loj tshaj plaws yuav txuas ntxiv mus rau lub hlis tom ntej.  

Puas yog koj tab tom nrhiav kom tau cov xov xwm ceev, kub-cov lus qhia thiab kev tsom xam kev ua lag luam?

Sau npe rau Invezz cov ntawv xov xwm, hnub no.

Thaum lub sijhawm xam phaj ntawm ABC's "Lub Limtiam", Yellen Hais, “Kuv cia siab tias kev lag luam yuav qeeb. Nws tau loj hlob ntawm tus nqi nrawm heev thiab kev lag luam tau zoo thiab peb tau ua tiav kev ua haujlwm puv ntoob. Peb cia siab tias yuav muaj kev hloov pauv mus rau qhov kev loj hlob ruaj khov thiab ruaj khov, tab sis kuv tsis xav tias kev lag luam poob qis yog qhov yuav tsum tau zam. "

Txawm hais tias qhov kev xav tsis zoo yuav zoo li txuas ntxiv mus rau lub lim tiam, qhov kev daws teeb meem ntawm tus mob coronavirus kaw hauv Suav teb thiab kev txhim kho tom ntej ntawm kev lag luam kev xav tuaj yeem pab txo qis. Raws li UBS Global Wealth ManagementLub regional CIO, Yifan Hu, "qhov phem tshaj dhau lawm". Hauv kev xam phaj ntawm Blommberg Markets hnub Monday, tus kws tshaj lij tau sau tseg tias qhov xwm txheej hauv kev lag luam loj thib ob thiab cov neeg siv khoom lag luam hlau tau teeb tsa los txhim kho ntxiv rau lub Rau Hli thiab dhau mus.

Tus nqi tooj liab technical forecast

Tus nqi tooj liab tau pib lub lim tiam tshiab ntawm nws sab nraub qaum; ncua kev poob lub lim tiam dhau los. Kwv yees li ob-thiab-ib-ib-lub lis piam dhau los, cov hlau liab tau rov qab mus rau rau lub lim tiam siab ntawm 4.58. Txawm li cas los xij, cov bulls tsis muaj lub zog txaus kom tawg tawm ntawm qhov tseem ceeb ntawm kev txhawb nqa-tig-kuj thaj tsam ntawm 4.50.

Nrog rau qhov poob qis tom qab, cov bulls tam sim no mob siab rau kev tiv thaiv kev puas siab puas ntsws qib ntawm 4.00. Ua ntej hnub Monday qhov kev sib tham, nws tau tsoo ib qho qis qis ntawm 3.97 hnub.

Raws li pom nyob rau hauv daim ntawv qhia hnub, tus nqi tooj liab yog trading hauv qab 25 thiab 50-hnub exponential txav nruab nrab. Raws li lub lim tiam nthuav tawm, kuv cia siab tias nws yuav nyob twj ywm rau ntawm qhov kev poob qis txawm tias qhov yuav tshwm sim rov qab los. Txawm li cas los xij, nws qhov kev poob yuav zoo li raug txwv los ntawm kev txhim kho kev xav ntawm Suav lag luam.

Tshwj xeeb, kev ua tsis tiav los ntawm cov bulls los tiv thaiv thaj chaw txhawb nqa tam sim no ntawm 4.00 yuav muab sijhawm rau cov bears rov qab ntsuas 15-hli qis ntawm 3.85. Nyob rau sab ntxeev, ib qho kev rov qab los ntawm kev txhawb siab lub hlwb ntawm 4.00 yuav zoo li tso nws nyob rau hauv ib qho nrog 4.12 raws li ciam teb sab saud. Yav dhau los qib ntawd, nws tseem tuaj yeem ua lag luam qis dua 25-hnub EMA ntawm 4.25 rau lub lim tiam.